Iowa at PSU Predictions - Fourth Annual

[Wrestleknownothing]

Iowa/PSU week is upon us.

#1 vs #2

Anything can happen.

Throw out the record books when these two meet.

But before you throw it out here are a few tidbits from it:

• Iowa leads the all-time series 28-13-2, though PSU is on a three dual winning streak.
• Largest Iowa Margin of Victory = 33 (1990 @ Iowa City 36-3)
• Largest PSU Margin of Victory = 23 (2024 @ Iowa City 29-6)

I took a look back and was surprised to see this is year four of aggregating predictions on the Iowa/PSU dual duel. 

As in years past, post your match by match predictions here. I will aggregate the results along with predictions I find on HVI and HR to come up with a "wisdom of the crowds" prediction as well as a closest to the pin prediction.

Iowa/PSU Prediction Hall of Fame:

2022 - @flyingcement while only getting 8 of 10 matches correct (9 was the highest @Plasmodium, and PSUNatChamps) cement defied gravity and all others in nailing the final score PSU 19 - Iowa 13

2023 - @Barracuda141 & @PortaJohn both failed to live up to concrete's level of perfection, but did come within 2 points of nailing the final score. Meanwhile @Mr. PeanutButter and @Holtfan went a perfect 10 for 10 picking individual match winners.

2024 - For 2024 I got a little carried away with scoring, but lets just focus on team score and correct matches for now. Come on down @MLB9 & @Dogbone and accept your nomination to the HOF for closest to the pin final score within 1 point. Getting 9 of 10 was so easy that even your author achieved it (without any actual knowledge of wrestling) along with @Interviewed_at_Weehawken, @CHROMEBIRD, @Truzzcat, and @Perry

 

Prediction Tie Breaker:

What weight does Gabe "Head Hunter" Arnold wrestle? 174? 184? No weight at all?

 

 

[666]

 

I got the Nittany Lions feasting on the Hawkeyes 26-6. 

 

125 Lilledahl dec Cruz       3-0

133 Ayala dec Davis          3-3

141 Bartlett MD Rhodes     7-3

149 Van Ness dec Parco  10-3

157 Kasak dec Teemer     13-3

165 Messybrink md Caliendo       17-3

174 Haines dec Kennedy  20-3

184 Starocci dec Arnold 23-3

197 Buchanon dec Barr 23-6

HWT Kerk dec Kueter 26-6

Presuming those will be the lineups. Caliendo is wrestling great this year, but MM is next level. Best match will probably be Buchanon/Barr. I think Buchanon's experience will prevail, plus he's been wrestling great. Barr has been wrestling great as well, but he's still a tad unseasoned. This match will tell. I'm not 100% on Haines beating Kennedy. 

Edited Sunday at 02:35 PM by 666

[Pinnacle]

Lilledahl bounces back

Drake

Bartlett

SVN

Teemer (Kasak at B1G)

Mesenbrink 

Haines

Carter

Barr pulls the upset

Kerk

 

 

[Wrestleknownothing]

4 minutes ago, Pinnacle said:

Lilledahl bounces back

Drake

Bartlett

SVN

Teemer (Kasak at B1G)

Mesenbrink 

Haines

Carter

Barr pulls the upset

Kerk

 

 

Are these all decisions? Or do you want to sprinkle in any bonus?

[Pinnacle]

38 minutes ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

Are these all decisions? Or do you want to sprinkle in any bonus?

I will say Mesenbrink by major.

[MLB9]

I’m in! Some tough ones this year. Here’s what I got, hopefully everyone wrestles.

