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uncle bernard

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Everything posted by uncle bernard

  1. This is laughably untrue. There was only 1 split ticket result in 2020 (Susan Collins in Maine when Biden won the state) and 0 in 2016. There is an extreme correlation between senate and national elections.
  2. Okay, you did Ohio. Trump's lost every other state listed.
  3. One last thing to keep in mind is that the Dem senate candidates are leading in the polls in most of the swing states. Biden was running far behind the rest of his party. Now that there's a sentient candidate, we might see those polls swing quickly. Dem Senate candidates are leading in Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, PA, and Nevada. @PortaJohn
  4. "This entire thing is made up and there's a reason for this. He doesn't know what I was like as a child because he quite simply wasn't there."
  5. Which is why it will be fun to revisit after the election. But to address the "cherry picking" the RCP average has Trump up 2 points and half the polls used in it haven't put out polling after Biden dropped out yet. There's been very little swing state polling in the last week, though the of the few that have been, every one I've seen has Harris gaining. I'm not saying Trump has no chance. He's still the favorite. I'm just pointing out your position that Kamala has no chance is bizarre and not supported by evidence.
  6. Where are you seeing this?
  7. Probably because she's Palestinian and has family in Palestine getting bombed by Israel. "Why would anyone be upset about a war that's killed 50,000 people?" Btw, the current estimate for total death toll - including indirect deaths like disease, starvation, and deprivation - is 186,000. That number is based on number trends from prior conflicts around the world for the ratio of direct to indirect deaths. 186,000 people in a strip of land 25 miles long. You can ride a bike across it in an afternoon.
  8. What's happening here is so transparent. You guys were all excited for there to be chaos at the convention. Instead, the whole party rallied around Kamala immediately - like I told you it would. Now you're disappointed, so you're whining about it being undemocratic. The polling was clear that the vast majority of democratic voters wanted Biden to step aside and the vast majority of those were perfectly fine with Kamala stepping in. There is no time for a primary, which is why there are exceptions in the rules to account for emergencies. Not a single one of you would be saying the republicans shouldn't be on the ballot if Trump got his head blown off because it would be "undemocratic." Every single voter will have a chance to say yes or no to Kamala. You are acting like Biden was just reelected and then stepped down to sneak Kamala in.
  9. She started campaigning two days ago and she's already gained in swing state polling. You can keep pretending that the Trump v. Biden polling is permanent, but nothing is set in stone right now.
  10. You’re fundamentally misunderstanding the problem. (You rarely follow a conversation correctly on here anyway so i’m not surprised). Nobody says you have to like the VP, but when you vote you are signing off on them being 2nd in line. Democrats might not “like” Kamala, but they did vote for her.
  11. Obviously, everybody would prefer to have had an open primary. This isn't a normal circumstance. There is no time or infrastructure for that in this situation which is why *both parties* have rules written into their nomination process to account for these emergency situations. If democrats do not consent to Kamala being the nominee, they have the choice not to vote for her in the general. Just like supporters of the normal primary losers are welcome not to vote for the nominee in the general. I supported Bernie in 2020 and did not vote for Biden in the general. That's democracy.
  12. This is still voting for Joe Biden. Doesn't matter what your reason is. If you voted for Joe Biden then you voted for Joe Biden.
  13. He's saying that if Biden potentially taking over if Obama left *was a deal breaker for you*, then you shouldn't have voted for him. Guys, this isn't kindergarten. This shouldn't be that hard. The VP is on the ticket. When you vote for president you are also voting for the VP to be second in line. When you vote for Trump, you are also voting for Vance to be second in line. There's a reason they put the VP on the ballot.
  14. People vote for presidents they don't like. Doesn't change the fact they voted for it.
  15. Every voter who voted for Biden understood that she would take over if he were to leave office. We call this position "Vice President."
  16. the answer is that Joe Biden is an egomaniac. getting him to not run again was hard enough. getting him to resign - and always be remembered as the president who couldn’t finish his term - will be much harder. the dems could do a 25th amendment thing but they’ll want to focus on Kamala and avoid any further tension.
  17. he was referring to Biden’s presidency
  18. “brat” is the new album of one of the world’s biggest pop stars who posted this
  19. i’m dying imagining you try to understand this pop culture reference lmao
  20. Just saw 3 separate polls from today with her within a few points. And she hasn't started campaigning! I think your emotions are blinding you. Things have changed. Considerably. You should at least start entertaining the idea that this election isn't over. And I'm not a Kamala guy and I will not be voting for her.
  21. That same poll has them head to head 49-47 which is within the margin of error. And she hasn’t even started campaigning! She hasn’t picked a VP! I’m not saying Harris 100% will win (though that’s my bet at this point). I’m saying she *can* win. Your Poll Headline: “2024 Race: Trump vs. Harris Too Close To Call, Trump Slightly Ahead In 6-Way Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 62% Say Biden Dropping Out Of Race Right Thing To Do” https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3901
  22. It’s already happening. You think the Trump campaign is wrong? The confidence you have is bizarre. This has never happened before. We have no idea how the public will react. The 80 year old former president, who already lost once and has astronomical unfavorables, is now running against a 20 years younger woman with the chance to be the first female president and you’re insistent that nothing can change? Good luck with that.
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