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Wrestleknownothing

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Everything posted by Wrestleknownothing

  1. I stand corrected. Those are some odd takes. I am not sure how you can argue against his genius. And I am not saying that he knows how to build a rocket, write code, or make electric cars. I do not think he knows any of that. But he sure knows how to build companies that do those things.
  2. Not a chance. I am afraid of what I might find out.
  3. I am not aware of anyone calling him stupid. And I am empathetic. He earned the payout, and the court blocked it for very technical reasons. The numbers are staggering now (~$94 billion as of yesterday), but that is only because the value of Tesla has skyrocketed since 2018. When they made the deal the options were at-the-money and contingent of some very tough hurdles (turn Tesla into a $650 billion market cap company at a time it was worth $59 billion), which effectively made them worth $0. So pay the man what he earned. But the only efficient way to pay is to win the court fight. Reinstating the original option plan does not incur a massive cost for the company (they were worth $0 from an accounting perspective), or a massive tax rate for Musk. Replacing the 2018 option plan with a new one of equal value to the current value of the 2018 plan is massively expensive for both parties.
  4. Not totally Twitter per se, but Twitter adjacent. As Tesla's stock price slid while Musk was away, their board has struggled with how to pay Musk. This matters because they need to regain his attention and interest, but he has said many times that if he cannot get paid what he was promised at Tesla back in 2018, he may be too distracted by his other interests, like SpaceX, or XAI, or DOGE. Well, it doesn't seem like DOGE is that interesting to him anymore, but XAI sure is, now that it is combined with Twitter. The 2018 pay package was shot down by the Delaware Chancery Court (twice) and that decision is under appeal with the Delaware Supreme Court. As Tesla shareholders you have to be pulling for a win here even though it will involve some pretty big dilution (~9%). Reinstating the 2018 package has a much better tax profile for both Musk and the company than replacing it. To replace it would cost Tesla something like $50 billion accounting charge and subject Musk to a 57% tax rate because the options are so deep in the money at this point. Alternatively, if he doesn't get paid by Tesla look for him to spend way more time at XAI.
  5. Been gone a few days. It is hilarious to come back to find that the self-styled brilliant forensic accountants during the Biden years are now dumb as a box of rocks and cannot understand how money works. Keep up the good work.
  6. A couple things: The rule reads "contests or dates of competition", so two duals in aa single day probably counts as two. The rule: 12.8.4 Hardship Waiver. A student-athlete may be granted an additional year of competition by the conference or the Committee on Student-Athlete Reinstatement for reasons of "hardship." Hardship is defined as an incapacity resulting from an injury or illness that has occurred under all of the following conditions: (Revised: 1/10/92 effective 8/1/92, 1/14/97, 8/1/97, 4/26/01 effective 8/1/01, 11/1/01, 4/3/02, 8/8/02, 3/10/04, 5/11/05, 9/18/07, 11/1/07 effective 8/1/08, 4/24/08, 7/31/14, 6/30/22 effective 8/1/22 for injuries and illnesses occurring on or after 8/1/22) (a) The incapacitating injury or illness occurs in one of the four seasons of intercollegiate competition at any two-year or four year collegiate institutions or occurs after the first day of classes in the student-athlete's senior year in high school; (b) The injury or illness occurs before the first contest or date of competition of the second half of the playing season that concludes with the NCAA championship in that sport and results in incapacity to compete for the remainder of that playing season; and (c) The injury or illness occurs when the student-athlete has not participated in more than three contests or dates of competition or 30 percent of the maximum number of contests or dates of competition of the playing season that concludes with the NCAA championship as set forth in Bylaw 17 for the applicable sport plus one contest or date of competition, whichever is greater. 12.8.4.1 Administration of Hardship Waiver. The hardship waiver shall be administered by the member conferences or, in the case of an independent member institution, by the Committee on Student-Athlete Reinstatement. (Revised: 10/28/04, 4/20/09, 7/31/14) 12.8.4.1.1 Review of Denied Waiver. An institution may submit a denied hardship waiver to the Committee on Student-Athlete Reinstatement. The committee shall have the authority to review and determine whether to approve the waiver based on circumstances that may warrant relief from the application of the legislated waiver criteria. (Adopted: 4/20/09, Revised: 7/31/14) 12.8.4.2.3 First Half and 30 Percent of Season Denominator. The denominator used to determine the first half and 30 percent of a season is the maximum number of contests or dates of competition of the playing season that concludes with the NCAA championship as set forth in Bylaw 17 for the applicable sport plus one contest or date of competition (see Figure 12-1). (Revised: 6/30/22 effective 8/1/22 for injuries and illnesses occurring on or after 8/1/22)
