For the final edition of this post, prior to the final edition of this post, I thought I would take a look at the full season.
Using Intermat's rankings from today to determine the current top 10 teams I traced their expected points back through time to the pre-season rankings.
The gap at the top has grown significantly as the PSU freshmen first entered the rankings and then began to climb the rankings, growing from an expected lead over Iowa of 16.8 points to the current gap of 30.9 points.
Meanwhile, the expected gap between #2 and #3 has shrunk from 14.8 to 10.2
While #1 and #2 have remained fairly constant, #3 and #4 have not. Ohio State, Cornell, Michigan, and Iowa State have each had dalliances with the podium positions, but with Nebraska's meteoric rise and Missouri's relative stability these two now occupy the expected podium positions.
But that occupancy is not a foregone conclusion. The race for the podium has tightened up significantly. At the beginning of the season there was a 98% difference between #4 (52.1 expected points) and #10 (26.3 expected points). That is down to a 25% difference (48.8 vs 39.1).
Per usual, I am only looking at placement and advancement points based on the historical results from 2010 - 2022.