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Wrestleknownothing

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Everything posted by Wrestleknownothing

  1. Thank you to @jross and @Cornell Kevin for plugging holes in my data. Here is the updated, corrected version of most dominant Hodge winners of all time. With the new data Zain Retherford hangs on to the title, but Stephen Neal knocks Ben Askren and Cael Sanderson down a peg. Speaking of Retherford. His 2016 dominance score of 5.03 was higher than eventual Hodge winner, Alex Dieringer's, score of 4.76. That is the last time the Hodge winner did not have the highest dominance score. Though it had happened prior to 2016. In 2011, Jordan Burroughs won with a dominance score of 4.61, which was only third best among finalists. Jordan Oliver (4.79) and Anthony Robles (4.64) each had higher scores.
  2. I’ve known Jeff [Epstein] for 15 years. Terrific guy, He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side.
  3. True story. My wife HATES swimming, but she loves a swimmer. She contains multitudes.
  4. Ackman is no dummy. He knows that Trump responds to flattery like no other. And it costs him nothing.
  5. Or.... McNeil has not announced a destination yet. What if he transfers to North Carolina? Rob Koll with the double whammy.
  6. This reminds me of something my dad used to say. Anyone can think of a dumb idea, but it takes a real idiot to listen to it. So, was Navarro the dumb one, and Trump the idiot?
  7. No doubt red viking is a complete mess. But there are also some on here who were cheering on the maximum infliction of pain claiming it was a strategy. Their cheerleader is JimmySpeaks.
  8. Not a dead cat bounce. This was performing CPR on the cat. A dead cat bounce is when the market hits a low and bounces back a bit before heading lower again. This movement higher is because something fundamentally changed. Very different.
  9. Complaining about stupidity is not rooting for stupidity. We all got what we wanted. For Trump to stop being stupid.
  10. You mean some VERY well defined basis. The title of the thread is Trump Tariffs. So going back to when Trump started The Dumbest Trade War In History is the only proper way to do the accounting.
  11. You guys sound like my wife. Every time she says she saved me money I have less money.
  12. The Nasdaq was 22,250 when he started this mess. It is now 19,186. What about that says "up almost 10%"?
  13. Only if by "The Plan" you mean demonstrate incompetence.
  14. Never the plan. I would say that Musk is now giving you a peak behind the curtain with his Navarro comments. Trump does not understand what he is doing and he has surrounded himself with cabinet members who do not know what they are doing. Their only qualification is how deeply they kiss Trump's ass. As a result you get a TV pundit running the military and giving away attack plans to the media over unsecure, non-approved channels and a trade advisor who devises the dumbest possible equation (that he may have found by using ChatGPT?) to prosecute The Dumbest Trade War In History.
  15. The basis trade was pretty well blown up Thursday to Monday causing treasury yields to spike. The basis trade involves buying treasuries and selling futures against them. Pension funds and long only managers like to get exposure to treasuries via the futures rather than buying the cash bond because it is more capital efficient for them. As a result of that demand treasury futures trade at a slight premium to cash bonds. So hedge funds step in and borrow money to buy the bonds so they can sell futures to the buyers who want them. This is a massively levered trade. They effectively manufacture treasury futures. When other markets are going to hell and a hedge fund needs to raise money they tend to do it in the most liquid, safest market, which visits the problem onto that market too (contagion). As a result big chunks of the basis trade got unwound over the last few days. Add to that when we buy products from overseas a lot of those US dollars we spend get invested in treasuries. (We import goods and export financial products). If we aren't going to spend those dollars then the treasuries won't get bought. And the ones that are owned by foreigners tend to get sold. Trump hates this form of balance of trade. So it was a double whammy. Trump wants lower 10 year yields, and one theory of tariffs is that he is attempting to force Jerome Powell's hand to cut interest rates. No one thinks that is the only reason, or that Trump has coherent reasons, for tariffs, but that the tariffs had the opposite effect may go a long way to explaining the 90 day pause. And hopefully cause Trump to rethink (haha, that implies he thought in the first place) entering into The Dumbest Trade War In History.
  16. you absolutely should not trust him.
  17. There is someone doing interesting wrestling stats called Mat Stats. I signed up for his newsletter. This issue had some good detail on the 2025 tournament. https://matstats.beehiiv.com/p/5-ncaa-wrestling-championships-statistics-2025?utm_campaign=5-ncaa-wrestling-championships-statistics-2025&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_source=matstats.beehiiv.com They use trackwrestling data and calculate things like total TDs, riding time points, back points, bonus, etc. Check it out.
  18. This is neither here nor there, but someone on HVI asked about how the tournament is scored and whether there is always the same number of advancement and placement points. The answer is yes since 2013. But these questions always get me thinking about edge cases. And there is a beautiful one in 2024. Vince Cornella received an at-large bid at 141 in 2024, but due to injury was unable to compete. Jacob Brya, the first alternate, did not wind up taking his place so the bracket was 32 instead of the usual 33. Since the bracket is now scored as a 32 man bracket with a pigtail, that meant Gradner-Webb's #32 Todd Carter received a forfeit in the championship pigtail round worth 3 points (1 advancement + 2 bonus). He then lost to #1 seed Jesse Mendez and #16 seed Dylan Chappell. Todd Carter went 0-2 but still scored 3 team points.
  19. Does anyone know if Lucas Byrd is wrestling his 7th year? I had him as not returning in the numbers above, but it occurred to me that he has another year of eligibility. If he returns then it is 207 wrestlers returning who scored 885.5 points (61.6%), still far below last year's number.
  20. I get the case for Welsh, but not necessarily Elam and Figueroa. Elam was injured. Even though he is a four time AA we have plenty of examples of injuries taking their toll over time and results suffering as a result. And Figueroa did what Figueroa did. As a defending champ he went 1-2, I am not sure it is safe to say he will become a champ again. So using his high point doesn't make a lot of sense. As Bill Parcells said, "you are what your record says you are". And his current record says 1-2 with both loses to guys who failed to AA.
  21. Because I focus on the ratio adding something to the numerator that is not accounted for in the denominator becomes problematic. But if you have a list of redshirts from last year that are returning this year, it is certainly doable.
  22. Do you mean best past finish? The numbers do include last year's (past) finish.
  23. The thing you have to remember is @lisa morales is an idiot
  24. Last year there was Alirez (2nd) and Van Ness (3rd) that I can recall.
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