jross

Session 3 Predictions Quarterfinals: (1) Byrd, Lucas def. (8) Davis, Braeden | Dec 6-5 (4) Romney, Zeth def. (12) Rini, Angelo | Dec 8-6 (6) McGonagle, Connor def. (14) Fugitt, Zan | Dec 6-5 (7) Bouzakis, Nic def. (2) Ayala, Drake | Dec 8-7 Wrestle-Backs Round 2: Farber, Julian def. Van Dee, Jacob | Dec 7-6 Spidle, Sean def. Phipps, Kurt | Dec 6-5 Frost, Evan def. Oakley, Ethan | Dec 7-5 Bailey, Nasir def. Ferrara, Tyler | Dec 7-4 Knox, Tyler def. Cardinal, Derrick | MD 12-3 Wells, Tyler def. Serrano, Dominick | Dec 6-5 Brown, Braxton def. Shawver, Dylan | Dec 7-6 Noto, Anthony def. Miller, Ryan | Dec 7-5 Updated AA Predictions Bouzakis, Nic (Seed 7, Ohio State, 5-0) Byrd, Lucas (Seed 1, Illinois, 4-1) Ayala, Drake (Seed 2, Iowa, 4-1) Bailey, Nasir (Seed 3, Little Rock, 5-1) Romney, Zeth (Seed 4, Cal Poly, 3-1) McGonagle, Connor (Seed 6, Virginia Tech, 3-1) Noto, Anthony (Seed 15, Lock Haven, 4-1) Farber, Julian (Seed 18, Northern Iowa, 4-1) Wrestler seeded 17-33 with most wins: Farber, Julian (Seed 18, Northern Iowa, 4-3) with 4 wins

Session 3 Predictions Quarterfinals: (1) Lilledahl, Luke def. (8) Seymour, Sheldon | Dec 7-5 (4) Robinson, Vincent def. (12) Peterson, Dean | Dec 7-4 (6) Strickenberger, Jett def. (3) Ventresca, Eddie | Dec 8-5 (2) Ramos, Matt def. (7) Spratley, Troy | Dec 6-5 Wrestle-Backs Round 2 Gallagher, Max def. Moran, Jacob | Dec 8-4 Poulin, Stevo def. Farmer, Charlie | Dec 9-4 Rivera, Nicolar def. Lorenzo, Antonio | Dec 7-6 McCrone, Brendan def. Moore, Spencer | Dec 10-4 McGowan, Marc-Anthony def. Flynn, Cooper | Dec 7-2 Figueroa, Richard def. Anderson, Trever | Dec 7-5 Smith, Caleb def. Jordan, Tanner | Dec 8-4 West, Blake def. Renteria, Maximo | Dec 11-4 Updated AA Predictions Ramos, Matt (Seed 2, Purdue, 5-0) Robinson, Vincent (Seed 4, NC State, 4-1) Strickenberger, Jett (Seed 6, WVU, 5-1) Lilledahl, Luke (Seed 1, Penn State, 4-2) Figueroa, Richard (Seed 5, ASU, 6-2) Rivera, Nicolar (Seed 11, Wisconsin, 5-3) Smith, Caleb (Seed 9, Nebraska, 5-2) Peterson, Dean (Seed 12, Rutgers, 3-3)

