
fishbane
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Everything posted by fishbane
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Over/under on PSU/NLWC guys winning Olympic spots
fishbane replied to SocraTease's topic in International Wrestling
You forgot Suriano. He is a former PSU wrestler. -
Most wins at OSU as a wrestler. Most wins at OSU as a coach. More undefeated teams than Gable. As many conference team titles than Gable. Since Smith took over as head coach in 1991 his teams have won 5 team titles no other coach in that time period has won more except Sanderson.
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I think PD3 shows up and wrestles. It not like when he registered at 79kg for the WTT. That was less believable than Starocci getting down to 74kg.
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Yeah like Penn State Willie is going to do that?
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PD3 was reminding everyone of this fact on social media a couple days ago. Apparently he was concerned that it had been forgotten thanks to hipster liberals who believe in Cancel Culture with help from flowrestling. https://www.instagram.com/reel/C5tNVslsNFe/?igsh=MTlyZ2xoeW15d3RnOQ%3D%3D
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Retirement Press conference -
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AJ Ferrari was Smiths last individual national champion in 2021. Before that it was Dean Heil in 2017. Kids today still know John Smith. He won the Olympics in the 1992 that was 32 years ago. Dan Gable won the Olympics in 1972. College and high school wrestlers still know who was in 2004. And even if they have forgotten it doesn't appear to have negatively affect his ability to recruit. OSU secured 12 top 25 recruits over the past 5 recruiting classes which is the second best behind only PSU (13) and a significant advantage over Ohio State (9), Iowa (8), Michigan (7), and Cornell (6).
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I think Starocci could be set up for a debunking here. Moving up after a failed weight cut attempt coming off an injury. PD3 might take him out.
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I will also miss Askren's impression of John Smith. Perhaps we will get that one last time when they inevitably discuss this on the show next week.
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But couldn't those assurances go out the window depending on who applies? If OSU has to have an open application period you'd have to think some of the biggest names in the sport would consider applying. Dake, Burroughs, Taylor, Cormier, Askren, Pendleton, Popolizio, Robie, Cunningham, Jones, Grey, ect. you'd have to think that is any of those guys have any aspirations of coaching a team to an NCAA title they would consider applying. There are only 5 programs (Iowa, OSU, Minnesota, PSU, Ohio State) that have won NCAA titles in the past 35 years. Openings at these programs do not come along often. In that time OSU has had two head coaches, Ohio State two head coaches, Minnesota two head coaches, Iowa three head coaches, and PSU 4 head coaches. Including this vacancy at OSU that is 9 vacancies in 35 years.
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Weren't there similar rumors the last time the OSU job was vacant too? The assistants were taking turns running things jockeying for the vacant position and using each practice as a tryout. I think Monday and Smith were the front runners.
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I think 1983 Iowa and 1986 Iowa are right there with 1997 Iowa and 2024 PSU. Under the old placement point allocation 1986 Iowa had the most placement points of the 4 teams. Under the current placement point allocation 1983 Iowa had the most placement points. 1986 Iowa was very top heavy in that they only qualified 8, but had 6 finalists, 1-4th and 1-5th. The change to placement point allocation increased placement points for positions 3 and lower, so they didn't benefit as much. 1983 had 10 qualifiers and is the only team out of the 4 with 9AAs.
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That's a good point. Iowa had 9 pinfalls at NCAAs in 1997. Five of them were first period pinfalls in times of 0:31, 0:37, 0:59, 1:05 and 2:35. I think there is a very slim chance of the PFs in 1:05 or less being stopped early for a TF. The 2:35 PF was Joe Williams's first round match. There isn't much in the way of a description on the UNI website for this bout. I'll say it doesn't get stopped early for a TF There were two 2nd period PF - Uker PF Dunklin 4:20 and Ironside PF Wells 4:03. There isn't much of a description for the Uker match. The description for Ironside's match said Ironside got 6TDs. I'll say that ends early with a TF and count Uker that way too just to be conservative Finally there were two third period PFs in times of 5:45 and 5:15. The 5:45 PF match was Lee Fullhart over Cook in the first round. The UNI description says it was tied entering the 3rd period. I'm going to say this wouldn't turn into a TF. It seems unlikely with NF3, NF4 and TD3 Fulhart opens up a 15 point lead in 0:45. The last PF was a Wes Hand match for which there isn't much description. I'll say that one ends early just to be conservative though Hand wasn't putting up tons of points in his other matches in the tournament. I think 0.5 points almost definitely would be lost due to this (Ironside) and deducting 1.5 points (Ironside, Uker, and Hand) would be a conservative estimate.
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I also attempted to rescore individual bouts from 1997 NCAAs applying the current NF3, NF4, and TD3 criteria to Iowa's matches. I used the highlights and match scores from this website to do it - https://ncaa-wrestling.uni.edu/brackets/. This is possibly a little conservative as full bout scoring was not available. I get 176 after this adjustment. I think this is conservative, but it's possible that it would be less. In any event Iowa only needed 1 team point for their adjusted team points to pass PSU's actual 2024 team point total. That's 1 dec being recored to a MD and that is definitely the case. Ironside's final has video available and he won 10-4 scoring 4 TDs and a reversal. That would be a MD 14-4 rescored.
