Iowa at PSU Predictions - Fourth Annual

[Wrestleknownothing]

1 hour ago, Elevator said:

I will call upsets at 133 and 197, and with blue and white glasses Lions 34-0.   Starocci's praise of Barr's training intensity is enough for me at 197.

where are your bonus points coming from?

[TylerDurden]

On 1/28/2025 at 3:38 PM, 1032004 said:

 

 

Cael's real genius is his roster management. He loses two national champs and one runner-up and I'm over here wondering if next season's team will be better than this one. 

[CHROMEBIRD]

17 hours ago, Le duke said:

125: Lilledahl dec Cruz. 3-0. PSU. This could be an MD if Cruz is aggressive. If you try to turn it into a 7 minute match as opposed to a 30 second match with Luke Lilledahl, you're playing with fire. 

 

Cruz is a tough kid, but Lilledahl is going to throttle him. Luke will be wrestling with a chip on his shoulder after the Rutgers dual, and he'll be at home at his first Nit-Hawk (uh). And Cruz is more likely to push the action rather than wrestle a chess match, which will translate into a bunch of points of Lilledahl. I can't really see Terry coaching Cruz into suddenly being more selective with his attacks.

[Wrestleknownothing]

Since we appear to have hit a wall, I will post the "final" results.

Some Accounting

Turns out I am a bad accountant. I miscounted. There are only 49 entries. But I will let you keep the cash prize @Ragu for the 50th entry.

Here is what I have for each of the 49 entries. If anyone feels their entry is in error, please let me know.

There are 40 Intermat entries (an all time high), and 6 HVI and 1 HR (both all time lows), to go along with one from Twitter, and Willie's prediction.

 

Wisdom Of The Crowds

If you believe in that sort of stuff, the final score prediction is......

 

Spread 'Em

On HVI I saw someone say they saw a betting line of Iowa +21.5. With our WOTC Predicted spread of 17.5, maybe it is time to take Iowa and the points (not gambling advice).

The distribution of differences looks like this:

 

Who You Calling a Lier?

Nobody. I said outlier. Settle down.

As you can see there are a few outliers in the stack.

• @Mr. PeanutButter wins the Hawkeyed Cockeyed Optimist Award for greatest Iowa fan. But he is a singular bird of that feather. I am frankly shocked and disappointed at the practicality of the rest of Hawkeye nation. Two thirds of PBJ sees Iowa taking 6 of 10. Nobody else could talk themselves into even 5 wins for Brands' Boys.
• For goodness sake, even the greatest four three time champ in Hawk History (@Spencerlee) has the Nittany Lyings Lions winning by 14. For shame.
• On the flip side, who woulda thunk it? We have a Wolverine in Lions' clothing. At 37-0, @nhs67 exposes the lie. He can claim to be a Michigan fan all he wants. We know better. 
• Only baccafarmer (HVI, no duh), Kale_yeah (guess where), @Pish (who hides as psih69 on HVI), and your faithful author could also see PSU hitting the triple decade.

 

What Abouts The Bouts?

But enough about us. What about the wrestlers?

Glad you asked.

• Kerkvliet, Haines, and Bartlett are the only unanimous choices.
• Iowa is favored in 3 matches with Ayala the biggest favorite, followed by Buchanon and Teemer.
• Teemer v Kasak appears to be the most interesting match of the night at a near 50/50 split.
• But I feel like Buchanon v Barr should be given the 22 points in 1:19 onslaught we witnessed last week.
• But come on. Don't be stupid. It has to be the match that will end with a beheading, right? Two bold statements have been made. The first one turned out to be silly. But now we get a chance to see one of them actually backed up. Or sorta backed up. I do not expect an actual beheading.

 

He Shoots. He Scores.

From a scoring perspective things move around a bit.

• While Mikey Caliendo got one vote of confidence (we see you @RawDog) the expectation is that Mesenbrink will do more damage than a Lion in an aviary.
• And in a shocker, Beau "One Shot, Everyone Knows The Rules" Bartlett is the collective second favorite to take a second shot. Or maybe you guys just like him for the back points (aka near pinfall points)?
• At the other end of the spectrum is the one, if we are really being honest, we are tuning in to see. Two Brands. Two Team Point Deductions. Too bad Vegas doesn't offer a prop bet.

 

I have told the wife every night this week what I am planning to do on Friday night. Come join me. I think I will crack open some spirits for the big event. But if clean living is your thing, then God Bless.

[1032004]

Saw this come up on social media:

 

Man these guys have really went in opposite directions since then.  

Kasak is 25-3 since, beat Rathjen 8-1 at Big Tens, finished 3rd at NCAA’s and is 12-0 this season.

Rathjen is 11-6 since (11-7 counting a MFFL), went 1-2 at NCAA’s and is not a starter this season

 

[RawDog]

This is incredible! Thanks for this!

[JPack]

Lilledahl by dec 3-0

Ayala by dec 3-3

Beau by maj 7-3

Parco by dec 7-6

Kasak by maj 11-6

Mitch by dec 14-6

Haines by Dec 17-6

CStar by Maj 21-6

Buch by Dec 21-9

Kerk by maj 24-9

24-9
184 for GA

25 takedowns

[Wrestleknownothing]

24 minutes ago, JPack said:

Lilledahl by dec 3-0

Ayala by dec 3-3

Beau by maj 7-3

Parco by dec 7-6

Kasak by maj 11-6

Mitch by dec 14-6

Haines by Dec 17-6

CStar by Maj 21-6

Buch by Dec 21-9

Kerk by maj 24-9

24-9
184 for GA

25 takedowns

That is a strong first post. Welcome to the board.

