Nebraska Iowa Predictions

[Hammerlock3]

Smith Maj Cruz 0-4

Van Dee dec Ayala 0-7

Hardy maj Schriever 0-11

Lovett Dec Parco 0-14

Taylor dec Estrada 0-17

Caliendo maj Minto 4-17

Kennedy dec Pinto 7-17

Arnold dec Allred 10-17

Buchanaon Maj Mcdaniel 14-17

Kueter dec Andrews 17-17

The one editorial comment I'll make is that this dual is probably staged for drama and excitement as well as it could be. Any bonus or upsets rocks the narrative severely...though not as much if you think Ayala is gonna beat Van Dee, but he seems to struggle against tricky wrestlers or wrestlers with a lot of weird positions. 

[Mr. PeanutButter]

Wild how frustrating Van Dee can be for both teams. Sometimes all in one match! 

[PortaJohn]

Solid picks Hammer...Only difference is I'd switch the results at 133 and it's quite possible the results you have at 149 and 174 get flipped.  Parco matches up well against Ridge and Pinto offers style problems for Kennedy.  Might see Arnold in another OT match

Edited yesterday at 06:23 PM by PortaJohn

[Scouts Honor]

pain

[VakAttack]

Smith DEC Cruz

Ayala DEC Van Dee

Hardy MDEC Schreier/Block

Parco DEC Lovett

Taylor DEC Estrada

Caliendo MDEC Minto

Kennedy DEC Pinto (really not sure about this one)

Arnold DEC Allred

Buchanan TECH McDanel

Kueter DEC Andrews

Iowa 24-10 (I think)

[Hammerlock3]

13 minutes ago, PortaJohn said:

Solid picks Hammer...Only difference is I'd switch the results at 133 and it's quite possible the results you have at 149 and 174 get flipped.  Parco matches up well against Ridge and Pinto offers style problems for Kennedy.  Might see Arnold in another OT match

I gave my take on Ayala/Van Dee...Pinto just doesn't seem to have the horsepower he had at 184. His style is weird because he uses a lot of power but I don't think of him as having a really physical style on the whole...I  think he's a blunt instrument and Kennedy wears him down for the win...taking the mat wrestling advantage away from Parco is a big deal so I'm pretty secure with lovett. 

[Xmas32]

24 minutes ago, VakAttack said:

Smith DEC Cruz

Ayala DEC Van Dee

Hardy MDEC Schreier/Block

Parco DEC Lovett

Taylor DEC Estrada

Caliendo MDEC Minto

Kennedy DEC Pinto (really not sure about this one)

Arnold DEC Allred

Buchanan TECH McDanel

Kueter DEC Andrews

Iowa 24-10 (I think)

This is pretty close to how I see things. Only difference is I think Nebraska gets one of 149 or 184 so call it 21-13.

[MPhillips]

9 minutes ago, Hammerlock3 said:

I  think he's a blunt instrument and Kennedy wears him down

Quite succinct and hardly disagreeable...

[VakAttack]

5 minutes ago, Xmas32 said:

This is pretty close to how I see things. Only difference is I think Nebraska gets one of 149 or 184 so call it 21-13.

Certainly possible.  I do think on the whole that Lovett is better than Parco, but Parco may have a stylistic issue for Lovett...or maybe he just pulled an upset twice.

[One8alpha]

Smith MDEC Cruz 4-0

Ayala DEC Van Dee 4-3

Hardy MDEC Schriever 8-3

Ridge MDEC Parco 12-3

Taylor DEC Estrada 15-3

Caliendo DEC Minto 15-6

Pinto DEC Kennedy 18-6 

Silas DEC Arnie 21-6

Buchanan MDEC McDanel 21-10

Kueter MDEC Andrews 21-14 Nebraska

[Dogbone]

Smith dec. Cruz 3-0

Ayalya dec. Van Dee 3-3

Hardy MD Either guy 7-3

Ridge dec. Parco 10-3

Taylor dec. Estrada 13-3

Calendo dec. Minto 13-6

Kennedy dec. Pinto 13-9

Arnold dec. Allred 13-12

Buchanan MD McDaniel 13-16

Kueter  MD Andrews 13-20

I think Pinto could have a shot to pull the upset, but that wouldn't change the result.  As mentioned Parco is 2-0 vs. Ridge but if Ridge wrestles his match, I think he comes out on top.  If he wrestles like he did in the dual last year, Parco can steal it. 

[Xmas32]

38 minutes ago, VakAttack said:

Certainly possible.  I do think on the whole that Lovett is better than Parco, but Parco may have a stylistic issue for Lovett...or maybe he just pulled an upset twice.

Hard to argue with Parco's H2H results versus Ridge for sure.

[Mr. PeanutButter]

11 minutes ago, Xmas32 said:

Hard to argue with Parco's H2H results versus Ridge for sure.

The first win was controversial. Can't rewatch because it isn't available, but I recall a late stall call being the difference (Ridge didn't have Starocci's mindset). The 2nd win came during sad boy hours and everyone knows those don't count.

 

 

I'm also picking Parco

[Xmas32]

8 minutes ago, Mr. PeanutButter said:

The first win was controversial. Can't rewatch because it isn't available, but I recall a late stall call being the difference (Ridge didn't have Starocci's mindset). The 2nd win came during sad boy hours and everyone knows those don't count.

