scourge165

Yeah...I guess. I liked NVDA at 155, but I thought I was done buying(I don't think it got quite that high, probably ~153) but picked up 5000 shares at 87). Then some AVGO, TSM and BRK.B because again, that's effectively a safe growth fund at this point. I'm a little nervous though...since I said this past weekend, a bounce on Monday and Tuesday could actually be bearish for them. I don't think Trump has the timeline you do though. -He's facing an inherently difficult battle to keep either house being the incumbent -The longer the market is in turmoil, the worse the hard numbers will get...and it's going to take a while to get those back up. So I'd say he has...maybe 90 days to reach deals(he's said he's not willing and willing in the same interview). And with the EU tariffs starting May1 and the Russian Tariffs starting and Trump threatening to double ours, it's going to be down to pull up if the economy/market is weaker early 2026 than it was when Biden left.

Cheaper than California...but it's 10% tariff. Business shouldn't cost as much as it does in California or as little as it does in Texas. 50 layers of regulation or "screw it, do what feels right," and the grid goes out if it goes under 40...it's a good reason why neither side you'll usually see on Twitter is...well, right. Automobiles make up a big chunk of the effective tariff rates I've shared. Mexico is 20%, but that's because our Corn industry decimated theirs and....well, that's what Trump negotiated with the USMCA. The MAIN reason though...after the Chicken Wars of the 1960s, Biden made it clear for...a long time that they'd be putting a 100% tariff on Chinese EVs. Again, why I like TARGETED so much. It made sense for both sides, but Musk had worked out deals with China to license their FSD and he was hoping to beat BYD, NIO or...LI Auto. It was...ironically protection for primarily TSLA(but other American EVs as well).

Now...to clarify, those are...events that happened or polls that were taken that would paint Republicans in an ...absolutely horrific light, right? So Jimmy didn't like when I said I had more confidence in Republicans, I believe these are extremists and they don't actually represent those who I know or see(for the most part). That I didn't actually believe those polls that Trump does, 82% of people who said or that % of people who believe a Civil War would happen if Harris had won... So...some of those are just things that happened. The polling though...I don't answer polls and I don't believe most people do. I think people like Jimmy are the ones who do those polls and will probably dismiss those polls(despite...again, me expressing disbelief). I actually think I have the perfect encapsulation of Jimmy. That tongue hanging out, Head is a little too big...but he's just a little guy and...ineffectual. He's the guy who has no bite. If he's on your leg, you give him a little kick, he runs away yapping and that's it. He thinks he's a big dog...but, LOL...he's a harmless "special" little dog!

Two? ONE Registered Republican took a shot at him. The 2nd "attempt was a guy with a gun who never shot a gun and was caught running. So...that's two people. -You want to talk about Obama? A man got into the White House with knifes and 800 rounds of Ammo. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/white-house-intruder-makes-it-to-obama-residence-before-he-was-nabbed/ Not to mention the White Militia Groups sky rocketing after the election of Obama or lets just talk about all the plots. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Security_incidents_involving_Barack_Obama How about the Gretchen Whitmer kidnapping plot? https://apnews.com/article/michigan-whitmer-kidnapping-plot-convictions-042227f68a3fcc49ea91126388cd91de How about the white supremacist officer who started off the looting in the Minneapolis riots? https://www.startribune.com/minneapolis-police-say-umbrella-man-was-a-white-supremacist-trying-to-incite-george-floyd-rioting/571932272 How about the white supremacists who used the protests to shoot security officers? https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/airman-charged-killing-federal-officer-during-george-floyd-protests-california-n1231187 REPUBLICAN LAWMAKER CALLS FOR CIVIL WAR if Harris wins the election; State Sen George Lang https://truthout.org/articles/republican-at-vance-rally-says-civil-war-may-be-needed-if-trump-loses-election/ So 82% of Republicans believe Trump's election claim. But probably a bogus poll, right? That's the one Trump cited. https://www.newsweek.com/fact-check-trump-claims-82-believe-rigged-election-1875537 This one says 63% of Republicans don't believe the outcome. https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2023/03/14/republicans-increasingly-realize-theres-no-evidence-of-election-fraud-but-most-still-think-2020-election-was-stolen-anyway-poll-finds/ Over half Republicans think January 6th was "protecting Democracy. https://www.newsweek.com/over-half-republicans-believe-jan-6-capitol-rioters-were-protecting-democracy-poll-1664856 54% or Republicans believe a....CIVIL WAR is coming. https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/02/could-united-states-be-headed-national-divorce Hey, 'lil Jimmy...you don't read, but...LOL...just thought it was funny, you're inability to actually source ANYTHING yourself.... I actually feel...a little bad for you. I do think you lack the mental capacity to even argue your side, I don't think you understand Nuance. You're just the guy on Twitter posting memes and blindly repeating what Trump says...when even the conservatives on here know it's absolutely ridiculous. "Record inflation" under Biden?

