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fishbane

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Everything posted by fishbane

  1. I'm open to tweaks. My reasoning behind giving the bottom guy a point would be that standing them up without giving up a point might provide the top guy with an incentive to stall to the standup. This may change in the era of a 3 point TD, but historically getting a TD and riding out the period is a really big advantage because the defensive wrestler loses the ability to get that escape point. It can be the difference in the match. Denying the defensive wrestler the ability to get the escape point seems like it would be rewarding the top wrestlers ineffective riding. I though this might be redundant with the point for 1:00 riding time advantage. With this 30 second clock on the bottom would you eliminate the point for 1:00 advantage time? Maybe after the initial period the officials could vote on who was less active (top or bottom wrestler) and whichever wrestler is chosen gets put on a 0:30 clock and must score in the period. In the case of the top man failing to score the bottom wrestler gets 1 point and action restarted on the feet. If the bottom man fails to score then top wrestler is given choice to restart (top, bottom, neutral) and no points are awarded.
  2. The two out of three decreasing variance is mathematical principle. For example suppose you have a pool of 20 officials score a sequence. Nineteen of them score it one way and one scores it the other way. If you assign a single official to a mat then that sequence could get scored the alternative way 1/20th of the time. Now if you randomly select 3 officials to officiate a mat and have them vote on the scoring, in theory that same sequence should never be scored the alternative way. The one dissenting official would always be outvoted. If two of the 20 officials would score it the alternative way then 10% of the time a single official scoring a bout would arrive at the alternative scoring. If you have a group of three officials scoring it then to get the alternative scoring both the the dissenting officials would need to be on the same officiating crew which isn't likely. There are only 18 possible groups of three that would vote the alternative way and there are 1140 possible groups of three to be made. It ends up being <1.6% of the 3 person officiating crews that would vote the alternative scoring. I would like the call to be more activity based, but with the forced call in 0-0 matches it can be a real pick-em scenario. Controlling center can be more objective than who tried harder to score. I don't watch that much freestyle either, but I don't think 9 of 10 matches result in two shot clocks. Probably the last freestyle event I watched was Final X I don't think any of the men's matches had two shot clocks in the same match. That said I am aware of the style of match you're referring to where no one is really scoring and there are alternating shot clocks in the first and second period. While it may seem like the officials are just flipping their calls out of perhaps fairness, it is also a consequence of the scoring system that with no scoring beyond the first shot clock point that the other wrestler will be more offensive going forward. If no one has scored and one guy gets put on the shot clock and is unable to score in the 0:30 period then that wrestler is now down 1-0. It makes sense that they will be less passive going forward in the match now that they are behind and that the other wrestler initially less passive may be more passive with the lead. I think the fact that a wrestler is always trailing is a strength of the freestyle system. One wrestler should always be trying to score since 2:30 into the match there must be a point on the board and thus a wrestler in the lead.
  3. Yes. It wasn't a very wide release, but I did manage to see it in a theater. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Hammer_(2010_film)
  4. https://shoresportsnetwork.com/a-shot-in-the-dark-new-movie-portrays-inspirational-story-of-blind-st-john-vianney-wrestler-anthony-ferraro/
  5. Matt Hamill. He wrestled for a year at Purdue then transferred to RIT (D3). Won three D3 national titles. There was a wrestler that I coached for a couple of years that was both deaf and legally blind. I recall the visual impairment being described as a tunnel vision that would get progressively worse until he was totally blind. He didn't reach a high level of success, but I recall being totally surprised by his performance the first time he took the mat in competition.
  6. I don't think the freestyle rules was intended to prevent stalling. I think it was designed to encourage action and scoring. With the elimination of OT and the ball grab 0-0 matches would one a problem. Having thought about it more maybe a freestyle solution would work well to address stalling on top. Suppose that after a TD, reversal, or start of a period a clock is started and after some set period of time (this could be anything 0:30, 0:45, 1:00) if no points are scored (no escape/reversal/NF/PF) then a 0:30 clock is set. If a NF, fall, reversal, or escape is not scored within the 0:30 period, then the defensive wrestler is awarded a point and action is restarted in the neutral position. This would be a shot clock implementation with zero subjectivity. Ultimately it may be considered too complicated to implement since it needs 3 running clocks at some point, but overall I think it is fairly simple.
