Wrestleknownothing

Getting the most without getting more than half is plurality More than half is majority

Hard to ignore that champion pedigree

I'm 60, but I read at a 62 year old level.

Not even close. I am on the old side.

He was my pick. And I am a PSU fan. Keep that on the down low.

It is a bit of an artifact of the fitting in that it is mostly driven by performance of the 26 seed, but it get pulled to the right a bit during fitting. There have been four #26 seeds make the podium in the 5 years where the whole field is seeded. As more tournaments with 33 seeds go by, I expect that to smooth out a bit. But right now with only 5 tournaments seeded to 16, and 5 seeded to 33, I muddle along. There is evidence in the data that the seeding committee is generally accurate. The shift in results when going from 16 to 33 seeds bears it out.

I do some fitting in two directions around the data, rather than just using it in its raw form. For example here is my current fitted AA probability by seed. I will update again after this tournie.

An oldie but a goodie

Something that was requested on HR that I thought I would share here Last 10 year, At least 40 wrestlers, How teams perform relative to seed Red=Worse Than Seed Green = Better Than Seed Grey = At Seed

Thanks, I found a website with all the hex codes. Now I have a new way to waste even more time. https://teamcolorcodes.com/ncaa-color-codes/

He knows

Amen

And I am working on it.

Sitting in the Welsh-Ryan stands it really stood out how bald everyone in wrestling is. Wrestlers, coaches, officials, administrators. The domes were chrome as far as the eye could see.

Is this what you want?

I saw this guy in the bracket

Good stuff from Quentin Wright, though I hope he was attempting to be ironic with his St Louis spelling.

This first request goes out to Mean @Gene Mills Fan

Adding team specific AA probability distributions here. If there is one you care about, let me know.

sure. I think I will start a new thread to house a bunch of these

Jaimie Dimon outlines the other cost to the economy of "The Dumbest Trade War in History (and we were being kind when we said that)" - WSJ Dimon noted that 25% to 30% of his clients are hesitating on business investments due to tariffs and other uncertainties, emphasizing that prolonged uncertainty hinders decision-making.

65 teams, 330 wrestlers, 80 All-Americans, 10 Champions, and 1 Most Outstanding Wrestler. I am getting tingly all over. Oh, yeah. And a team title. Let’s just get the team race out of the way right away. The Highlander - There Can Be Only One It is Penn State’s to lose…..again. Boring. Well not for me. But for you guys. What is not boring is the race for second. Wow, did that heat up. With Iowa’s seed average (9.6) much lower than their ranking average (6.7) going into the conference tournament, Oklahoma State, and Nebraska are firmly in the conversation for second. Feels kinda Thunderdome-y to me. Three Intermat posters enter (@VakAttack, @ionel, @jajensen09), one man leaves. But do not count Virginia Tech, and Minnesota out as serious podium contenders. Northern Iowa, Cornell, and Illinois may be long shots, but don’t you dare try telling our muse @ILLINIWrestlingBlog that. Rest in Peace, buddy. Just don’t do it on that great big mat in the sky or we will send Jombo up to call the stall in all his ham and vinegar fueled wrath. Here is hoping your beloved Illini do the deed. Author’s Note: For the long-time readers in the crowd you know that I come up with these point projections based on how the average wrestler at each seed performs. Well, here is the thing about PSU, they just don’t do average. For example, based on average expectations last year they were projected to score 145 points. And we know what happened. So, yeah, 155.7 this year is more. If you throw in the PSU bump relative to the average, they project out to something like 183. Yep. Lou Gehrig Award Who is this year’s Iron Horse? How appropriate that our warrior is a soldier. Army’s Brady Colbert leads all entrants with 36 wins on the season among his total of 43 matches. The man is a thrown back. And if you aren’t careful, he will throw you to your back. Our hero had 10 pinfalls among his 36 wins. With Wyatt Pinfalldrickson flying into the sunset at the end of the tournament, perhaps we have a new American Hero in the Black Knight freshman. Is he The One Who Was Promised? The Harlem Globetrotters Award The Globetrotters have won 27,000 games. You read that right. They will beat anyone, anywhere, anytime. And Campbell shares that ethos. If Campbell is going out this year, they are doing it in style. The Fighting Camels have the highest average matches contested among their entered wrestlers. The Outliers I am not sure what to make of this but there are more wrestlers with sub-0.500 records than with perfect records. Go figure.

How?

Starocci won the matrix calc vs Keckeisen. So why would Keckeisen be the #1 seed? H2H 12.5 - 12.5 QW 15 - 5 Conf 7.5 - 7.5 CR 15 - 0 CO 10 - 10 W% 10 - 10 RPI 0 - 10 Add it all up and Starocci gets 70 and Keckeisen gets 50.

A tie is definitely in the cards, though we may need to involve @jajensen09 in a round robin. I will put something together in the morning.