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This is what I come up with 1997 Iowa scored two ways When rescoring under 2024 rules I did not attempt to adjust the bout scoring for the 3pt TD or the new NF rules. Adjustments were made removing bye points, placement points, and to change 1 pt match terminations (TF w/o NF) to 1.5 point TF. This is what I come up with PSU For 1997 team scoring I added bye points, adjusted placement points to the 1997 schedule, and changed any TF that did not feature NF from a 1.5 point TF to a 1 point MT. This effected both TFs bye Levi Haines, 1 for Mesenbrink, 2 for Brooks, and 1 for Kerkvliet. It should be noted that in 2024 the qualifiers are distributed equally allowing for more weights with round of 64 byes than in 1997. In 1997 only 5 weights had byes. Assuming the same 5 weights (with 7 lbs allowance) had the byes, then PSU would have 4.5 bye points instead of 9 making the total 171 or 1 more than Iowa. For the 1997 Team/Bout Scoring I attempted to rescore the 2024 bouts assigning 2 points for each TD and NF points as in 1997. I only did this for bouts where PSU scored bonus points as doing this could change W/L outcomes or make a match tied. Doing this also makes any bout with a 15 point difference into less than a 15 point difference unless those points were scored w/o any NF3, NF4, or TD3. That didn't happen, but there were only 2 TF that were not downgraded to a MT. These were scored by Nagao and Truax. Nagao's match ended with a 15 point differential in the second period and Truax's with 1:50 left in the 3rd. I gave them both benefit of the doubt and said they would have got the tech anyway and kept them at 1.5 team points. Kasak had two MDs downgraded to Dec, Haines had 1, Mesenbrink had 2, and Kerkvliet also had 2. After these adjustments PSU has 168.5 team points, but that is with equally distributed byes. With a 1997 by distribution they would only have 4.5 bye points making the total 164. I don't know if the bonus points with bout rescoring is that meaningful. Take for example the Kasak Roberts consolation match. This match was wrestled with TD3, NF3, and NF4. The final score was 14-5 Kasak. Kasak scored 1 TD3, 1 NF3, and 1NF 4, whilst Roberts scored 1 TD3. Under 1997 rules that would make the final 11-4 making it a dec, but is that really what would have happened? Maybe Kasak pushes to score more to get the MD or maybe he fights hard to not give up that TD with 0:24 left in the match?
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Oh interesting. I guess the McIlravy matches must be MT instead of TF. I had thought possibly a team point had been deducted as that wouldn't show up in the brackets, but given what was in the other thread the McIlravy explanation is likely it. This would update my 1997 table to look like this And 2024 scoring to look like this After changing McIlravy's TF to MT, I'm getting 170 for 1997 Iowa using 1997 scoring, but I get 172 for 1997 Iowa using 2024 scoring. I think where we are different is the Joe Williams vs Tivon Able MT. I think you forgot to make it a TF in 2024 scoring. I looked at the UNI website you references and that also has that as a 22-7 7:00 match termination.
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I tried doing this and I'm messing something up. I get Iowa's 1997 total as 171 which is off by 1 and 172 when adjusting for scoring differences. This is the scoring as I understand it from 1997. I get 171, but that is off by 1 This is rescored with 2024 scoring. I get 172 total. The bye points (-4.5) are removed. Joe Williams's match termination/4 point TF win over Abel is now worth 2.5 (+0.5). The placement points go up for Gilliss (+3) and Uker (+2). Making a net 1 point gain. What do I have wrong?
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If you watch his NCAA finals match (Link) midway through the second period at about 6:40 in the video the broadcast team says he was a junior college champion at Lassen Community College in CA. Not sure if he is subject to the same exception at MSU as Williams was at Iowa...
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Yes those were the transfers I was talking about. All those matches were in their redshirt year and would have been unattached. These are similar to the matches Pucillo wrestled in redshirt. The VT wrestlers didn't use eligibility that year at VT it was the next year at Iowa where eligibility was used. Similar to Pucillo at Hofstra. What's different with Mesenbrink is that he wrestled in two dual at Cal Baptist. True freshman can now wrestle in 5 events attached. So those duals count on his official record even though he didn't use any eligibility in wrestling them. Nor at least that's my understanding of the situation.
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This is also kind of true for the VT transfers. Never wrestled in a VT singlet and didn't use eligibility at VT, but lost eligibility at Iowa. I think the criteria WKN used was if the transfer cost any eligibility at all they didn't make the squint list. In the future there might possibly be an exception named Mitchell Mesenbrink. He did a redshirt year at Cal Baptist and then transferred to PSU. He has 4 years to use at PSU, but he actually wrestled in a couple duals for Cal Baptist last year. The change to the freshman redshirt rules allowed for it. If he goes on to win a title will WKN put him in the squint list?
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But the second transfer fits both the first criteria and the second criteria.
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Shouldn't Suriano be on the first list twice? Once PSU->Rutgers and once Rutgers->Michigan?
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I'm squinting and I can't see the difference between Jesse Delgado and Mike Pucillo.
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Hofstra. He was recruited by Tom Ryan there and followed him to Ohio State. https://gohofstra.com/sports/wrestling/roster/mike-pucillo/347