Wrestleknownothing

Too bad I don't bet

An alternative interpretation is that Draft Kings pays less than true odds.

Lee had criteria due to a caution and 1 on Bartlett, but the caution was mistakenly put on Lee's score so the scoreboard was incorrect leading the ref to raise the wrong hand. When they realized the scoring error they corrected it.

I don't know. Arnold comes to scrap. I think this one may have been good.

There certainly was no pearl clutching from me. Hell, I wrote a long diatribe about people on here not wanting to believe a wrestler was injured in a sport where 100% of athletes get injured. You should use someone who is inconsistent on this point to try and make your point. That is not me.

Ignore the real issue and keep focusing on semantics. As long as you are focused on how words are used you might want to get up in arms about the Trump administration banning the use of words, calling for revoking the licenses of new organizations, and Trump calling for impeaching judges four days after he said any criticism of judges he appointed should be illegal.

Hold all tickets. Someone just pointed out to me that the second loss by medical forfeit in a tournament does not count on the wrestler's season record form. Thus Kerkvliet only had two losses this tournament, not three. And PSU's win percentage goes to 83.05% (49-10), putting them in second place all time behind the 2024 PSU team. PS: Kerkvliet cannot hear your complaints over all the noise his NCAA title is making.

Quality post

Just tough performances across the board. Paniro Johnson going out in the round of 16 as the 4 seed hurt the most. But with only 2 of 8 wrestlers outperforming their seed, they were doomed. Especially since one of the outperformers was a 30 seed who won two consolation matches and scored 2 points.

Did I mention that Pete Hegseth is a moron who is worse than any DEI hire that was ever hired?

This one is pretty egregious. https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2025/03/trump-administration-accidentally-texted-me-its-war-plans/682151/ And 90 minutes after this became public Trump claimed to know nothing about it (his go to move). He is either lying about that (my guess) or he is stunningly uninformed for a President.

I am using "expected" in the statistical/probabilistic sense of the word, rather than the binary way Flo or Intermat uses it. They both assume a #1 seed will finish first and a #9 seed will never earn placement points. I do not. Instead I use the history of the seeds to come up with probabilities. For example, a #1 seed only wins about 45% of the time and a #9 seed makes AA about 42% of the time. I recognize those facts in my calculations. I also include expected bonus points in my calculations. The result is that a #1 seed is expected to score 19.7 points on average, including bonus (versus 20 plus bonus done the binary way) and a #9 seed is expected to score 5.6 points (versus 2 in a binary model). I wind up giving the top 8 seeds less credit than the binary models, and the bottom 25 seeds more. For Penn it looked like this:

from 1957 to 1962 when there were only 4 AA's per weight, Nichols got his first 20. from 1963 to 1978 when there were only 6 AA's per weight, Nichols got his next 96 (from 1966 to 1969 there were 11 weights) from 1979 to 1985 when there were 8 AA's per weight, Nichols got his last 40

Sanderson moves into a tie with Bobby Douglas. Brands is within 10 of them both. Harold Nichols has at least five more years at the top of the mountain. Finish = the average finish of their AA's.

Didn't you hear? Shadowy Vegas influences paid Steveson off to take a dive. They must have gotten to the coaches too. I think I saw someone in a fedora sneaking away with the challenge brick in a bag with a bid dollar sign on it.

After all the talk last week about being able to count to four, I think we all missed that they had their third and fourth All-Americans in program history. Stephen Little (now a two-timer) and Matty Bianchi, join Nasir Bailey (2024) on their Wall of Fame.

Recency bias is definitely at play. Everyone on the original list was from ~2009 and after. And no Dan Gable.

It is a long list. There are 148 two-time champs.

I almost forgot. I owe you this. A team of just #20 seeds would have scored 28 points. Good enough for a tie for fourth. Like investing, diversification is the answer. And if you were wise enough to invest in this diversified portfolio of seeds, you would be sitting pretty on easy street at this point. You would be no richer, of course, but you would be prettier.

I wouldn't worry about it too much, swimmers are like blind squirrels and stopped clocks.

Some updates: Timers Only one of the possible two-timers became an actual two-timer, Jesse Mendez. That is still one better than the possible three-timers, who got shut out. And while it is impressive, I remain unmoved on the historical significance of the lone five-timer. Career NCAA Points List Ridge Lovett, Kyle Parco, and Beau Bartlett failed to crack the Rex Peery line (59 career points), and so do not make the list. Stephen Buchanan finishes his career with 64 points, putting him tied at 120 (after excluding 5th years). Wyatt Hendrickson and Cohlton Schultz are on the list due to the fifth year (and higher than Buchanan), which I don't feel real good about. Due to the extra bites at the apple, Carter Starocci and Keegan O'Toole move up to #1 and #4, with Cael Sanderson and Logan Stieber sliding a spot to #2 and #3, respectively. Now, I really do not feel good about it. Parker Keckeisen moves up to #19. Team Points Moving on. Losses It is with a heavy heart that I report Kyle Parco succeeded in becoming the first to lose 12 times at the NCAA tournament. Like the point totals of the five-timers, I do not feel good about it. I feel especially bad that it happened through injury. For that reason there are two asterisks on this one.

They were 51-10 (83.6%) going in. 40-2 (95.2%) when the higher seed, and 11-8 (57.9%) when the lower seed. They went 3-4 (42.9%). 2-2 when the higher seed (50%) and 1-2 when the lower seed (33.3%). They offset that poor performance by going 17-3 in the consolation bracket, including 5-0 in third place matches.

No transfer would surprise me.

Said the most bitch sounding guy on the board.

Don't need God's plan. Pyle has a plan.