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Well gents the day has arrived. America's future hangs in the balance. What will Americans choose?


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Posted (edited)

Ballot counts have slowed or stopped in GA, AZ, PA, NV.  Just like 4 years ago.  It is amazing how the count stops with 10% to go . . . 

Right now Harris is losing every single swing state.  Let's see how it is when we wake up.  

Trump up 6 million popular votes with 62% of the vote in.  51.7 million to 45.7 million.

Kammie needs 70% of the remaining vote to get to Joe's Magic Dem number of 81 million.  It beggars belief and mathematics and statistical probability.  Therefore, it probably will happen just like it did for Joe.

Edited by Lipdrag

People who tolerate me on a daily basis . . . they are the real heroes.

Posted

Kamala and crew are closing up for the night and getting sleep.  I'd bet Trump is not.  But wasn't there a thread about Trump being exhausted and canceling things?  

  • Bob 1

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Posted (edited)
  On 11/6/2024 at 5:11 AM, Caveira said:

Subtle.   But left wing media blaming something else….. feels like losing 

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The election is over, Trump won. They have to wait to officially call it until they are 99.9% sure, but it's obviously over just like it was over days before they called it 4 years ago. 

Edited by billyhoyle
Posted (edited)
  On 11/6/2024 at 5:09 AM, billyhoyle said:

That poll was an outlier. There was another Iowa poll with Trump up by like 10 released that same day. 

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Trust me.  It's not worth defending the polls.  A few of us understand what they are.  People just don't understand.  But, to be fair they missed trends in FL, TX, and VA.  Especially a state like New Jersey

Edited by PortaJohn

I Don't Agree With What I Posted

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 5:12 AM, PortaJohn said:

Trust me.  It's not worth defending the polls.  A few of us understand what they are.  People just don't understand.  But, to be fair they missed trends in FL, TX, and VA.  Especially a state like New Jersey

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I don't think there was even much polling done in FL, TX, and VA because those states weren't even contested by either candidate. 

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 5:12 AM, PortaJohn said:

Trust me.  It's not worth defending the polls.  A few of us understand what they are.  People just don't understand.  But, to be fair they missed trends in FL, TX, and VA.  Especially a state like New Jersey

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Hey, I was just coming here to say that it seems like you nailed this in your earlier analysis. 

  • Bob 1

You are a voice of reason. - @Paul158

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 5:14 AM, billyhoyle said:

I don't think there was even much polling done in FL, TX, and VA because those states weren't even contested by either candidate. 

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Absolutely.  You can also argue against my comment and say it was picked up in National Polls like the NYT poll that showed Trump was doing well nationally.  Point is I've learned a long time ago to ignore poll bashing

  • Bob 2

I Don't Agree With What I Posted

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 5:14 AM, VakAttack said:

Hey, I was just coming here to say that it seems like you nailed this in your earlier analysis. 

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I absolutely did.  Have a degree in this.  Although I opted not to work in this field (it's a dirty business) I study it religiously.  Elections are won well before election day.  This race was over the second Biden announced he was running again.  And it was impossible to get people to understand how bad and a god awful politician Kamala is.  Dems had a chance if they would've ran a primary and picked a centrist candidate from the midwest.

I Don't Agree With What I Posted

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 5:04 AM, billyhoyle said:

The polls were basically spot on.  It looks like they were accurate within like 2%. 

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I didn’t want to type.  Not beefing on the polls.   Just that when left ish comedians make jokes Leaning towards Losing I feel it’s getting close.  

Posted

If Trump wins the popular vote are all those states that signed the National Popular Interstate Vote Compact going to make it a landslide by sending his electors to the count?

  • Bob 1
Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 6:53 AM, VakAttack said:
How long am I supposed to wait before I start claiming the election was stolen without any evidence as opposed to it just being a result I don't like?

You can start anytime. It’s going to be a heavy lift though.

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