A tighter than expected team race?

[BruceyB]

I have just finished filling out my brackets with undoubted bias and here are my predicted team scores using @AdrianStewart's interactive brackets.

1	Penn State	141.5	+34.5	107	9 AA
2	Oklahoma State	131	+35	96	9 AA
3	Ohio State	98.5	+30.5	68	7 AA
4	Nebraska	79	+26	53	7 AA
5	Cornell	63.5	+15.5	48	4 AA
6	Iowa	62.5	+22.5	40	6 AA
7	Virginia Tech	52	+18	34	4 AA
8	Iowa State	49.5	+17.5	32	4 AA
9	Michigan	45	+15	30	4 AA
10	NC State	44.5	+15.5	29	3 AA
11	Minnesota	32.5	+14.5	18	3 AA
12	Lehigh	31.5	+13.5	18	3 AA
13	Missouri	27	+8	19	2 AA
14	Illinois	21	+10	11	2 AA
15	Arizona State	20	+10	10	2 AA

 

It would appear Oklahoma State is set to have quite a tournament. Inquiries welcome.

[Psalm 1 guy]

As it stands right now, if Penn State were to wrestle to seed and average the 34-35 Bonus points they have had over the last two seasons, they would be at 191-192 points. A 50 point drop would be shocking to say the least. Based on Oklahoma State's seeds and your projected Bonus points, they would only be at 125.5 points. If Oklahoma State were to finish within 10.5 points of Penn State they would have had a phenomenal tournament and Penn State would have had their most underperforming tournament ever. If Oklahoma State or Ohio State end up within 50 points of Penn State I would still be surprised. 

 

[Chiljx]

I haven’t filled out my bracket yet but on first blush, I’m bearish on many of the Cowboys draws. You give me simply medaling right now, I’m taking it.

[Paul158]

According to my best guess.

Penn State 168 to 188.

Ohio State 120 to 142. If Cannon can get to 85% to 90% after coming back from surgery that would be great.

Oklahoma State 112 to 128.

Nebraska 98 to 118.

The Big Ten Tournament really prepares you for the NCAA's. If you have just a slight off day it can be brutal. You get battle tested, banged up and then you go back and regroup. It will be interesting to see how well the Big Ten performs against the other conferences. It should be some great wrestling. I'm hoping the referees will be consistent with their calls especially the stalling calls. Big Ten could 15 finalist's and 9 Champs. 35 to 38 all-Americans, That, is one tough conference.

[Nak21]

I played around with it a few times. Lots of fun!! I had VT, Okie St and tOSU all out ahead early, 1st 2-3 weights, but then murderers row started to hit and PSU ran away with it in all the little models I ran. 
I think PSU wins going away and if anOSU was to be within 10-20 pts at the end, as was said, PSU just had their worst tourney in recent history and would have to have some disasters that I won’t even risk typing or thinking about. 
With some of the seeds and draws, the historic big bonus point total PSU typically puts up, it’s hard to imagine them not only winning very comfortably but probably breaking the scoring record again with some total in the 180s maybe low 190s.

[ionel]

8 hours ago, BruceyB said:

I have just finished filling out my brackets with undoubted bias and here are my predicted team scores using @AdrianStewart's interactive brackets.

1	Penn State	141.5	+34.5	107	9 AA
2	Oklahoma State	131	+35	96	9 AA
3	Ohio State	98.5	+30.5	68	7 AA
4	Nebraska	79	+26	53	7 AA
5	Cornell	63.5	+15.5	48	4 AA
6	Iowa	62.5	+22.5	40	6 AA
7	Virginia Tech	52	+18	34	4 AA
8	Iowa State	49.5	+17.5	32	4 AA
9	Michigan	45	+15	30	4 AA
10	NC State	44.5	+15.5	29	3 AA
11	Minnesota	32.5	+14.5	18	3 AA
12	Lehigh	31.5	+13.5	18	3 AA
13	Missouri	27	+8	19	2 AA
14	Illinois	21	+10	11	2 AA
15	Arizona State	20	+10	10	2 AA

 

It would appear Oklahoma State is set to have quite a tournament. Inquiries welcome.

Does @Wrestleknownothing know? 

Just one small flu bug away from the brightest orange weekend.  

Edited March 12 by ionel

[BruceyB]

9 hours ago, Psalm 1 guy said:

As it stands right now, if Penn State were to wrestle to seed and average the 34-35 Bonus points they have had over the last two seasons, they would be at 191-192 points. A 50 point drop would be shocking to say the least. Based on Oklahoma State's seeds and your projected Bonus points, they would only be at 125.5 points. If Oklahoma State were to finish within 10.5 points of Penn State they would have had a phenomenal tournament and Penn State would have had their most underperforming tournament ever. If Oklahoma State or Ohio State end up within 50 points of Penn State I would still be surprised. 

Buddy, did you not read my post?

I filled out my brackets via AdrianStewarts interactive brackets. I didn't include any bonus predictions. This is just based on advancement and placement. I believe that the +number may be advancement points? Not sure what it is.

The title of the post is also tongue in cheek as I mentioned I filled the brackets out with some bias and have a few pokes putting together some good runs, and a few PSU guys missing the finals.

