I am in your collective. 3x champ, world silver, smart, resourceful wrestler. Clear favorite.
I'd say 75% is a little optimistic against the field given that the field is showing teeth. I don't think it starts with a 7.
The match was not a disaster for Yianni. Hard fought first period. Made a mistake allowing Gomez to go upper body, cost him 4, and put him in position of taking bad shots.
It's early in the year, he's probably not fully in folkstyle mode, maybe he was up late working on a paper, etc.
Also we know if Gomez is at his best and you're not 100% ready he can beat anyone.
The score doesn't worry that much, but I would say Gomez looked a lot bigger and stronger, definitely a fuller 149 than Yianni. And let's say they meet in NCAA final with many hours after weigh in before Saturday night match - big size delta.
Still see Yianni as strong favorite but this does take a coronation and give it a lot more suspense.