125: Lilledahl mdec. PSU 4-0

133: Ayala dec. PSU 4-3

141: Bartlett mdec. PSU 8-3

149: Van Ness dec. PSU 11-3

157: Teemer dec. PSU 11-6

165: Mesenbrink mdec. PSU 15-6

174: Haines dec. PSU 18-6

184: Starocci dec. PSU 21-6

197: Buchanan dec. PSU 21-9

285: Kerkvliet dec. PSU 24-9

Thank you wkn

[Jimmy Cinnabon]

125 Lilledahl dec Cruz       3-0

133 Ayala dec Davis          3-3

141 Bartlett dec Rhodes     6-3

149  Parco  Dec SVN 6-6

157 Teemer Dec Kasak 6-9

165 MM Dec Caliendo       9-9

174 Haines dec Kennedy  12-9

184 Starocci dec Arnold 15-9

197 Buchanon dec Barr 15-12

HWT Kerk dec Kueter 18-12

[AZ_wrestling]

Is Ayala wrestling? Thought I read he’s injured. 
 

125 Lilledahl dec Cruz       3-0

133? Ayala dec Davis (if he’s not injured?)  3-3

141 Bartlett dec Rhodes     6-3

149   SVN dec Parco 9-3

157 Kasak Dec Teemer 12-3

165 MM Dec Caliendo       15-3

174 Haines dec Kennedy  18-3

184 Starocci MD Arnold 22-3

197 Buchanon dec Barr 22-6

HWT Kerk dec Kueter 25-6

[PortaJohn]

@Wrestleknownothing, Lots to consider for these picks.  They start at 197 and I might pull the trigger for Josh Barr.  People throwing out the idea Ferrari goes 184.  Doubt it, but have to wait.  One thing I am confident about is Davis will once again notoriously walk in to a takedown at some point during the Ayala match.  Have a mental breakdown and lose close

[Truzzcat]

125: Joey cruz stays hot 3-0 Iowa

133: Ayala hits a slide bye 6-0 Iowa

141: Beau gets a cradle with 40 seconds left in what was a one score match and gets the fall 6-6

149: Parco loses the takedown battle but snags a tilt to win 5-4 9-6 Iowa

157: Kasak gets a lot of stall calls 9-9

165: Caliendo gets the first two takedowns and then the wheels fall off, but the early action was enough to keep it to a decision 12-9

174: Haines actually wrestles Arnold but it makes no difference 15-9

184: starocci wrestles Angelo and pushes for the major but cannot get it 18-9

197: Buchanan slows down the train of momentum in the dual and for Barr (its not very competitive but a decision) 18-12

285: Kerk decision 21-12

 

[PortaJohn]

Just now, Truzzcat said:

125: Joey cruz stays hot 3-0 Iowa

Can we bet on this.  Whatever you want.  I'll match

[PortaJohn]

1 minute ago, Truzzcat said:

149: Parco loses the takedown battle but snags a tilt to win 5-4 9-6 Iowa

And this one too.  Let's bet

[okokzach]

No one thinks Kerk gets bonus?

[1032004]

125 Lilledahl dec Cruz 3-0 PSU

133 Davis dec Ayala, Brands loses team point 6 - -1

141 Bartlett dec Block 9 - -1

149 Van Ness dec Parco 12 - -1

157 Teemer dec Kasak 12-2

165 Mesenbrink dec Caliendo 15-2

174 Haines dec Kennedy 18-2

184 Starocci dec Arnold 21-2

197 Buchanan dec Barr 21-5

285 Kerk dec Kueter 24-5

[1032004]

21 minutes ago, AZ_wrestling said:

 

Is Ayala wrestling? Thought I read he’s injured. 
 

125 Lilledahl dec Cruz       3-0

133? Ayala dec Davis (if he’s not injured?)  3-3

141 Bartlett dec Rhodes     6-3

149   SVN dec Parco 9-3

157 Kasak Dec Teemer 12-3

165 MM Dec Caliendo       15-3

174 Haines dec Kennedy  18-3

184 Starocci MD Arnold 22-3

197 Buchanon dec Barr 22-6

HWT Kerk dec Kueter 25-6

Sounds like Ayala will be wrestling

 

 

[Gage]

125 - Lilledahl dec Cruz - 3-0 PSU

133 - Ayala dec Davis - 3-3

141 - Bartlett MD Block - 7-3 PSU

149 - SVN dec Parco - 10-3 PSU

157 - Teemer dec Kasak - 10-6 PSU

165 - Mesenbrink dec Caliendo - 13-6 PSU

174 - Haines dec Kennedy - 16-6 PSU

184 - Starocci dec Arnold - 19-6 PSU

197 - Buchanan dec Barr - 19-9 PSU

285 - Kerkvliet MD Kueter - 23-9 PSU

[Pin Head]

I am thinking that if Iowa sends out a line up per Mr. Truzzcat, that it ends 15-15 with PSU winning on criteria.