I would say even with my bold predictions that fell OKST's way, I'm predicting a lot of decisions where as I think PSU gets a lot of bonus. Even if the wins/losses all went exactly according to my brackets, I'd probably give PSU an extra 25 point cushion off of bonus advantage alone.

I wouldn't bother filling out brackets if I was just going to predict chalk across the board. It is much more likely that PSU outperforms my predictions and OKST underperforms, I know this. But let us have some fun, eh?

 

[jajensen09]

12 hours ago, BruceyB said:

I have just finished filling out my brackets with undoubted bias and here are my predicted team scores using @AdrianStewart's interactive brackets.

1	Penn State	141.5	+34.5	107	9 AA
2	Oklahoma State	131	+35	96	9 AA
3	Ohio State	98.5	+30.5	68	7 AA
4	Nebraska	79	+26	53	7 AA
5	Cornell	63.5	+15.5	48	4 AA
6	Iowa	62.5	+22.5	40	6 AA
7	Virginia Tech	52	+18	34	4 AA
8	Iowa State	49.5	+17.5	32	4 AA
9	Michigan	45	+15	30	4 AA
10	NC State	44.5	+15.5	29	3 AA
11	Minnesota	32.5	+14.5	18	3 AA
12	Lehigh	31.5	+13.5	18	3 AA
13	Missouri	27	+8	19	2 AA
14	Illinois	21	+10	11	2 AA
15	Arizona State	20	+10	10	2 AA

 

It would appear Oklahoma State is set to have quite a tournament. Inquiries welcome.

Do you have a bracket that fills in team scores?

[BruceyB]

58 minutes ago, jajensen09 said:

Do you have a bracket that fills in team scores?

@AdrianStewart is the man and put this together for us sickos.

 

 

[Psalm 1 guy]

On 3/12/2026 at 9:00 AM, BruceyB said:

Buddy, did you not read my post?

I filled out my brackets via AdrianStewarts interactive brackets. I didn't include any bonus predictions. This is just based on advancement and placement. I believe that the +number may be advancement points? Not sure what it is.

The title of the post is also tongue in cheek as I mentioned I filled the brackets out with some bias and have a few pokes putting together some good runs, and a few PSU guys missing the finals.

I would say even with my bold predictions that fell OKST's way, I'm predicting a lot of decisions where as I think PSU gets a lot of bonus. Even if the wins/losses all went exactly according to my brackets, I'd probably give PSU an extra 25 point cushion off of bonus advantage alone.

I wouldn't bother filling out brackets if I was just going to predict chalk across the board. It is much more likely that PSU outperforms my predictions and OKST underperforms, I know this. But let us have some fun, eh?

 

Sorry about that; my mistake.

[jajensen09]

I gave Nebraska 139.5 psu 125

[OMW]

45 minutes ago, jajensen09 said:

I gave Nebraska 139.5 psu 125

and I have nebby at 56.5 and Penn State at 164.5

 

[BruceyB]

1 hour ago, jajensen09 said:

I gave Nebraska 139.5 psu 125

I want some of that home cookin'.

[MPhillips]

1 hour ago, BruceyB said:

I want some of that home cookin'.

Here ya go...

Couldn't squeeze out another .5

 

Edited March 13 by MPhillips

[flyingcement]

I have PSU somewhere between 160 and 175

[MPhillips]

11 minutes ago, flyingcement said:

I have PSU somewhere between 160 and 175

But that was before you noticed I had Ohio State with eight AA's...

[BruceyB]

47 minutes ago, MPhillips said:

Here ya go...

Couldn't squeeze out another .5

 

Let me know how close I am..

Bouzakis 2nd

Davino 2nd

Mendez champ

Stiles 4th

Cannon 4th

Gallagher R12

Kharchla 3rd

Fishback 5th

Geog R12

Feldman 3rd

 

[Paul158]

I would go with Cannon and Stiles 5th place and Fishback 6th. It looks good though. Would that come out to 130 points.

[BruceyB]

1 hour ago, flyingcement said:

I have PSU somewhere between 160 and 175

BEFORE BONUS?!

[MLB9]

5 hours ago, jajensen09 said:

I gave Nebraska 139.5 psu 125

Go watch neverending story or the hobbit, much more realistic than that garbage.

Or wait…bet time?

[flyingcement]

1 hour ago, BruceyB said:

BEFORE BONUS?!

Sorry my prediction included a bonus estimate 

[1032004]

How badly injured is Ryder?  I feel like OK State needs him to far outperform his seed to have any chance of making it interesting 

[Chiljx]

3 hours ago, 1032004 said:

How badly injured is Ryder?  I feel like OK State needs him to far outperform his seed to have any chance of making it interesting 

His shoulder will continue dislocating in positions where he aggressively extends it. Given his baseline offensive struggles, I’m envisioning a Rd1 MFF at worst and 1-2 at best. 

[Rassling]

Has any team ever gotten over 200 points during the conclusion of a NCAA tourney? 

[MLB9]

43 minutes ago, Chiljx said:

His shoulder will continue dislocating in positions where he aggressively extends it. Given his baseline offensive struggles, I’m envisioning a Rd1 MFF at worst and 1-2 at best. 

Did he have shoulder issues prior to this year? It is hard to imagine this going very well for him, hopefully it’ll stabilize and allow him to compete.