Another Clever one Jimmy. "Anyone who knows History." (Yeah, I know, you won't watch, but aside from mocking something I put on here that I shouldn't about my Mom going into Hospice, do you have an original thought? Anyway?).

Jimmy, the Grown ups are talking here. It's cute that you're putting your money from the tooth fairy into "stocks," which I'm sure is what your parents are telling you. That said...no, I wouldn't BEGIN to tell someone when to buy. First of all, buy what? TSMC, INTC, TM, BRK.B, NVDA, or are we talking NIKE, AAPL, BABA? Only a fool would pretend to try and time the market...Jimmy. I have no doubt that you are that person who would try to however.

To be fair...he said it didn't seem legit. C'mon. 1-We know what old people's skin is like. It simply tears easier. 2-Anyone who Wrestled...I'd hope they wouldn't dispute this. I had my ear ripped about a quarter inch(doesn't sound like much, but when the top half is folded over and I need to stich it back to my head, it feels like it. You can't tell. Also, we know how little knicks like this bleed. The man dead behind him didn't fake it.

Oh, also, Musk broke with Trump and said he'd like to see no tariffs...(at least in the EU). Probably going to REALLY hurt "our" attempt to beat BYD to the autonomous market or in EV sales.

No. It makes no sense. This is the other half of the equation that people don't realize(though...I suspect you do). When you have reciprocal tariffs that are SO out of whack like that, you NEED to export from other Countries or you're being punished for being an American both when buying the materials to buy the car, then when you sell the car. And how can they compete with BYD when it has ALL those markets with low tariffs(just as we DID prior to Trump's latest nonsense). So I'd imagine you're going to have some factories shut down and leave the US and some open back up. Right now, there are Ford and GM plants that are just empty, their workers told to go home last week as they have no idea what the future looks like. THAT is a LOT less money coming back into America. Taht is a LOWER tax base, that is less money, THAT is an increasing debt...

Well, it was @Bigbrogwho made a comment about talking disrespectfully to people saying something about not being able to make their point without name calling...and you give that the big brain like, remember? That seems like that's you agreeing with him and that perspective? In any event, I don't actually care much. My feelings certainly weren't hurt. It's pretty normal banter...not quite the same as after saying my Mother was going into Hospice, Jimmy mocking that....which also didn't "hurt" my feelings so much as help inform me of who I was dealing with. Libtard in a stupid debate...it's stupid, but ultimately meaningless. The other? That's...pretty tacky. Still...thought I'd make the point as it seems like many of us Non-Trump supporters are the ones who are thought of as the emotional and insulting and I find the truth to be...at the very least...closer to the middle(I'd say it swings father further the other way, but lets jut say the middle).

I seem to remember you clutching your pearls and feigning outrage when I called Jimmy and idiot or a moron...but "libtard," liberal-***I am an idiot and can't use a better adjective***...? It's always been so lazy to me. It's like MAGATS or calling the Vikings the Viqueens. Just the lowest common denominator. That said... even for you, it has to feel hard calling "Libtards" stupid at a point when our President decided self immolation was a GREAT idea for the United States Economy... Republicans LOVE this guy though. Why don't we listen to him? (You can also skip to 3 minutes in if you don't want to hear how stupid he thinks Trump's plan is, how it's merely bad if he has a plan to get out of this and JUST talk about trade deficits).