[TylerDurden]

HOT TAKE: Penn State at home = a smackdown

125 Lilledahl dec Cruz, 3-0 PSU

133 Ayala dec Davis, 3-3

141 Bartlett dec Block, 6-3 PSU

149 Van Ness dec Parco, 9-3 PSU  

157 Kasak dec Teemer, 12-3 PSU

165 Mesenbrink tech Caliendo, 17-3 PSU

174 Haines major Kennedy, 21-3 PSU

184 Starocci major Arnold, 25-3 PSU

197 Buchanan major Barr, 25-7 PSU

HWT Kerkvliet pin Kueter, 31-7 PSU

 

[MLB9]

Oh, and 184 on the tie-breaker. Total takedowns would be a good separator too. What do you think those numbers will look like?

[BruceyB]

125 Lilledahl dec Cruz, 3-0 PSU

133 Ayala dec Davis, 3-3

141 Bartlett maj Block, 7-3 PSU

149 Van Ness dec Parco, 10-3 PSU  

157 Teemer dec Kasak, 10-6 PSU

165 Mesenbrink tech Caliendo, 15-6 PSU

174 Haines dec Kennedy, 18-6 PSU

184 Starocci dec Arnold, 21-6 PSU

197 Buchanan dec Barr, 21-9 PSU

HWT Kerkvliet dec Kueter, 24-9 PSU

I'm assuming Mesenbrink is going to be a man possessed trying to keep that tech streak going.

[Le duke]

50 minutes ago, MLB9 said:

Oh, and 184 on the tie-breaker. Total takedowns would be a good separator too. What do you think those numbers will look like?

Mesenbrink will have more than the entire Iowa team combined.

[CHROMEBIRD]

125 Lilledahl maj Cruz - Lil Luke comes off a loss with guns blazing in front of a home crowd. 4-0 PSU 

133  Ayala maj Davis - Home cookin' won't save Davis, gets sloppy and Ayala turns him for backs. 4-4

141  Bartlett dec Rhodes -  Rhodes will be way overmatched, but I think Bartlett will lowkey wrestle an even-keeled controlled match. 7-4

149  SVN dec Parco - Parco wrestles tight and doesn't take a shot, SVN wins the scrambles. 10-4

157  Teemer dec Kasak - Teemer's physicality will be a problem for Kasak and the refs will force action from Jacori since this won't be at CHA. Gas tank will be tested. 10-7

165 Mesenbrink maj Caliendo - I'd like to see Caliendo narrow the gap, but how do you even pull together a match strategy against Mes? MM wins on pace and blows it open in the third period. 14-7

174 Haines dec Kennedy - Rooting for PK, but Haines' style will give him problems. 17-7

184 Starocci dec Arnold - Gabe's explosiveness will be a non-factor and I expect more of an old school Kemerer-Starocci style grinder. 20-7

197 - Barr dec Buchanan - Barr wins this one by a takedown at BJC but Buchanan wins at Big Tens. 23-7

286 - Kerk dec Keuter - Expecting a snoozer, not that it will matter at this point. 26-7 PSU final

TB: 184

[Hammerlock3]

26 minutes ago, Le duke said:

Mesenbrink will have more than the entire Iowa team combined.

I think caliendo gets decisioned....

[CHROMEBIRD]

7 hours ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

Also I am insulted that Mike Tyson's face was spliced-in over Mr. T!!

[MLB9]

38 minutes ago, Le duke said:

Mesenbrink will have more than the entire Iowa team combined.

Probably will be close to that, I was gonna say 25-6