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This doesn’t make any sense, if we’re talking odds to win Lewis still would have had to beat him. Before Starocci’s injury I would’ve had him at 99%, afterwards maybe 95% with Lewis getting 4% of the remaining 5%. So, I’ll go: Brooks 95% Kerk 80% Keckeisen 75% Haines 50% Lovett 45% O’Toole 40% Fix 25% Mendez 25% Davis 8% Lewis 4%

I think there’s a decent chance you’re correct on Davis, Nagao, Bartlett and Truax. Could still see Bartlett in particular coming back for third though. Maybe a slim chance for your Kasak, Haines, Kerk and revised Mesenbrink predictions, but Starocci isn’t losing.

Overall, I would say only losing to Sparks (who is seeded higher than Baker) and Baumann is not as bad as losing to Baker twice + Ruth

Yup. PSU won’t go to CKLV because they get enough top level competition in their room. And more teams/guys may not in order to protect their seed

I should clarify that I think he won’t actually be banged up next weekend, he probably would’ve still considered banged up if he competed at B10’s. Pure speculation, but I’d guess he’ll be at about 95% for NCAA’s.

I kinda think Starocci isn’t actually banged up

So how healthy do we think Griffith is?

133: #24 Braden Basile to the quarters

You mean Damion Hahn, the only coach on the seeding committee?

Over

Starocci has wins this season over the #6, 10, and 13 seeds. The #5 seed’s best wins are over the #7, 10, and 11 seeds, and he also did not do very well at the conference tournament. If there was ever a time for committee intervention, Carter Starocci was it.

Or the #5 seed who lost twice to Benny Baker at EIWA’s

Maybe. So who do you think Fix loses to in the finals this year?

I feel like a lot of that talk died down after seeing Mesenbrink/Hamiti, because people knew Mesenbrink deserved the 2. And with Carr losing to Ramírez it’s kinda tough to argue putting him at 3. To that point, the overall takeaway to me is that sitting out duals pays off. Fix and Ramírez being the biggest beneficiaries. As a result of the Carr/Ramírez situation I feel like we could see less guys enter CKLV because they don’t want to take an early season loss that they may not be able to avenge until NCAA’s.

But at least it’s the semis and if he gets there you’re guaranteed to AA

Everyone expected and was okay with him being “punished” but he should’ve been like the 5 seed at worst. The 5 seed lost twice to Benny Baker at EIWA’s. I guess that still screws Mekhi but not quite as badly at least.

True. Which is why these limited schedules particularly from PSU will continue. It’s odd that there appears to be “committee intervention”’ on some weights but not with Starocci.

So Starocci was 1 match short of an RPI right? Guess he shouldn’t have ducked Griffith…

You’re just happy Vito isn’t on the same side as Fix. Starocci beat the 6 seed. Vito hasn’t beaten anyone seeded ahead of him this season.

No he wasn’t

And Fix was seeded over Vito as he should have been

Yup, then putting Vito at 6? I would’ve thought he’d be 4 or 5

He beat Phillippi, Byrd, Mendez twice, and Orine last year. I still say it’s a disappointment if he doesn’t finish top 5, especially with the PSU bump.

Well the Purdue kid beat him 7-2 in the dual