  7. I think you completely missed my point. You got distracted by the basketball analogy and let it slip right past you. I wasn't suggesting the use of the freestyle implementation, I simply used it to demonstrate how the sport of wrestling could use something from another sport like basketball. My point is that asking referees to call stalling slightly different is not the answer and that putting more things at their discretion is a bad idear. I think the fact that 2 out of 3 officials must agree is an improvement and should make for greater consistency in the calls than a single official making the call. The other thing that I like about it is that the official doesn't simply hand the other wrestler a point in most instances. After two calls the wrestler has a 0:30 period to prevent the point. So whilst there is subjectivity in the initial two calls the 2/3 system should make for greater consistency and ultimately awarding the penalty point is a fairly objective criteria - was there scoring during the 0:30 period? What makes it arguably more subjective is that there is a forced call in a 0-0 match. There could be a match with a ton of action in the first two minutes, but with no scoring the officials must pick the more passive wrestler to put on the clock with 1:00 remaining. This means they are having to pick a wrestler in a lot of instances where it is a close call. This might mean there is a lot of subjectivity in the calls (it could go either way), but at the same time there is consistency in that there is always a call and only two possible outcomes. The wrestlers will know better how this will be handled than in a folkstyle match.
  8. In case you were unaware, there is a popular style of wrestling that has addressed stalling/passivity with a shot clock.
  9. I don't think referees should be in charge of calming stalling. The rules should be such that they disincentivize it. I am not really in favour of a solution where the official uses his/her judgement as to whether or not someone is trying to do something to call stalling. The sport of basketball had a stalling problem. The way they addressed it wasn't to have officials call a foul when in the judgement of the official one team was not trying to score. It was the shot clock which is an objective standard with very little in the way of judgement.
  10. I think this is overblown and at the same time how it should be. Relationships and facilities do matter, but this is going to be more like the business world. A job offer from a company where a couple of your former colleagues work with really nice facilities means something, but if another company with similar facilities and good people that is offering 20% more pay might win out. Part of the reason that colleges and universities have such amazing athletics facilities is because they are so good at getting people to give them money in exchange for nothing and being a nonprofit they have to find ways to spend it. There are only so many positions in an athletic department that demand millions of dollars. What else can they spend it on? For years they were capped on what could go to the players. For this reason almost all universities in major conferences have pro-level athletic facilities. Better than some pro teams like the Oakland A's, Washington Redskins, and many MLS teams.
  11. Mark Hall and Vincenzo Joseph are not among the top NCAA wrestlers of the past 10 years.
  12. Possibly. I think the other party has to have relinquished their right to collect it or forgiven the debt for it to be a taxable gain. Also it could be that the bet was not paid because of some dispute related to the outcome (both parties feel they won for example) or the fairness of the game as played (Ex. someone cheated). Supposing someone marks a card in poker and this impacts the hand in a way that allows them to win. I think you could deny payment without worry that it would be a taxable event even if the other party later "forgave" the "debt."
  13. It's true and the student-athlete may be able to set up a business to receive NIL payments and avoid the self employment tax. Still I don't see a lot of expenses to write off in these NIL deals that are $X to attend Y school. Its not like the student can write off tuition/room/board/books/college moving expenses as a business expense. If they were operating clinics in the offseason or selling merch there would be real expenses related to those activities. Renting the venue, equipment, paying other clinicians, advertising, design for advertising/merch, cost of having said merch produced, order fulfillment costs, payment processing costs, computer and office equipment to manage all this stuff, business dinners with partners, travel expenses, ext. If they just get paid a check for showing up at a school what expenses could be claimed? Some legal and accounting services? If to make it less obvious they have the athlete show up for a photo shoot for a billboard or TV commercial what expenses can be claimed even for that? Surely it would be a nominal amount. Educational tax credits are capped at $2500 but there is also an income phase out. Basically if you pay at least $10k in educational expenses you've maxed out the credit. The credit also phases out starting at AGI levels of $80k, so depending on the size and structure of the deal they may be phased out of claiming these credits.