At least in your hypothetical, he's still SAYING it's Kool-Aid... when he just asked about "cleaning the insides" with bleach," people...actually did it. https://www.foxnews.com/us/states-spike-poison-control-calls https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertglatter/2020/04/25/calls-to-poison-centers-spike--after-the-presidents-comments-about-using-disinfectants-to-treat-coronavirus/

Oh...and that is more certainly NOT the end goal for Trump. Trump has two end goals both implicit and articulated. One makes sense and would be short term tariffs, but cost us...immeasurably and the other will cripple our economy. 1-Implicit, we have 10 TRILLION dollars in T-Bills maturing this year. We normally don't exceed(going off memory, but roughly) 24.5% of the deficit in a year to be T-Bills. They started raising that to around 30%. So those are coming due. Over the 10 year life of that, for every basis point you cut in interest rates, you pay 1 billion less in servicing the debt. This was what Harris was warning about. If you cut too fast, equities dump. If you don't cut fast enough, unemployment skyrockets. There was concern, and he was asked by Fox, would he fire Powell OR try to strong-arm him into cutting interest rates. He said no. The problem with this is...you're losing FAR more than that just with the 6% swing in GDP GROWTH to CONTRACTION. 2-It's not zero tariffs, he wants zero trade deficits. That WILL-NOT-HAPPEN. The United States doesn't want nor need non-skilled manufacturing. So there is labor we don't want back and there's manufacturing we do.

Ok...but here's the problem...it's NOT about fre trade. Free trade DOES put manufacturing in China. An Iphone made in New York is a 6,000 iPhone. one made in China, even with tariffs, it's "only" going to go up ~50%. We also have VERY low tariffs. We SHOULD be going after China. They steal IP, they commit corporate espionage, they manipulate currency. China is NOT an ally. But after this, Japan and South Korea ARE allies with China. FAIR trade that's as close to FREE trade as possible...but which way is easier to get there? Put tariffs on China, then tell your allies...if you don't follow suit, we WILL THEN put tariffs on you. Hell, threaten to withhold ARGUABLY the most valuable and important piece of technology in the world right now. GPUs. NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, QCOM...namely NVDA, but everyone wants NVDA. And if Baba or Huawei, if TSMC builds chips for THEM...well, that's probably going past fair and free trade, but you could threaten to tariff Taiwan. But the tariffs being charged on us are NOT the problem or Canada and Mexico wouldn't be included. TRUMP is the one who negotiated that trade deal. The problem...Jamie Dimon(who I think is a weasel, but a brilliant one) didn't take the job because he didn't agree with Trump's tariff plan. Trump at least had people like Kelly or...Priebus who'd push back the last time. This group, they're all yes Men.

He didn't think AI was already happening and mocked it...until he googled it... Oh Jesus...really? "Record inflation?" It's almost like inflation is a lagging indicator(which is why Reagan wasn't to blame for HIS massive inflation early on...that was due to Nixon freezing wages/prices, instability in the Middle East/OPEC.... https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/historical-inflation-rates/ I'm also at a loss as to why...when it's so readily available to find crude oil and gas production/extraction by year. Biden set a record each year in office. I tried to explain this already in simple terms, but I owned a company named RIG. They have the MOST advanced deep water drilling...well, Rigs. They can go down 55,000-60,000 feet when drilling. So with ALL these "permits," that Trump is using, surely the most advanced deep sea drilling rigs are back at work, right They should be regaining all-time highs of 171 dollars instead of trading under 2.50 right? But they're not. And why is that(I know you know Tyler). Because when Oil is trading at ~60 dollars a barrel EXPLORATION STOPS. Companies DON'T drill on LAND when it's under 70 a barrel) they don't look for NEW deposits). Now...not all of us think this is a good thing(OKLO, small Nuclear is much cleaner and a great company). It's just so easy to prove him wrong...but when ignorance is willful...not much you can do about it. With so much information available...facts available at the tips of our fingers and we're pupping out people like Jimmy, dumber than ever.

