What did Mendoza do this season to indicate to you that he's a "high AA threat" at 157? His best results were at 149 (wins over Frost, Jamison, and Willochell. And only one of those guys is an AA, Frost who was 7th at 141). At 157 he had losses to Webster, Millard, and Jordan Williams. And his only notable win was over Catrabone, who is good but not a "high AA threat". Based on his season, I don't see how you could predict him to beat: Duke, Taylor, Larkin, Robideau, Zerban, Shapiro, Webster, Cannon, or Watters. Could he knock off one or two of those guys and sneak onto the podium? Certainly. But that doesn't make him a "high AA threat".