  7. As promised: https://web3.ncaa.org/lsdbi/bylaw?ruleId=104793&refDate=20250511
  8. Yeah, maybe I have worn out my welcome here. Time to take a break.
  9. Have at it. I do not need attribution.
  10. 1-Yes. There is a table that has a column with the denominator for every sport and the 30% value for every sport, in the rule book. I am out of town, but can post the location Sunday night. 3-Yes. An official tournament counts as a date, as does a dual. If you look at their wrestlestat team page you will see (unofficial) next to the tournaments that do not count against the total competition dates. The official ones are generally when they send the whole team, while the unofficial are generally when they send a couple guys. A multi-day tournament counts as a single competition date. 3-you can get a hardship waiver more frequently than just when all your eligibility is done. But I do not know the definition of timely.
  11. There absolutely are errors in this data. Everything is self reported. Anywhere you see a V or inverted V in a line, that is almost certainly an error. Just a head's up.
  12. I found this study done by the NCAA on sports sponsorship and participation rates: https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/research/sportpart/2024RES_SportsSponsorshipParticipationRatesReport.pdf When viewed across all levels, D1 thru D3, wrestling has bounced back from its nadir. The number of teams bottomed out at 217 in 2010. At 275 as of 2024 the total number of teams is 27% higher than 2010. Meanwhile, the average roster size has ballooned from almost 22 in 1982 to over 32 in 2024. All Levels Are Not Equal, Though Total D1 teams has leveled off just below 80. While roster size has grown from 29 just before the worst times, to 35 in 2024. D2 is a Different Story Both the number of schools sponsoring wrestling and average roster size has grown significantly. In fact, at 73 schools sponsoring, 2024 was the highest total in the range. Similarly, average roster size was at an all time high. D3 is Another Success Story There has been a steady increase in sponsorship since 2012. And while not at 1982 D3 levels, there are more D3 schools sponsoring wrestling than either D1 or D2. That has not prevented average roster sizes from growing to all time highs either. Putting the Three Together Thanks to the strength of D2 and D3, overall participation is at its peak in the time period. D3 participation passed D1 in 2013 and has not looked back. D3 now has 35% more participants than D1. And D2 is poised to pass D1 in the next few years. At current rates that should happen in five to six years. Where Do We Rank? Kind of in the middle. Of the 29 sports listed, wrestling had the 11th most schools participating in 1982 and the 12th most now. Wrestling also had the 8th most participants, and has the 10th most now. That's right. Swimming just passed wrestling. Sorry guys. (Let us not speak of Diving). Tennis used to be the bomb, but has stood still and gotten passed by a lot of other sports. At least we are not gymnastics. Oof.
  13. The Athletic has an article about the number of college basketball players in the portal who are out of eligibility. There were 137 as of when the article was written. They are being advised by agents and lawyers to put their names in "just in case". The arguments for "just in case" range from "if the NCAA loses lawsuit X" to "what if they give everyone a fifth year". Even if a lawsuit is undecided by the start of next season, they can still bet on a temporary restraining order to allow them to compete.
  14. This happened under the Trump administration. Must be his fault. Right?
  15. They define both terms in an addendum. They do it that way because the numbers change by sport. For wrestling the midway point is defined as the 10th official date of competition for the team. In Alvarez's case, in both 2023 and 2024 it looks like his last match was the team's 11th official date. So he wrestled in the second half, making him ineligible for a hardship waiver. For wrestling 30% is defined as 6 (the denominator is 17 and 30% of the denominator is rounded up to 6). In 2023 Alvarez competed in 9 official dates. In 2024 he competed in 5 official dates. Reasonable time is relative to after all other eligibility is exhausted, not to when the injury occurred.
  16. Chicago born, Villanova grad, Cubs fan. It is like they chose one of my family members.
  17. You, Sir, are a Hall of Fame prognosticator. I completely missed this whenever it was posted (no date on the article, but it mentions the vote was 10/29/2024), but we have a winner. From the ranks of college wrestlers Darryl Burley and Greg Wojciechowski are members of the class of 2025. Other Distinguished Members of the Class of 2025 were Matt Lindland (greco) and Terry Steiner (coaching). https://nwhof.org/news/national-wrestling-hall-of-fame-announces-class-of-2025
  18. I found this paragraph in The Athletic's article interesting: While the plaintiff and defendant lawyers believe Wednesday’s revisions will satisfy Wilken’s requests, the objectors who Wilken ordered be included in the most recent discussions do not endorse these revisions. Shortly after the revisions were filed, Wilken issued an order granting those objectors until May 13 to respond, and the settlement lawyers until May 16 to then reply to those responses.
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