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I don't want to put you out, either. Hmm. Lets do 1:15.

A fine draft. Damn fine.

Kennedy already picked. You also only get one pick, we'll give you Smith.

Seeing the wall breach burns me worse than reading TPTD posts. Signed, Bigot Brigade

Just a thread to share some memorable NCAA tournament matches/moments. One that always comes to mind for me at this time of year: Mcllravy v. Abas (1993): Many many others—add one if you feel like it.

If the 10 seed wins will he also get OW and will Jimmy leave the board again?

Here's a cleaner look, just showing seeds selected and projected points:

Given the whole Carl v Bubba back story, this is one of my favorites:

Sold, we'll pay out at $180, $80, and $40.

You can use the "My Wrestlers" feature in Track to follow the scoring for your team...

285 - Pitzer Good draft boys.

That hurt

"The Submissiony Lion" He hasn't been doing it since transferring though, at least I don't think

Rocco welsh

@RockLobster, presumably to pick Parick McKee or Andrew Sparks.

Suggest we be ready to go at 1:30, and start as soon as flyingcement joins. It just isn't the same without a delayed start. This was me last year at draft time...

I've never seen someone get as much mileage from just making it to the Olympics and not winning an NCAA title. You'd swear Chertow was every bit as accomplished as John Smith if you listen to him talk.

I think you are reading that backwards. What it is saying is that the odds of exactly 7 are roughly the same as the odds of exactly 10. Conversely, the odds of exactly 8 or exactly 9 are higher than either exactly 7 or exactly 10. As for the odds of all 10, perhaps it is better to reframe the question. Based on the commercials I see for betting apps, they are pushing parlay bets HARD. If you were offered a ten wrestler parlay on PSU wrestlers all AAing for a 3:1 payout (i.e. better payout than 50% chance would suggest), would you find that attractive? Before you answer that question, remember that in the 8 AA era only one team has ever had all 10 wrestlers AA. And in those 44 years all of the #1 and all of the #2 seeds have AAed only 11 times. For me, I would want at least 20:1 to find that bet interesting.

That's been Fix's problem in the big matches, he tightens up way too much. He needs to go crazy in the finals this year and utilize his quickness and power. Instead of waiting for the perfect shot, he needs to make some shit happen, he needs to wrestle aggressively. He's got some great offensive stuff if he would just use it.

It is my theory that Nagao fled Minnesota because of the nickname that I gave him: The Gopher Choker. Although Rhyme Zone doesn't include "Choker," I believe that it belongs there just as much as "Clover," which is there and a 92 on their scale. But Nagao can't escape the internet, so I am proposing a new nickname: "Aaron Nagarrotte."

I have PSU at 7.64 AAs. Over simplifying the numbers, you could say that is a 64% chance of 8 and a 36% of 9. But you could as easily spread those probabilities across more possibilities, even from 0 to 10. That assumes wrestling to the average result (which is a little below seed). But as PSU has a history of wrestling to seed, And let's face it, Starocci's probability of AAing from the #9 seed is a tad higher than the normal 9 seed. But maybe Davis' probability should also be below a normal #1 seed. So, I think I talked myself back to 7.64 But if you want to give Starocci the bump, and not discount Davis, then the are highly likely to get 8 with a chance of 9. Next closest is NC State at 5.56 (i,e. 56% chance of 6, 44% chance of 5).

should i get things kicked off then?

i dropped from 4 to 9... shouldn't have ducked Gage back in january.

I’m here

here goes the random draw..

Let's draw for order!

it's in the thread https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/107SSIygs6kLw-dAG81pH3v-6AvT7RjyTi3m3ZrFKWsM/edit#gid=0

I can do 1:30 if it that accommodates everyone but I can’t start later 130

Just sent the DM to you.

There are a lot of guys that would get teched by MM, and probably more than one of those teched guys will be AAs after next week.

If there are no objections, I can push to 1:30.

If you're flying spirit I think we need to call most of your other judgments into question as well...

I only bet on sure things, like poker

I raise you one Steve Marianetti all-time upset over Lincoln McIlravy

I think the general consensus is Starocci will score more than a normal #9 seed and Davis will score less than a normal #1 seed, so maybe call it a push. But historically, PSU scores more than a normal any seed. So, maybe my overall estimate is a little low. As I like to say about predictions like these, they are all wrong but right on average.

Dropping Davis down to 60% (same as a #6 seed) and moving Starocci up to 98% (same as a #1 seed) puts the probability of all ten at 5.4%. Which is roughly equivalent to the probability they end with only 7 AAs. Said another way, 10 AAs is more likely than only 6.

It's been a while since I've seen a thread this arbitrarily dumb. "Oh my goooood, someone did wrestling moves in a forceful manner...that's like...mean of him to do" You guys would have looooved James Fleming back in the day. As the old coaching saying goes, why did you let someone get that sort of a ride on you in the first place? "He...he had his arm around his...his neeeeck!" What happens in every other front head and every headlock in the sport? Bunch of dump ducks trying to be songbirds....

I believe your nickname is an instance of a near-rhyme or half-rhyme, also called a lazy rhyme or imperfect rhyme. Good use of "garotte", which (as you obviously know) is a method or apparatus of strangulation. Choking is an interesting way to depart the world (more interesting, I think, than being shot, which can be a cowardly act taken at a distance by the shooter) because the person doing the choking often has to look their victim in the eye while doing it and then continue with the action for a while, perhaps even arriving at a moment of empathy that causes them to stop the action. It is more intimate than shooting and even knifing someone. Choking from behind probably isn't as open to the (empathetic) decision to curtail the process because there is no eye-to-eye contact.

Joziah Fry just bonused his way to a second D3 national title at 125. Fry's only loss during his two consecutive championship seasons is Luke Stanich from Lehigh.

Zoom meeting info sent to the participants via DM. Had to sent as two messages, as the forum only allows me to send to ten recipients at a time. @Antitroll2828 @flyingcement @Gage @Idaho @jajensen09 @JVStateChamp @MizzouFan01 @MPhillips @nhs67 @Perry @RockLobster @steamboat_charlie @Truzzcat @VakAttack cc: @goheels1812

Your analysis, preparation, passion are self evident, and your pacing and delivery throughout the entire videos doe a great job of balancing density of information with also needing pace. You really did a great job of organically integrating all the information you had locked away into telling the story of the weight classes and the way you come to your thought process for how things may unfold. Great job man, just a great job.

I'm pretty sure Minnesota won the 2000 NCAAs with 10 AAs, but no champs. As for 2024 PSU, 10 AAs wouldn't shock me at all, but I'd guess 8. Not sure who I'd leave out though. Interestingly, Davis probably has one of the tougher paths to AA, and he's a 1 seed.

Man thanks for all of the kind words guys - genuinely means a lot. Planning on doing more of this type of video - especially rolling into the Olympics. It's tough during the regular season (college) cus our video guys travel most weekends and then I practically spend all day Monday on rankings but the new studio will help with pumping these out with more frequency. And for the record, Christian, JD and Tyler are some of my closest friends (so I'm obviously biased) - they do a great job with FRL. I understand the rabbit trails and jokes aren't for everyone but idk of another wrestling podcast that puts out the content they do with the same level of competitence and consistency.

As for team balance, yes, I think it will be a historic year. There is just about nothing separating 3-11.

Don't you mean: he handed the team a bad hand by not educating his wrestlers about rules regarding gambling?

The day after NCAAs, some all you can eat buffet owner in Bethlehem, PA is going to be seriously reevaluating their business model

YES! D3

Vandee over orine