WrestleStat March Matness 2024 Tournament Pool

[FanOfPurdueWrestling]

Is anyone else participating in this challenge where you have 1000 points to choose 10 wrestlers and score the most points? 
 

I'm trying to ensure I win and can donate my earnings to BTS.

 

Attached is the Legend for points per seed. What’s the best lineup I can make with a 1000 point constraint? 

[BaldAt23]

I do a big pool and it’s possible that someone has the exact same lineup as me. I’d like to do a little one with people here (I know it’s a little last minute). 

[Wrestleknownothing]

1 hour ago, FanOfPurdueWrestling said:

Is anyone else participating in this challenge where you have 1000 points to choose 10 wrestlers and score the most points? 
 

I'm trying to ensure I win and can donate my earnings to BTS.

 

Attached is the Legend for points per seed. What’s the best lineup I can make with a 1000 point constraint? 

Bonus points are less correlated to seeds than other ways of scoring. So, if they are including bonus points in the scoring then the higher seeds are slightly over priced.

It looks like this with bonus (negative means overpriced):

Now you need to figure out which of the ten #13 seeds will bust the bracket the most.

[Truzzcat]

58 minutes ago, FanOfPurdueWrestling said:

Is anyone else participating in this challenge where you have 1000 points to choose 10 wrestlers and score the most points? 
 

I'm trying to ensure I win and can donate my earnings to BTS.

 

Attached is the Legend for points per seed. What’s the best lineup I can make with a 1000 point constraint? 

Carter (hes going to be unbelievably chalk so on the off chance he loses to mehki and med defaults youd have crazy leverage by not using him but its hard to pass up on a 9 seed thats the favorite to win the weight)

heavy is a weight i feel like you want to prioritize one of the big 3 wyatt has been my lean because of his chance to make the finals as well as his bonus ability but those 3 guys seem to have really separated from the field 

157 is a weight I think you can get some value. Levi is a likely champ but im not a huge fan of his draw for bonus opportunities and I think the field is wide open enough that you can take some shots. I like Andonian,Zerben,Mauller in that order

141 I lean brock hardy top 5 upside with an outside shot at making the finals (very outside)

149 I like gomez legit shot to win it and a very favorable draw to the semis imo 

125 I think you just go with your favorite value guy I like Camacho but you still give up decent points on him Poulin, Palmer (if you think he can win off the scale) seem like solid picks 

184 and 197 are my main pay ups I think keck could bonus the field and same thing with trent and Aaron they could bonus to the finals

 

[bnwtwg]

Gomez is going to be there Saturday night or leave Friday morning. He will be one if the deciders for many pools.

[SocraTease]

Journalist picks for the tournament:

https://www.themat.com/news/2024/march/20/journalists-pick-the-2024-ncaa-championships-finalists-and-top-five-teams

[SocraTease]

2 minutes ago, SocraTease said:

Journalist picks for the tournament:

https://www.themat.com/news/2024/march/20/journalists-pick-the-2024-ncaa-championships-finalists-and-top-five-teams

I can't believe someone picked Caliendo to reach the finals at 165.  He was eviscerated (tech-falled) by Mesenbrink and the two are on the same side of the bracket.

[Wrestleknownothing]

10 minutes ago, SocraTease said:

Journalist picks for the tournament:

https://www.themat.com/news/2024/march/20/journalists-pick-the-2024-ncaa-championships-finalists-and-top-five-teams

I am surprised nine of them left NC State out of their top 5 team placements.

[Wrestleknownothing]

8 minutes ago, SocraTease said:

I can't believe someone picked Caliendo to reach the finals at 165.  He was eviscerated (tech-falled) by Mesenbrink and the two are on the same side of the bracket.

Caliendo is from Illinois. The guy who picked him is from IllinoisMatmen.

[ionel]

2 hours ago, FanOfPurdueWrestling said:

Is anyone else participating in this challenge where you have 1000 points to choose 10 wrestlers and score the most points? 
 

I'm trying to ensure I win and can donate my earnings to BTS.

 

Attached is the Legend for points per seed. What’s the best lineup I can make with a 1000 point constraint? 

I'd like to use my 1,000 points to buy 16.67 Staroccis.  

[FanOfPurdueWrestling]

Keep in mind I have to take Ramos, I’m sure eveyone in my league is. 
 

thanks for the help thought! 
 

I like my too seeded guys (Kerk, Mendez, O’toole) but I don’t like my lower seeded guys. Will evaluate and share when I update! 

[PortaJohn]

5 minutes ago, FanOfPurdueWrestling said:

Keep in mind I have to take Ramos, I’m sure eveyone in my league is. 
 

thanks for the help thought! 
 

I like my too seeded guys (Kerk, Mendez, O’toole) but I don’t like my lower seeded guys. Will evaluate and share when I update! 

I'd drop O'toole and pick up another top seed if you're looking for bonus value.  He has a tough go quarters on.  There's an obvious top seed that I think a lot of people forgot has been wrestling this season 

[FanOfPurdueWrestling]

13 minutes ago, PortaJohn said:

I'd drop O'toole and pick up another top seed if you're looking for bonus value.  He has a tough go quarters on.  There's an obvious top seed that I think a lot of people forgot has been wrestling this season 

Is the ultimate goal not to pick the champions though? 

[PortaJohn]

30 minutes ago, FanOfPurdueWrestling said:

Is the ultimate goal not to pick the champions though? 

I wouldn't say that but think of it this way just for fun.  Using WKNs chart lets say the admin let you take 5 #1 seeds for your 1,000 & I took 5 # 2 seeds (800) I'd have 200 points to spare and could take a #1 seed.  Chances are I beat you by having 6 scoring wrestlers vs your 5.  Your five #1's expected score (102.65) vs my five #2's & one #1 (106.93)  It's all about value.  Also, you have to take Carter Starocci.  A)  he's the best value pick at #9 and probably at any weight B) It's an offset pick.  Have to strategize because everyone is taking him or at least they should

 

 

Edited March 20 by PortaJohn

[Truzzcat]

13 minutes ago, PortaJohn said:

I wouldn't say that but think of it this way just for fun.  Using WKNs chart lets say the admin let you take 5 #1 seeds for your 1,000 & I took 5 # 2 seeds (800) I'd have 200 points to spare and could take a #1 seed.  Chances are I beat you by having 6 scoring wrestlers vs your 5.  Your five #1's expected score (102.65) vs my five #2's & one #1 (106.93)  It's all about value.  Also, you have to take Carter Starocci.  A)  he's the best value pick at #9 and probably at any weight B) It's an offset pick.  Have to strategize because everyone is taking him or at least they should

 

 

I think this strategy is really sound for smaller field tourneys to win something big you probably have to get lucky with some mid seed guys but I think doing this could certainly win like a 20-30 man thing pretty easily 

[PortaJohn]

18 minutes ago, Truzzcat said:

I think this strategy is really sound for smaller field tourneys to win something big you probably have to get lucky with some mid seed guys but I think doing this could certainly win like a 20-30 man thing pretty easily 

I've been able to win many of my pools with usually only taking one #1 seed.  Sometime I take none and build it around #2's & #3's.  For the big board luck definitely has to be on your side

Edited March 20 by PortaJohn

[FanOfPurdueWrestling]

3 hours ago, Truzzcat said:

I think this strategy is really sound for smaller field tourneys to win something big you probably have to get lucky with some mid seed guys but I think doing this could certainly win like a 20-30 man thing pretty easily 

I’m looking at a 20 man pool, is the ideal scenario picking as many “locks” to place as possible? Attached is my team.

 

if I win I’ll ask the board where to throw the money!