[flyingcement]

28 minutes ago, JPack said:

Lilledahl by dec 3-0

Ayala by dec 3-3

Beau by maj 7-3

Parco by dec 7-6

Kasak by maj 11-6

Mitch by dec 14-6

Haines by Dec 17-6

CStar by Maj 21-6

Buch by Dec 21-9

Kerk by maj 24-9

24-9
184 for GA

25 takedowns

fun set of predictions.  as @Wrestleknownothingsaid, welcome to the board!

[JPack]

12 minutes ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

That is a strong first post. Welcome to the board.

 

8 minutes ago, flyingcement said:

fun set of predictions.  as @Wrestleknownothingsaid, welcome to the board!

Thanks! I’m glad that I finally added something to these conversations. I’ve enjoy this board for a long time. 

[Wrestleknownothing]

17 hours ago, JPack said:

Lilledahl by dec 3-0

Ayala by dec 3-3

Beau by maj 7-3

Parco by dec 7-6

Kasak by maj 11-6

Mitch by dec 14-6

Haines by Dec 17-6

CStar by Maj 21-6

Buch by Dec 21-9

Kerk by maj 24-9

24-9
184 for GA

25 takedowns

25-9

[BarSeries]

 

[Interviewed_at_Weehawken]

40 minutes ago, BarSeries said:

 

Says the guy who says the entire Republic of Dagestan is minor leagues compared to PSU/NLWC.

[Gene Mills Fan]

4 minutes ago, Interviewed_at_Weehawken said:

Says the guy who says the entire Republic of Dagestan is minor leagues compared to PSU/NLWC.

Thats his callout to Khabib. HAahaha

[Interviewed_at_Weehawken]

46 minutes ago, BarSeries said:

 

Enter Bo into the competition.

[Interviewed_at_Weehawken]

1 minute ago, Gene Mills Fan said:

Thats his callout to Khabib. HAahaha

After the Paul Craig snooze-fest, I honestly see Khabib beating Bo in MMA at this time if both were to make middleweight.  Not only because of his MMA credentials but training footage against much larger fighters (ie Rockhold) and stories from AKA.

[Caveira]

Where is this streaming tonight?    
 

found it whew.   Lol.  I was short term panicking ha 

it isn’t in the “college wrestling” portion on Hulu.  I had to go to the “Iowa wrestling” icon ……..

Edited Friday at 06:16 PM by Caveira

[Pinnacle]

Can BTN be streamed? I have it on cable at home, but I am out of town.

[Interviewed_at_Weehawken]

2 minutes ago, Pinnacle said:

Can BTN be streamed? I have it on cable at home, but I am out of town.

I tried for Iowa/tOSU last week, and couldn't figure anything out.

But I'm 55.

Now that I think of it, I should have tried Hulu on my phone.

[Gene Mills Fan]

1 minute ago, Interviewed_at_Weehawken said:

I tried for Iowa/tOSU last week, and couldn't figure anything out.

But I'm 55.

Now that I think of it, I should have tried Hulu on my phone.

•  Friday’s dual will be televised live on BTN. Shane Sparks (Play-by-Play) and Jim Gibbons (Color Analyst) will have the call. Sunday’s dual will be streamed on B1G+ ($).

• The radio broadcast for both duals will be available at AM 800 KXIC and audio streamed online at hawkeyesports.com (via YouTube). Steven Grace and Mark Ironside will call the action for Hawkeye Sports Properties, a property of Learfield.

• Follow Iowa wrestling on social media via X (@Hawks_Wrestling), Facebook/iowahawkeyewrestling and Instagram (@iowahawkeyewrestling).

[Pinnacle]

Just did a one week free trial on one of the major streaming companies. Already have the network tee'd up.

[BarSeries]

I'm going to miss the dual but B1G+ puts it on pretty soon after. I don't have BTN now but will need to get a month of live BTN, ESPN, and ESPN+ for Big 10's and NCAA's. Tonight I'm going to my alma mater St. Cloud State to watch Cayden Henschel........also #1 vs. #2 in D2.

[PortaJohn]

1 hour ago, Interviewed_at_Weehawken said:

After the Paul Craig snooze-fest, I honestly see Khabib beating Bo in MMA at this time if both were to make middleweight.  Not only because of his MMA credentials but training footage against much larger fighters (ie Rockhold) and stories from AKA.

Bo would win fairly easily.  

[CHROMEBIRD]

1 hour ago, Pinnacle said:

Can BTN be streamed? I have it on cable at home, but I am out of town.

You can watch it on foxsports.com or on the Fox Sports app using your cable login credentials.

Edited Friday at 07:45 PM by CHROMEBIRD

[Pinnacle]

1 hour ago, CHROMEBIRD said:

You can watch it on foxsports.com or on the Fox Sports app using your cable login credentials.

Only on your in home wi fi with my carrier. Not on the road.