  14. The student could claim the standard deduction regardless. You might be thinking of exemptions which went away back in 2018 with Trumps changes. If the student is paying their tuition and room and board via NIL $$ their parents likely aren't supporting them to the level required to claim the student anyway. A combination of factors would likely make it more advantageous for the parent to not claim their child as a dependent if the child was a full time student paying their own tuition/room/board with NIL money. It likely wouldn't impact the parents deductions unless it was the difference between being able to claim head of household for the parent. A college age child is unlikely to be a qualifying child unless they are younger than typical. Similarly a college age student would likely have aged out of most child tax credits that parents typically claim. Educational tax credits would likely be what decides where the student is claimed as a dependent. These can only be claimed by the person incurring the qualified education expenses. The parents not paying educational expenses would be prevented them from claiming these. The student would also not be able to claim them if they were a dependent on their parents taxes. The solution would be for the student to claim themselves as a dependent provided their income does not profit them from claiming the educational tax credits.
  15. 1) Unless the athlete has planned in advance self employment tax (15.3%) would likely be due on NIL payments on top of normal federal and state income tax. 2) Other scholarships you speak of might be related to need. Getting NIL money might put the student outside of need based criteria for certain scholarships, grants, and loans. Before enrolling awards will be based on income that does not include NIL money. Some of that could go away if the students income spikes after receiving NIL $$$. Students on an athletic scholarship would not have to deal with this risk. Vito cited need based aid as a reason that he had not pursued NIL monies earlier. Cornell being an Ivy does not award athletic scholarships. They have a very large endowment (as do all Ivies) and they cover all of their students need by grants. He was receiving significant amounts of need based aid (cost of attendance at Cornell is $88k) so if he made more money it would decrease his aid award. Not sure what the actual numbers are but if he made $1 in NIL money he may owe $0.30 in taxes and it could have reduced his aid award from Cornell by another $0.30 or so removing some incentive to pursue it. He said in his final season he will try and do more with NIL since his aid award is set before the start of the year and would not adjust based on his NIL income during the season.
  16. An NIL agreement would need to provide above the $$ value of a full ride scholarship to replace it. NIL deals are income and get taxed. Scholarships generally are not taxable. Tuition, fees, room, board, books, ext at a school like Iowa is probably $50k. An NIL deal would need to be $65k+ to replace it.
  17. I noticed on John Giura's entry in the wrestling database his profession is listed as "antique dealer." I thought that was an interesting profession for a World Team member. Have any other antique dealers represented the US in wrestling on the world stage? Is he still involved in the antique business? Does he have a showroom anywhere?
  18. The version I found said the match was in 1991. He also said this was a 45-minute match and that he had scored the first 4 points. 50 points over 45 minutes is only 1.11 points per minute of wrestling. That is assuming a flat consistent rate of scoring. That probably wasn't the case. Perhaps Gable wore Lewis down over the 45 minutes and scored more at the end of the time than the early stages. Or perhaps being in his 40s, Gable's pace slowed in the later stages and most of the points were scored early. In any case I think a 6-minute match could be on a knife edge vs a 50-4 blowout. This was also 3 years removed and a weight up from the Lewis-Smith best of three for the 1988 Olympic team spot. The former world champion he beat in 1991, Budaev, only represented Russia once at the world championships. It was the year refereced (1989) when Fadzaev bumped up and lost in the final to Monday. Budaev would have been 34 years old in 1991.
  19. The version I found said the match was in 1991. He also said this was a 45-minute match and that he had scored the first 4 points. 54 points over 45 minutes is only 1.2 points per minute of wrestling. That is assuming a flat consistent rate of scoring. That probably wasn't the case. Perhaps Gable wore Lewis down over the 45 minutes and scored more at the end of the time than the early stages. Or perhaps being in his 40s, Gable's pace slowed in the later stages and most of the points were scored early. In any case I think a 6-minute match could be on a knife edge vs a 54-4 blowout. This was also 3 years removed and a weight up from the Lewis-Smith best of three for the 1988 Olympic team spot. The former world champion he beat in 1991, Budaev, only represented Russia once at the world championships. It was the year refereced (1989) when Fadzaev bumped up and lost in the final to Monday. Budaev would have been 34 years old in 1991.