Let's use some critical thinking about removing information because it is DEI. What is DEI intended to do? DEI is intended to promote fair treatment, access, and opportunity for underrepresented groups while addressing systemic inequities in institutions. How has it been abused? DEI has been abused when used to prioritize identity over merit, enforce quotas, or push ideological conformity rather than genuine equity. What contributes to its abuse? Political agendas, lack of clear definitions, and institutional pressure to signal virtue without measurable outcomes contribute to its abuse. Why is identity labeled? Identity is labeled to track and address disparities What is the risk of labeling identity? The risk is reducing individuals to categories. This can cause division or tokenism. Why would someone want to remove race identity in articles? Highlighting race implies that success is noteworthy because of identity rather than ability. Did Trump say to flag every article that includes a racial identity? No, there is not any clear evidence but it is implied through executive orders to stop DEI initiatives across the government. The New York Times article references “government memos, agency guidance, and other documents” as the basis for its findings, but it doesn’t provide direct citations to specific memo. The NYT reports guidance to limit or avoid words in government documents, including "black." https://web.archive.org/web/20250307184131/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/03/07/us/trump-federal-agencies-websites-words-dei.html Has the New York times been called out for fake news? Yes and there has been backlash on x.com against the NYT for amplifying unverified stories related to COVID-19 origins and election fraud, with critics arguing it prioritized narrative over facts. The New York Times does not list all targeted words. Specifically it does not list the word "white." Why might that be? Selective editorial: "Black" is likely prioritized because it is illustrative of the DEI debate. (as is latino, indigenous...) Practical irrelevance: the default race is white and assumed unless a deviation from the norm occurs. Less likely... NYT bias, White Nationalism, etc. Why would the Rogers article be flagged? The man was identified by his race. Why would the article be removed? Unknown. Doing this work (5K+ articles) at scale implies the use of bots that do not understand context. AI makes plenty of mistakes when answering questions that I am an expert in. It is not practical that so many articles could be reviewed by a human to make an informed choice to exempt, alter language, or remove an article. It is unlikely that "White Nationalism" is the answer based on a lack of evidence

...yeah until your kids end up like South African White farmers

Trying to negatively insinuate it’s "White" nationalism is unfair, lazy minded, and racist because it blames skin color when it’s really about losing culture. We used to all speak English (90% back in the ‘50s), but now it’s 75%. Kids used to know our history (80% did), but now it’s just 45%. And we went from 80% watching the same shows to under 10%. Stuff we shared is fading for everyone (not just whites). The non-Hispanic White population’s HAS dropped from over 85% in 1970 to about 56%. We don’t care about the skin color part; we care about the shared culture tied to it. American culture is eroding for the worse... Trust in each other’s down from 60% in 1970 to 25% now, kids who feel they belong in school fell from 85% to 70%...

Updated after round 1 All Americans - no change Correct Upset Calls - none Wrong Calls Monchery over Filipovich Mullin over Colbert Updated bracket predictions based on actual results

Updated after round 1 All Americans - no change Correct Upset Calls Kane over Cartagena-Walsh Neitenbach over Parker Wrong Calls Bockman over Fine Rogotzke upsets Dean Updated bracket predictions based on actual results

Updated after round 1 All Americans Hamiti, Dean (Seed 3, Oklahoma State, 5-0) O'Toole, Keegan (Seed 1, Missouri, 4-1) Haines, Levi (Seed 2, Penn State, 5-1) Thompson, Garrett (Seed 4, Ohio, 4-2) Kennedy, Patrick (Seed 11, Iowa, 5-2) Ruiz, Simon (Seed 5, Cornell, 4-3) Singleton, Matthew (Seed 14, NC State, 5-2) up from not place Simma, Jared (Seed 19, Northern Iowa, 4-3) Out: Pinto Correct Upset Calls Gaitan upsets Cramer Sax upsets Augustine Wrong Calls McGill over Wilson Desiante upsets Norman Kharchla over Wolak Pinto over Harkins Takats over Ogunsanya Queen upsets Cassella Updated bracket predictions with actuals included

Redo original due to wrestler changes.

Updated after round 1 All Americans Mesenbrink, Mitchell (Seed 1, Penn State, 5-0) Caliendo, Michael (Seed 3, Iowa, 4-1) Hall, Peyton (Seed 2, West Virginia, 5-1) Barraclough, Terrell (Seed 4, Utah Valley, 4-2) Ramirez, Julian (Seed 5, Cornell, 5-2) Minto, Christopher (Seed 12, Nebraska, 5-3) Scoles, Braeden (Seed 11, Illinois, 4-2) up from not placed Mantanona, Beau (Seed 6, Michigan, 4-3) down from #7 Out: Amine Correct Upset Calls none Wrong Calls Amaker upsets Keslar Mulvaney upsets Mosher Filipowicz upsets Miller Rhodes over Thomsen Gallagher upsets Garvin Ruiz over Mayfield Updated bracket predictions with actuals included

