Jimmy Cinnabon Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 Both teams dominated top 5 opponents last night but I came away thinking Iowa is definitely favored in a dual due to matchups 125: Lee by FALL within the first period. He's been pinning everyone lately and Steen has no shot. 6-0 Iowa 133: RBY DEC Teske. RBY has been content to win by decision so far and Teske is no slouch. 6-3 Iowa 141: Woods DEC Barlett. Woods is going to win it all this year. Just too fast and explosive. 9-3 Iowa 149: Murin DEC SVN. Murin has been on a tear lately and SVN has shown he's a little too straight on from neutral. 12-3 Iowa 157: Haines DEC Siebrecht. Bit of a tossup but Haines just beat the #16 and #10 wrestlers. 12-6 Iowa 165: Kennedy DEC Facundo. Kennedy is just better right now. 15-6 Iowa 174: Starocci DEC Brands. Brands will keep it close to save the bonus point. 15-9 Iowa 184: Brooks DEC Assad. See 174. 15-12 Iowa 197: Dean DEC Warner. Close battle, Warner hasn't look great lately. 15-15 tie HWT: Cass DEC Kerk. Kerk has a hand injury and a bad gas tank lately. Cass gets the win. 18-15 IOWA WINS 1 1
ionel Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said: Both teams dominated top 5 opponents last night but I came away thinking ... you lost me at "thinking." 2 3 2BPE 11/17/24 SMC
Jamie_Taco Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 Trolling or not, I think these predictions are close. FWIW, I have it 18-15 the other way (I think Kerk beats Cass). 4
Le duke Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 RBY, who had a 100% bonus rate before last night, has been content with regular decisions this year. Got it.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk 2 2
Perry Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 I think svn beats murin but siebricht wins at 157. Excited to see facundo and Kennedy go at it, but watch cael put Lee out instead. Kirk will need to wrestle with more enthusiasm than he did last night If he wants to beat Cass again. Will be a fantastic dual.
Elevator Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 31 minutes ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said: Both teams dominated top 5 opponents last night but I came away thinking Iowa is definitely favored in a dual due to matchups 125: Lee by FALL within the first period. He's been pinning everyone lately and Steen has no shot. 6-0 Iowa 133: RBY DEC Teske. RBY has been content to win by decision so far and Teske is no slouch. 6-3 Iowa 141: Woods DEC Barlett. Woods is going to win it all this year. Just too fast and explosive. 9-3 Iowa 149: Murin DEC SVN. Murin has been on a tear lately and SVN has shown he's a little too straight on from neutral. 12-3 Iowa 157: Haines DEC Siebrecht. Bit of a tossup but Haines just beat the #16 and #10 wrestlers. 12-6 Iowa 165: Kennedy DEC Facundo. Kennedy is just better right now. 15-6 Iowa 174: Starocci DEC Brands. Brands will keep it close to save the bonus point. 15-9 Iowa 184: Brooks DEC Assad. See 174. 15-12 Iowa 197: Dean DEC Warner. Close battle, Warner hasn't look great lately. 15-15 tie HWT: Cass DEC Kerk. Kerk has a hand injury and a bad gas tank lately. Cass gets the win. 18-15 IOWA WINS This is not crazy, but PSU wins one of the matches at 149 or 165 and maybe both. PSU gets bonus from at least one of 133, 174, and 184 and maybe in two of these matches. 197 and 285 could split, but lean slightly PSU. Pretty amazing that undersized Dean so often beats top full-sized 197lbers by bringing more whupass. Warner could find a way with a stallfest. The guys is a warrior but such a frigging bore to watch. 1
MizzouFan01 Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 If I’m Penn St I weigh Steen in, start at 125 and then forfeit. Don’t give Lee the chance to fire up Iowa. Let Teske be the actual first match. RBY wins by major, thus giving the advantage to State.
Nailbender Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 13 minutes ago, MizzouFan01 said: If I’m Penn St I weigh Steen in, start at 125 and then forfeit. Don’t give Lee the chance to fire up Iowa. Let Teske be the actual first match. RBY wins by major, thus giving the advantage to State. Skipping the mind games and just putting the best team out they can is a much better strategy.
VakAttack Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 I promise, you guys don't have to treat the Pastry as a serious person. He's a Penn State fan trying to reverse jinx things, while also portraying a person pretending to be a Penn State fan. It's a very layered troll job, so I respect that. 125: Lee FALL Steen 133: Bravo Young MDEC Teske/Schriever 141: Woods DEC Bartlett 149: Murin DEC Van Ness 157: Haines DEC Siebrecht 165: Kennedy DEC Facundo 174: Starocci DEC Brands 184: Brooks DEC Assad 197: Dean DEC Warner HW: Cassioppi DEC Kerkvleit owa wins 18-16. Obviously could see flips at 149-165 and HW. Less likely but possible flips at 141 and 197. Lots of moving parts. Penn State could also get bonus at 184 and, potentially, 197. depending on how flat Warner is. Iowa doesn't really have a path to more bonus that Lee other than if he were to put Kerk feet to back, which I doubt. 2
Pish Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 (edited) Would be nice if Bartlett beats Woods. Game over if that happens Edited January 21, 2023 by Pish
Elevator Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 Iowa has a chance if they get a few big breaks and make no big mistakes - but I think this is on PSU home mats. I think PSU finds a way. 1
Jimmy Cinnabon Posted January 21, 2023 Author Posted January 21, 2023 1 hour ago, VakAttack said: I promise, you guys don't have to treat the Pastry as a serious person. He's a Penn State fan trying to reverse jinx things, while also portraying a person pretending to be a Penn State fan. It's a very layered troll job, so I respect that. 125: Lee FALL Steen 133: Bravo Young MDEC Teske/Schriever 141: Woods DEC Bartlett 149: Murin DEC Van Ness 157: Haines DEC Siebrecht 165: Kennedy DEC Facundo 174: Starocci DEC Brands 184: Brooks DEC Assad 197: Dean DEC Warner HW: Cassioppi DEC Kerkvleit owa wins 18-16. Obviously could see flips at 149-165 and HW. Less likely but possible flips at 141 and 197. Lots of moving parts. Penn State could also get bonus at 184 and, potentially, 197. depending on how flat Warner is. Iowa doesn't really have a path to more bonus that Lee other than if he were to put Kerk feet to back, which I doubt. So I'm a troll yet you basically agree with my predictions, almost exactly?