  20. I wouldn't think Gable could get the better of Smith back when Smith was winning world/Olympic titles. Before the 2004 Olympics Jamill Kelly said he beat John Smith in a match in the room. Maybe Gable could get the better of a 2004-present John Smith. "Does John Smith still wrestle with the guys in practice? Does he go live at all? Kelly: When I first got to school there, he wrestled with us a lot. He'll drill with the guys occasionally. The last time me and him wrestled was when I made the Olympic team. He kind of called me out, so we hooked it up a little bit. How did that go? Kelly: Um … I won. He probably won't admit to it. But, you know, I won. He was good at really getting the intensity out of me sometimes. You get with the guys in practice, a lot of them, you get to kind of have your way with them, and you know exactly what they're going to do. So, sometimes he would go with me, just because he knew how he could bring another level out of me. He came up to me, just a random day at practice, and was like, 'I know that I could have made the (Olympic) team in 96 and 2000. Now I'm going to see if I could have made the team in 2004. I kind of looked at him like, 'I can't believe you just said that to me.' But he knew that would get kind of a rise out of me and bring my intensity level up. Just little things like that, I think is what makes him a great coach. He knows how to bring that out in each individual."
  21. The change in pins from 2008-2015 to 2016-2021 was not really statistically significant. The t statistic for MDs and TFs was over 3.5. For PFs it was ~<1 so we can't really conclude anything changed with respect to pins from the data available. Being able to score 7 points from a TD to NF is kind of crazy. Imagine a 1 point match late where the trailing wrestler throws sends it trying to win the match and gets taken down to his back. It could go from 1 stall call away from OT to a MD real quick. 1 scoring action really.
  22. Brennan Swafford (174) is a transfer and has started in duals for the Hawkeyes before.
  23. Definitely not tainted nor do I think there should be a footnote next to records. This is not typically how these things are handled in other sports. When the NFL added the two point conversion did they add a footnote next to scoring records? Does the NBA put an asterisk next to point totals from the 3 point era? I don't think they do and I don't think wrestling should group scoring records pre 3 point TD and post 3 point TD. I think it should be used to add context goat debates. Say comparing Cael Sanderson's career to that of Zain Retherford, Jason Nolf, Bo Nickal, Yianni Diakomihalis, Spencer Lee, Aaron Brooks, Carter Starocci, Keegan O'Toole ect this should be taken into account. All these guys wrestled in the 4 point NF era where bonus points are easier to come by. This should be taken into account when comparing bonus rates across eras. Look at bonus point rate compared to the average NCAA qualifier or something like that. It would be kind of like how WAR in baseball adjusts the replacement level player based on performance in the league that year. How this might be done on a team scale could be illustrated by looking at Penn State. The top three teams in PSU history were the National title winning 2017 squad, the national title winning 2018 squad, and this years national title winning team. No major team scoring changes were made between 2017 and 2023 nor were there any major changes to bout scoring. In 2017 the team scored 146.5 Team points at NCAAs, in 2018 the team scored 141.5, and this year they scored 137.5. Looking at the absolute number it would seam 2017>2018>2023, but looking at WKN's table of bonus point victories at NCAAs 2017 and 2018 were the highest scoring years in the 15 year period with 306.5 and 292 respectively. Meanwhile this season was one of the tournaments with the fewest bonus points scored, only 225.5. In the context of scoring so many team points in a tournament where team points were more difficult to obtain 137.5 might be more impressive than 146.5 or 141.5. Perhaps looking at PSU's scoring in comparison to the total team points awarded at the tournament would prove more useful. In years where a large skill variance in the competitors making MDs, TFs, and PFs easier to come by this would be reflected in the total bonus points scored over all matches. Similarly if a rule change made smaller skill differences translate into larger point differences, thus making bonus points more common it would be reflected in the totals as well.
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