Updated after round 1 All-Americans Shapiro, Meyer (Seed 2, Cornell, 5-0) Kasak, Tyler (Seed 1, Penn State, 4-1) Blaze, Joey (Seed 8, Purdue, 6-1) Teemer, Jacori (Seed 18, Iowa, 6-2) up from #7 Downey, Ryder (Seed 6, Northern Iowa, 4-2) down from #4 Hipolito, Rafael (Seed 4, Virginia Tech, 3-3) Cannon, Brandon (Seed 5, Ohio State, 4-2) up from not placed Bianchi, Matt (Seed 11, Little Rock, 4-3) up from not placed Out: Zerban, Taylor Correct Upset Calls Chumbley over Hill Saldate over Miller Wrong Calls Fedalen upsets Johnson McGee upsets Chittum Evans upsets Askey Rozynski upsets Fish Siebrecht upsets Swisher Bianchi over Scott Teemer upsets Lovette Teemer now predicted to get 6 wins rather than 5. Updated bracket with actuals included

Updated after round 1 All-Americans Henson, Caleb (Seed 1, Virginia Tech, 5-0) Lovett, Ridge (Seed 2, Nebraska, 4-1) Van Ness, Shayne (Seed 3, Penn State, 5-1) Wasilewski, Cross (Seed 9, Pennsylvania, 5-2) McNeil, Lachlan (Seed 6, North Carolina, 5-2) Parco, Kyle (Seed 5, Iowa, 3-3) Webster, Kannon (Seed 7, Illinois, 4-2) Whalen, Ty (Seed 15, Princeton, 4-3) up from nada Out: Paniro Johnson, Iowa State Correct Upset Call Abas over McDaniel Buesgens over D'Emilio Wrong Johnson over Gioffre Lamer over Clark Updated bracket predictions with actuals incorporated

Original Bracket Predictions from WrestleStat (using wrestler comparison)

Original Bracket Predictions from WrestleStat (using wrestler comparison)

Original Bracket Predictions from WrestleStat (using wrestler comparison)

Original Bracket Predictions from WrestleStat (using wrestler comparison) Now that I look at it... need to update the 17-33 seed such that tie in predicted wins are defaulted to pick the higher numbered seed. MJ Gaitan is a better pick than Desiante...

Original Bracket Predictions from WrestleStat (using wrestler comparison)

Original Bracket Predictions from WrestleStat (using wrestler comparison)

Original Bracket Predictions from WrestleStat (using wrestler comparison)

Updated after round 1 All-Americans Mendez, Jesse (Seed 3, Ohio State, 5-0) Hardy, Brock (Seed 1, Nebraska, 4-1) Bartlett, Beau (Seed 2, Penn State, 5-1) Happel, Cael (Seed 5, Northern Iowa, 4-2) Up from #6 Jamison, Tagen (Seed 7, Oklahoma State, 5-2) Alirez, Andrew (Seed 8, Northern Colorado, 4-3) Down from #4 Tagg, Julian (Seed 18, South Dakota State, 5-2) Frost, Jacob (Seed 9, Iowa State, 4-3) Correct Upset Call Saunders over Carter Tagg over Olivieri Wrong Singleton over Frezza Hanna upsets Henson Latona over Chappell Soriano upsets Cedeno Update bracket predictions with actuals incorporated

Correction in my comment. There was a time between the original prediction and after round 1 where Braxton Brown was predicted to be an AA. Now he is not.

Original Bracket Predictions from WrestleStat (using wrestler comparison)

Updated Bracket Predictions with actual round 1 incorporated. Wrongly predicted Van Dee to upset Miller. Missed the following upsets Oakley over Rini Shawver over Spidle Farber over Noto The wrestler seeded 17-33 with most wins remains Farber, Julian (Seed 18, Northern Iowa, 3-2). His predicted win count increased from 2 to 3 wins. The top 7 AAs remain the same. However Braeden Davis has been bumped from #8 and replaced by Braxton Brown (Seed 9, Maryland, 4-3) AA predictions have changed from 6-8 McGonagle, Connor (Seed 6, Virginia Tech) drops from #6 to nada. Serrano, Dominick (Seed 5, Northern Colorado) drops from #7 to #6 Frost, Evan (Seed 11, Iowa State) improves from #8 to #7 Davis, Braeden (Seed 8, Penn State) improves from nada to #8

After preliminary and round 1 14 of 17 match winners correctly predicted. Picked Gallagher and Flynn with upset wins. Did not pick Moran to win by upset. Still expect same AA placements and Gallagher with 17+ seed with the most wins. Updated Bracket Predictions