 

 

I'm also picking Parco

I'm trying to remember the match because I know I watched it on FS1 maybe? Looks like both guys picked up stall calls in the 2nd and Parco got the TD. In the 3rd, Ridge gets a second SW putting Parco up 4-2, Ridge forced a 2nd stall call on Parco making it 4-3. This is the recap from Corn Nation which covers Nebraska:

 

https://www.cornnation.com/2024/2/25/24083233/wrestling-3-nebraska-ends-dual-season-with-26-9-win-over-19-arizona-state

 

After a scoreless first period, Parco wisely chose neutral in the second period. Lovett was warned for stalling for inactivity on the feet before Parco got in on a shot and was able to finish for the takedown and the 3-0 lead. Parco was called for stalling then for dropping down to Lovett’s legs for five seconds before Lovett rolled out for an escape on the restart.

In the third, Lovett chose down. After a hard ride from Parco, Lovett was able to nearly get a reversal on the edge but settled for an escape, cutting Parco’s lead to 3-2, but more importantly stopping Parco’s riding time at 59 seconds.

Lovett was digging underhooks and looking to score a point on a stall call to tie things, driving Parco to the edge and eventually off the mat. In a wild turn of events, it was Lovett who was called for stalling for pushing Parco out of bounds rather than on Parco for letting himself get pushed out, giving Parco the point to go up 4-2. Lovett did get the stall call on Parco to cut the deficit to 4-3 shortly after, but he still needed a takedown. He wasn’t able to get one, dropping his first match of the season via 4-3 decision.

[ionel]

WS ranks 

125: Cruz 37 LD Smith 13 0-3

133: Ayala 2 WMD Van Dee 20 4-3

141:  Schriever 63 LMD Hardy 4 4-7

149: Parco 4 LD Lovett 3 4-10

157:  Estrada 70 LD Taylor 6 4-13

165:  Calendo 3 WD Minto 13 7-13

174:  Kennedy 5 LD 9 7-16

184: Arnold 7 LD Allred 9 7-19

197:  Buchanan 1 WMD McDaniel 40 11-19

285:  Kueter 13  WMD Andrews 35 15-19

[Jimmy Cinnabon]

31 minutes ago, Xmas32 said:

Hard to argue with Parco's H2H results versus Ridge for sure.

Parco > Ridge > SVN > Parco

[Xmas32]

2 minutes ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said:

Parco > Ridge > SVN > Parco

Sure seems that way so far. Lots of fun matches to be had with these guys.

[Gus]

125- Smith dec Cruz             3 Neb | 0 Iowa

133- Ayala dec VanDee        3 Neb | 3 Iowa

141- Hardy mdec Schriever  7 Neb | 3 Iowa

149- Parco dec Lovett          7 Neb | 6 Iowa

157- Taylor dec Estrado      10 Neb | 6 Iowa

165- Caliendo mdec Minto  10 Neb | 10 Iowa

174- Kennedy dec Pinto      10 Neb | 13 Iowa

184- Arnold dec Allred        10 Neb | 16 Iowa

197- Buchanan tf McDanel  10 Neb | 21 Iowa

285-Kueter dec Andrews    10 Neb | 24 Iowa

[Gus]

9 minutes ago, Gus said:

125- Smith dec Cruz             3 Neb | 0 Iowa

133- Ayala dec VanDee        3 Neb | 3 Iowa

141- Hardy mdec Schriever  7 Neb | 3 Iowa

149- Parco dec Lovett          7 Neb | 6 Iowa

157- Taylor dec Estrado      10 Neb | 6 Iowa

165- Caliendo mdec Minto  10 Neb | 10 Iowa

174- Kennedy dec Pinto      10 Neb | 13 Iowa

184- Arnold dec Allred        10 Neb | 16 Iowa

197- Buchanan tf McDanel  10 Neb | 21 Iowa

285-Kueter dec Andrews    10 Neb | 24 Iowa

I see Nebraska as strong favorites at 125, 141 and 157. Iowa as strong favorites at 133, 165, 197 and 285. 149, 174 and 184 could really go either way but I favor Iowa in all of them. Without the head to head match ups I would favor Ridge over Parco but at this point he's going to have to beat Parco before I would predict it.

[GimJustafan]

125- Smith dec Cruz             3 Neb | 0 Iowa

133- Ayala dec VanDee        3 Neb | 3 Iowa

141- Hardy mdec Schriever  7 Neb | 3 Iowa

149-  Lovett dec parco         10 Neb | 3 Iowa

157- Taylor dec Estrado      13 Neb | 3 Iowa

165- Caliendo mdec Minto  13 Neb | 7 Iowa

174- Kennedy dec Pinto      13 Neb | 10 Iowa

184- Arnold dec Allred        13 Neb | 13 Iowa

197- Buchanan md McDanel  13 Neb | 17 Iowa

285-Kueter dec Andrews    13 Neb | 20 Iowa

[Hammerlock3]

Cael playing 4D by challenging just to screw with the Iowa broadcast....

[ionel]

If it comes down to a math contest (Bormet) who's you money on:  Manning or T&T or maybe stalemate?  

[Scouts Honor]

how did cruz not take him down there

[pawrestler]

That stall is huge

[Scouts Honor]

bs stall