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Wrestleknownothing

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Everything posted by Wrestleknownothing

  1. To quote the better half, "You have soooo many projects." For the less careful reader, that is not meant as a compliment.
  2. fixed it for you
  3. 125 - Gary Steen 133 - RBY 141 - Woods 149 - Diakomihalis 157 - O'Connor 165 - Carr 174 - Starocci 184 - Brooks 197 - Dean 285 - Kerkvliet Edit: I just noticed I mis-spelled Spencer Lee
  4. I only have bonus point data for 2013 thru 2022. During those 9 tournaments the first place team typically also leads in bonus points (8 out of 9 times). Average bonus points by place looks like this: Zooming in on the top 4 teams: The exception year was 2018 when a third place Iowa outscored everyone else when it came to bonus points: So the question is what kind of tournament do you expect? If it is the average tournament then PSU should make the gap bigger when factoring in bonus points. However, PSU has been below average of late, only averaging 16.25 bonus points the last two tourneys. With PSU losing Nick Lee, but potentially gaining bonus points at 157 is that a push? With Iowa seeing the return of an all-time tournament bonus point machine and Woods' upgraded offense, is that a net gain? With Lee back I could see a path for Iowa to finish second, but have the most bonus points.
  5. For the final edition of this post, prior to the final edition of this post, I thought I would take a look at the full season. Using Intermat's rankings from today to determine the current top 10 teams I traced their expected points back through time to the pre-season rankings. The gap at the top has grown significantly as the PSU freshmen first entered the rankings and then began to climb the rankings, growing from an expected lead over Iowa of 16.8 points to the current gap of 30.9 points. Meanwhile, the expected gap between #2 and #3 has shrunk from 14.8 to 10.2 While #1 and #2 have remained fairly constant, #3 and #4 have not. Ohio State, Cornell, Michigan, and Iowa State have each had dalliances with the podium positions, but with Nebraska's meteoric rise and Missouri's relative stability these two now occupy the expected podium positions. But that occupancy is not a foregone conclusion. The race for the podium has tightened up significantly. At the beginning of the season there was a 98% difference between #4 (52.1 expected points) and #10 (26.3 expected points). That is down to a 25% difference (48.8 vs 39.1). Per usual, I am only looking at placement and advancement points based on the historical results from 2010 - 2022.
  6. Please don't tell me you are not angry, just disappointed. And at 8 am ion a Tuesday t was DEFINITELY the bourbon talking.
  7. That's just what Sanderson wants you to think. See, he got you, too?
  8. They get many chances, especially in the current age of the transfer portal. Someone like Nevills would have been welcomed with open arms at the majority of programs. But it was his choice to stay at PSU. He did what he wanted to do. No shame in that.
  9. Askren has complained several times on FRL that Sanderson won't spill the secret sauce. Maybe the Mirasolas are on a deep cover mission.
  10. I can copy/paste fine, but all my numbers will be in base 9 from now on.
  11. If you need a Dan fix you can visit BigRedBears.com Thank me later.
  12. Start at 157 so that three of the last four matches will be for 3 or 4 titles.
  13. Thanks for this. I was looking at the AA list from 2020 and was wondering what happened to Noah Adams.
  14. All digits intact. But to quote one of my kids, "it's not a project until dad is bleeding." One busted knuckle, so it's a project.
  15. That man has skills.
  16. Spent the day with the table saw instead of this. I win.
  17. And so it ends https://mmajunkie.usatoday.com/2023/02/bellator-news-mma-pat-downey-cut-released-ncaa-division-1-wrestling
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