I wouldn't be surprised if he was a finalist this year for 125.
Last year, he had only one loss and it was to his legendary teammate Spencer Lee.
The year prior, he was thrust into the starting lineup as a true freshman unexpectedly after Lee went down mid-season. His only losses were to guys who have been all-americans (McKee and Barnett) or guys who came pretty close (Camacho, Heinselman). Gutierriez is the only questionable loss and he was no slouch himself (and keep in mind, when they wrestled, Ayala was a true freshman in his first NCAAs where Gutierrez was in his sixth year of eligibility and a three time national qualifier.
More than anything, the reason why I think he has a good chance is that his ability to pull off unlikely moves late in matches is something that sets him apart. He has a higher ceiling (and lower floor) than guys who have a similar level of expected return.