Interviewed_at_Weehawken Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, Elevator said: Iowa has a chance if they get a few big breaks and make no big mistakes - but I think this is on PSU home mats. I think PSU finds a way. Well said, but a mild disagreement- I don't think PSU needs to find anything. They would have to lose something unexpected to drop this dual.
ionel Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 25 minutes ago, Interviewed_at_Weehawken said: Well said, but a mild disagreement- I don't think PSU needs to find anything. They would have to lose something unexpected to drop this dual. So if Jimmy were to sit in between Karl & Kasey on the bench would that be enough to throw them off? 1 2BPE 11/17/24 SMC
Interviewed_at_Weehawken Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 10 minutes ago, ionel said: So if Jimmy were to sit in between Karl & Kasey on the bench would that be enough to throw them off? Highly possible.
BerniePragle Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 6 minutes ago, ionel said: So if Jimmy were to sit in between Karl & Kasey on the bench would that be enough to throw them off? Just the opposite. They were hoping JC would bring some added mojo for the team. How did you find out about that? Honor Jimmy Cinnabon Night was supposed to be top secret. 1
Jamie_Taco Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 51 minutes ago, Interviewed_at_Weehawken said: Well said, but a mild disagreement- I don't think PSU needs to find anything. They would have to lose something unexpected to drop this dual. I don't agree with that at all. If matches go as expected, based on rankings, it will come down to heavyweight. Cass is 3-1 vs Kerk, so could you really call that loss unexpected? Ironically, I think that match is the most "toss-up" of them all. Per usual, it's going to be a great dual and both teams are going to have to bring it.
ionel Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 55 minutes ago, BerniePragle said: Just the opposite. They were hoping JC would bring some added mojo for the team. How did you find out about that? Honor Jimmy Cinnabon Night was supposed to be top secret. Guess I just assume that was the reason for the $500 tics Ponzi was complaining about. Its Pastry Night, everyone gets "free" pastries with the $500 ticket, correct? 1 2BPE 11/17/24 SMC
Pinnacle Posted January 21, 2023 Posted January 21, 2023 5 hours ago, Perry said: I think svn beats murin but siebricht wins at 157. Excited to see facundo and Kennedy go at it, but watch cael put Lee out instead. Kirk will need to wrestle with more enthusiasm than he did last night If he wants to beat Cass again. Will be a fantastic dual. You got Siebrecht beating Haines? Or do you think they send out Bearclaw?
Pa in Taiwan Posted January 22, 2023 Posted January 22, 2023 4 hours ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said: So I'm a troll yet you basically agree with my predictions, almost exactly? Yes, you are a troll, but you make a very compelling point here about VakAttack, who may be miffed that you beat him to the punch with basically the exact same predictions. Remember my post on 141 - 165. There may be some surprises here that lean in PSU's favor. Woods may not seem so real after this match. Murin may not be able to put more in against SVN. I've got Haines all the way. 165 is more of a toss-up. Let's see if Facundo can find a way. The crowd will certainly make a difference, especially at the last two weights.
VakAttack Posted January 22, 2023 Posted January 22, 2023 (edited) 5 hours ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said: So I'm a troll yet you basically agree with my predictions, almost exactly? ... yes. Edited January 22, 2023 by VakAttack
1032004 Posted January 22, 2023 Posted January 22, 2023 The picks aren’t crazy but the commentary is. Murin’s been on a tear lately? He lost to Yahya and his last 3 wins are over guys with a combined record of 16-28. Kennedy is “just better right now” even though his best win is over Danny Braunagel and Facundo just beat last year’s 4th place finisher? Haines also has to be favored right now over Siebrecht 1
MPhillips Posted January 22, 2023 Posted January 22, 2023 8 minutes ago, 1032004 said: The picks aren’t crazy but the commentary is. Murin’s been on a tear lately? That did it for me...
98lberEating2Lunches Posted January 22, 2023 Posted January 22, 2023 (edited) I guess I for sure don't understand the meaning of "for sure." ... Totally. Edited January 22, 2023 by 98lberEating2Lunches
Dylan Greenstein Northfield Mt. Herman, Massachusetts Class of 2025 Committed to Harvard Projected Weight: 285
Isabella Marie Gonzales Clovis East, California Class of 2025 Committed to Iowa (Women) Projected Weight: 117, 124
Maeve Witte Freehold Township, New Jersey Class of 2025 Committed to Lock Haven (Women) Projected Weight: 117
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