2025 Final X Preview: 86 kg MFS Zahid Valencia vs. Kyle Dake
It’s about that time! In the past couple of weeks, we’ve spent time loosely discussing Final X; however, it’s time to start talking about the individual matches themselves. Over the next couple of weeks, we’ll break down all 20 Final X matchups - leading into the event itself on June 14th, from Newark, New Jersey.
Our next preview is in men’s freestyle at 86 kg. A pair of Senior world medalists clashing, the only time it will happen in men’s freestyle this year in Final X. Zahid Valencia versus Kyle Dake has the potential to be a classic Final X series. It’s also the only men’s series that we’ve seen before in Final X. That being said, their 2018 meeting is practically ancient history at this point and Valencia took their 2025 meeting at the US Open. With fewer mainstays of the men’s freestyle team participating in this event, could a Valencia win be another signal of a new era? Or an eighth straight team for Dake?
Prior Previews
57 kg men’s freestyle
61 kg men's freestyle
65 kg men's freestyle
70 kg men's freestyle
74 kg men's freestyle
79 kg men's freestyle
50 kg women’s freestyle
53 kg women's freestyle
55 kg women's freestyle
57 kg women's freestyle
59 kg women's freestyle
62 kg women’s freestyle
86 kg men’s freestyle
Zahid Valencia vs. Kyle Dake
This has to be one of the most anticipated series of Final X. The US Open saw Valencia knock off Dake and forced the four-time world champion to win the World Team Trials to get a rematch and potentially make another world team.
Valencia was a 2023 world team member at 92 kg and came away with a bronze medal in that appearance. To date, it’s been his only Senior world team. Valencia has made three Junior world teams and claimed a silver medal in the final of those three trips. In 2024, Valencia went down to this weight for the Olympic Trials and ended up losing a very controversial match to the eventual Olympic bronze medalist, Aaron Brooks. While Valencia has had success at 92 kg, he’s proven this year that 86 kg is probably the best weight for him. This is the first full year in which he’s been at Oklahoma State’s Cowboy RTC. You have to wonder how the mentorship of David Taylor impacts this series. Taylor has been a longtime competitor, friend, and teammate of Dake.
Dake is seeking to make his eighth straight world/Olympic team; however, this is the first time since 2016 that he’s trying to do so at 86 kg. After the international weights shifted in 2018, Dake won the first two world titles at 79 kg, before dropping to 74 kg for the 2020 Olympics. He’s been at that weight ever since. Now it’s time for a new challenge. During his run on the world/Olympic team, Dake has been incredibly consistent with a medal in every one of those seven tournaments.
How They Got Here
Valencia: Not only did Valencia have to defeat Dake to win the 2025 US Open, but he also had to get by a second world team member, Chance Marsteller, in the semifinals. Valencia took a commanding lead over Dake with a picturesque duckunder followed by a high gut for a total of four points. Valencia extended his lead to 5-1 at the break. In the second, Dake battled back but came up short, 8-4.
Dake: Since he fell in the Open finals, Dake had to head to Louisville and the Trials to advance to Final X. In the Trials finals, Dake squared off with fellow Nittany Lion Wrestling Club teammate Carter Starocci. The match was extremely tight and featured a close sequence that went Dake’s way. He’d prevail 3-3 on criteria.
Recent Form
Valencia: Valencia has been red-hot this year with the Open title and three gold medals in all three of his international tournaments. He started the year by winning the Dan Kolov/Nikola Petrov and then few weeks later, grabbed gold at the Zagreb Open Rankings Series event. After winning the Open, Valencia went on to win the Pan-American Championships.
Dake: The US Open and World Team Trials are the only competitions for Dake since the 2024 Olympic Games. Someone of his age and experience is probably better off only competing in a couple events a year, anyway, so he should be fine.
Prior History
Obviously, we remember the Open finals matchup, but these two also clashed in the very first Final X, which was held in State College, Pennsylvania in 2018. In that series, Dake won 4-3 and 4-0. Obviously, that doesn’t have much impact on the 2025 rematch. This will be the only men’s freestyle series that has taken place before in Final X.
Keys to Victory
I’m not sure what to think about this rematch. Dake has long been one of the best at crafting and executing a game plan to beat high-scoring wrestlers like Jordan Burroughs and David Taylor. Now, will he be able to adjust and defeat Valencia? As mentioned earlier, has Taylor been the secret sauce for Valencia to beat Dake? One win again the legend is tough, but can Valencia pull off two more?
That’s a long way to say that the winner will be the wrestler who can make adjustments and wrestle a different match than the one we saw in Vegas.