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MLB9

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Everything posted by MLB9

  1. I would think Luchas Cochran is leaving Penn State, he was in the Senior Day photo. I think he’d have a decent shot at being a future AA
  2. You’re a data wizard, we’re doing a basic probability and statistics unit at school right now and I show the kids some of your work. We have a Penn State, Iowa, and DT/OSU fan all in class so they like to see the stats. Well, one of them these days for sure lol. I always be sure to give credit and copyright to wrestleknoweverything
  3. Can you calculate the likelihood of that outcome(both having two) based on your expectations of 2.7 and .6? You’d have to run it off the same distributions and standard deviations you used to find those numbers in the first place, right? For the record, I’m taking the over for both of 3 and 1
  4. By using the word “likely” you are using probability, and inherently objectiveness, and that is just not a fact. Wkn’s done all the work for you already. You’ve done so well this last week, now I’m concerned again.
  5. I’m still fascinated by the Georges St. Pierre wrestling/grappling evolution in MMA. The bouts against Matt Hughes and other former collegiate wrestlers were really interesting
  6. I watched a video a while back with Georgio where he almost got taken down by a New York wrestler that placed at state or maybe even won a title, Sean something. GP said it was the closest he’s been to getting taken down so far.
  7. Against the field in that quad(group of 16), it’s unlikely he makes it to that point. He’s not even the highest seed(Robinson). So statistically I’d say no. Lilledahl getting to that point is no gimme either, if he makes it to Smith/Seymour it’ll likely be very close.
  8. Absolutely, it’s set up as a 1a vs. 2b and 1b vs. 2a cross-conference. Less familiarity and very ideal for fans, not sure what the problem is.
  9. Got a real picture for you ja, no need to paint. I know you don’t do math, but eager to see your thoughts.
  10. My hell @PortaJohn, I quoted the wrong post. Meant to do that with your Kerk/Trephan topic. Sorry
  11. I’m glad it played out that way just for that reason, shouldn’t ever be rewarded for anyone.
  12. That would be semis, Seymour/Smith likely in the quarters
  13. Logic, reason, probability, and statistics mean absolutely nothing to that guy lol. I’ll say it before he does, because I know he will- I’m a little nervous about a potential Lilledahl/Smith matchup in the quarters. Tough matchup for Luke to beat a blockish solid guy for a third time as a true frosh. That one could be the determining factor on whether PSU beats Nebby by 100 or not. Gonna be close.
  14. Maybe he should have just won? But yeah, I would think if coaches are basing their rankings on things that don’t count(assuming they’d never wrestled), being a 4X NC and the Big Ten champion would still have him in the same spot.
  15. What could it possibly be? Just posting this, it has to be something involving the top three, doesn’t it?
  16. Is this an argument about the team title, or individual champions? The only one not using objectivity is you. You’re either a master troll or a total buffoon
  17. Doesn’t matter. Team and probability ja, figure it out. I know neither are in Mebraska’s favor, which is probably another reason you continue to do this.
  18. Same shtick last year, which was followed by the all-time scoring record. No admittance, no humility, you just disappeared. So the TEAM stuff works out that way and you resort to compartmentalization with groupings of weights, individuals, etc. to seek out some weird moral victory in your mind and criticizing individuals who don’t win national championships which is even more strange. Is someone paying you to do this?
  19. Saw this on HVI, worth a read. This person likely paid attention during their 7th Grade Probability Unit: Here's an email from a buddy of mine concurring with my argument that Penn State losing nationals is not only virtually impossible but would be the biggest upset in the history of college sports (makes Michigan losing to App State look like nothing) It's not even just how good Penn State is, even though that's definitely the main thing, it's how spread tf out the other contenders are. There are 40 dudes currently ranked in the top 4 at a weight from 20 different schools. 9 are from Penn State, and 12 are from schools who have exactly 1 such dude. Nobody aside from Penn State has more than 4 (Iowa) and only 3 others have 3 (Nebraska, Minnesota, OkSU). And among those 4 who have 3+ such guys, there's tons of overlap. OK State and Minnesota are both there at 285 and 184. Nebraska and Iowa are both there at 149. Nebraska and Minnesota at 141. Where there's an opportunity to pile up points for any of them, it's mutually exclusive and likely to be somewhat divided as the tournament progresses. Basically, outside of Penn State, the only team with a serious shot at 100 points is Iowa, and they'd have to perform substantially above their current rankings and get substantial bonus points to do it. According to their Flo rankings, they're looking at 56 placement points. Even if they performed to expectation and got bonus points at the same pace as Penn State did last year, both of which, I mean, this is Iowa we're talking about so lmao, they're looking at 92 points. That's definitely not a bad tournament, especially for someone without a national champ, but this hasn't been good enough for a national championship since 1989, and in only about half of years since is good enough for second place. You've got a Penn State team where anything less than 130 would be an unmitigated dumpster fire and a field where anything above 90 is exceeding expectations.
  20. And what the hell does that have to do with anything? Here, I’ll be a five year-old like you and say Pinto won’t beat them either. Take that
  21. You should have taken my bet! Barr got hurt yesterday. If three or four more go out, Nebraska just might have a shot to catch Penn State.
  22. I was refering to Bartlett, but both those weights(125/141) will be intriguing. Thank you guys
  23. Wow, he’s always easy to root for too. I’ll be happy for whoever one of those three wins 174.
  24. Who do you expect the formula to kick out?
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