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Posted

Psu scenario to fall at NCAAs and not as crazy as you think.

125 no aa

133 no aa

141 Bartlett gets taken in the early rounds by having no offense or  by Hardy, Allrez or Mendez in the semis.

149 Vanness gets taken out early as he's use to being on his back at Ncaas 

157 kassak gasses out(his gas tank is subpar) in the quarters or semis.

165 champ

174 Haines takes an L to Hamiti or Karson K in the quarters.

184 Parker beats starocii. Don't sleep on the Minnesota 184 pounder in the semis.

197 Barr takes an L to Cardenas in the quarters 

285 Kerk takes an L to the Great American Hero in the semis

 

Only see Penn state with 1 lock for a champion, they are not as top heavy as they use to be. 

Posted

What's the over/under on how many of these threads get started?  

I believe that the record of the "How PSU will realistically lose" thread - or some variety of it - is 0-561

 

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Posted
  On 3/5/2025 at 5:17 PM, jajensen09 said:

Psu scenario to fall at NCAAs and not as crazy as you think.

125 no aa

133 no aa

141 Bartlett gets taken in the early rounds by having no offense or  by Hardy, Allrez or Mendez in the semis.

149 Vanness gets taken out early as he's use to being on his back at Ncaas 

157 kassak gasses out(his gas tank is subpar) in the quarters or semis.

165 champ

174 Haines takes an L to Hamiti or Karson K in the quarters.

184 Parker beats starocii. Don't sleep on the Minnesota 184 pounder in the semis.

197 Barr takes an L to Cardenas in the quarters 

285 Kerk takes an L to the Great American Hero in the semis

 

Only see Penn state with 1 lock for a champion, they are not as top heavy as they use to be. 

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Coming in hot. Strong return to the forum. Welcome back.

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Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted

How about

125.    5th or 6th

133.    Depends which Davis show up

141.    1st to 3rd

149.   1st or 2nd  Never gave up back points 2 years ago, including leading Yanni in the 3rd period

157.    1st or 2nd. Had no problem with his gas tank last year with 8 matches in 3 days. 

165.   Nuf said

174.   1st or 2nd

184.  1st

197.   1st to 4th. Might be as little as 5 seconds riding time from being undefeated

285.  2nd
 

Posted
  On 3/5/2025 at 5:30 PM, Richferg said:

How about

125.    5th or 6th

133.    Depends which Davis show up

141.    1st to 3rd

149.   1st or 2nd  Never gave up back points 2 years ago, including leading Yanni in the 3rd period

157.    1st or 2nd. Had no problem with his gas tank last year with 8 matches in 3 days. 

165.   Nuf said

174.   1st or 2nd

184.  1st

197.   1st to 4th. Might be as little as 5 seconds riding time from being undefeated

285.  2nd
 

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That's best case scenario. All of these dual meets have looked different than past years. Penn state has shown weakness

Posted (edited)
  On 3/5/2025 at 5:33 PM, jajensen09 said:

A scenario isn't necessarily what a person is betting on. 

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You don't have to babble your way out, just say you don't like betting. 

Edited by Hammerlock3

"Half measures are a coward's form of insanity."

Posted
  On 3/5/2025 at 5:33 PM, jajensen09 said:

A scenario isn't necessarily what a person is betting on. Penn State just isn't bullet proof as years past

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Compared to what. You mean winning by only 60 points, not 100. This team has the best chance of 10AA of any of Cael’s teams. 

Posted
  On 3/5/2025 at 5:35 PM, Hammerlock3 said:

You don't have babble your way out, just say you don't like betting. 

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Just another PSU fan that things their team can't ever be beat. I'm most excited to see Bartlett or should I say Stallartell fall early since he doesn't know how to get more than 1 takedown a match. Wrestles like a heavyweight at 141 pounds 

Posted
  On 3/5/2025 at 5:37 PM, jajensen09 said:

Just another PSU fan that things their team can't ever be beat.

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dude -- 50:1 odds on an$100 is a no brainer. quit yapping and hit the bid. PSU gets the flu or has a few concussion at B10 and you make $5,000... or you just a typical troll? geez

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Posted
  On 3/5/2025 at 5:45 PM, roguetrader said:

dude -- 50:1 odds on an$100 is a no brainer. quit yapping and hit the bid. PSU gets the flu or has a few concussion at B10 and you make $5,000... or you just a typical troll? geez

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  On 3/5/2025 at 5:47 PM, jajensen09 said:

1 champ 

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Using the odds for the whole field, and not knowing what happens at the conference tournaments, I put 1 champ odds at 10.9%, or almost 10:1.

Using odds based on how PSU typically performs, and not knowing what happens at conference tournaments, I put 1 champ odds at 0.3%, or about 330:1.

So if you believe this team is different than past PSU teams, take the 50:1. 

But if you are worried they are the same guys they have been, you might want to walk away.

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted
  On 3/5/2025 at 5:17 PM, jajensen09 said:

Psu scenario to fall at NCAAs and not as crazy as you think.

125 no aa

133 no aa

141 Bartlett gets taken in the early rounds by having no offense or  by Hardy, Allrez or Mendez in the semis.

149 Vanness gets taken out early as he's use to being on his back at Ncaas 

157 kassak gasses out(his gas tank is subpar) in the quarters or semis.

165 champ

174 Haines takes an L to Hamiti or Karson K in the quarters.

184 Parker beats starocii. Don't sleep on the Minnesota 184 pounder in the semis.

197 Barr takes an L to Cardenas in the quarters 

285 Kerk takes an L to the Great American Hero in the semis

 

Only see Penn state with 1 lock for a champion, they are not as top heavy as they use to be. 

Expand  

@jajensen09  the man is back!! In post season form nonetheless. 

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