Tyler...do you think he has the first clue that inflation under Reagan at one point was over ~20% and unemployment was ~10%? That isn't a talking point on Twitter and not something Trump has said in Debates! LOL...and to be fair, that it was probably more Nixon/Ford's fault than Reagan's also wouldn't land as he understands Nuance and context about as well as a cocker spaniel understands calculus. He's just gonna come back with something...you don't understand leverage...nonsense. He is a Trump cultist and no matter how much Trump goes against EVERY ideology held by conservatives from Sowell to Reagan to Dimon(who he wanted to be the Sec of Treasury)...even Musk now. You don't tear down the Global economy because you don't like trade with ONE patient. His ONLY out now is to hopefully get some rate cuts and say, "I got so many trade details, the best trade deals...nobody thought we'd get a trade deal like this," just like he said when he signed the trade deal in place RIGHT NOW with Mexico and Canada. We could have brought back manufacturing to the US...by going after China. You would have had Japan, Europe, Taiwan, all these Nations on OUR side. But we went after everyone...and their Penguins....

So Jross says this.... I cite other polling I say I don't believe to be true and you want me to hunt them down for someone who...has openly said they won't spend the time to look at a bar graph or listen to a 60 second video? Yeah...that's a worth use of my time kid.

I don't think I realize how mediocre he has been. One more year, Spratley's SR year...they need a HWT(Ross won't be ready). I didn't even see that Figs had transferred in...I've been fixing the global financial crisis on the other boards

I've been betting on the Russell for a while now with the cuts, but I do a lot better trying to focus in on a few companies and understand them, but doesn't look very appetizing. I'd say the one guy who...if there was ANY doubt is a simple genius, it is yet again Buffett. He didn't foresee this coming(obviously) but he did go heavy into cash not long after the election as he didn't like the valuations. I believe he's said it's always better to buy at the top of the market but then conversely, don't try to catch a falling knife. Wait until it starts to turnaround? I actually had a...shockingly good day today...but I'm pretty sure it's gonna be wiped out tomorrow and much more in the ensuing weeks until this HOPEFULLY comes to some resolution.

But Carter Young isn't the type of guy you pay to try and convince to come back? I know Taylor has studs coming in, but I don't know what '49 looks like.

I'd hope not... It makes you start to question reality. I saw a LOT of "if Harris wins...." posts and then some variation of a Civil War. I know a lot of conservatives, they know I'm liberal, they're always talking about OTHER liberals...as though I'm an outlier. I've also see 60% on the right who think Jan 6th was justified or threats on Reddit, "Ask a Conservative," who have said Biden needs to be "taken out," when he was President as it's out Duty. I don't tend to believe them(though I do think a majority of conservatives believe the "Big Lie," a belief I'd love to be disabused of). That said, we're a very divided Nation...so I don't know. I DO imagine if you stick to one corner of the internet or in your social life(if that's even possible) you may be more inclined to believe that.

Does this really matter? Didn't Kerk, Starocci and Bartlett do the same last year for PSU?

So...what you're basically telling me is...he made the argument AJ Ferrari is a flat earther to bolster his absurd opinions...inferring this person actually views Ferrari as an intellectual? That is certainly saying something.

Oh...that sucks. I didn't know that. Everytime I click on "show me this post," it's...just comically stupid. By the way, I present...the Islands that China is going to use to circumvent the tariffs(per Jimmy). They are going to ship to this Island...that no man has stepped foot on since 2016 and they'll just send it off to 'Murica! https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly8xlj0485o

Oh Christ...as you serious? This just furthers my belief that College is SOOO overrated in terms of how difficult it is to get good grades. Go, show up, listen to the lectures and if you're just going to get a degree, you should get a 3.5 easily. If you're Pre-Med, or in Engineering, then sure, but just that 4 year degree?