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Danny Deck

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Everything posted by Danny Deck

  1. Given results so far, I think the lineup may be stronger if you let Hughes and Jamison go up.
  2. Enjoyed Saturday Night well enough. I'm glad other people are commenting about the mannerisms Cooper Hoffman has like his dad. I was thinking about it several times watching the movie. Conclave is a perfectly 3.5 star movie. Unfortunately none of the theaters here were among the few David Zaslav deigned to put Juror #2 in so I haven't seen it. Gladiator 2 and A Real Pain this weekend. Looking forward to both.
  3. Again. It's a name ID poll, nothing more.
  4. In 2008 no one was even asking about Obama until October 2006. Both previous losers, Al Gore and John Kerry, were being polled about more often than the eventual winner. Rudy was the leader in the clubhouse on the Republican side for all of 2005.
  5. She's just the most well known on those lists because they just spent hundreds of millions on ads featuring her. Jeb Bush was the leading Republican in summer 2015. This early it's not even a popularity contest, it's a name ID contest. Once the others really get their campaigns going, I'm sure she'll plummet because of the weaknesses she's shown so far.
  6. I really liked Candice Millard's Destiny of the Republic which also need a really good job of weaving in multiple things that were happening around the time of President Garfield's assassination.
  7. VP - JD Vance State - Marco Rubio Treasury - Defense - Pete Hegseth AG - Matt Gaetz Interior - Doug Burgum Agriculture - Commerce - Howard Lutnick Labor - HHS - RFK Jr HUD - Transportation - Sean Duffy Energy - Chris Wright Education - Linda McMahon Veteran's Affairs - Homeland Security - Kristi Noem Others like EPA and DNI are cabinet level but outside the line of succession. I'm not sure how much the ones that seem most objectionable are capable of actually enacting the radical transformation of their departments they claim to want. But they may be able to bring in people who can. Or maybe it's just a clown show for however long they run these departments. I think we should bet on who gets Tillerson'd, fired while on the toilet.
  8. Didn't most of these people earn most/all of their wealth prior to politics? Romney, Warner, Goldman and Issa certainly did. Paul Pelosi was a successful investor prior to Nancy's political career, but I'm unsure how wealthy they were in the 70s. Can't find it stated explicitly, but it seems likely Lisa Blunt Rochester's wealth came from her late husband. I know my rep, Kevin Hern got his money as a McDonald's franchisee. Lots of reasons why the wealthy are over represented in Congress, but I would venture that it's their ability to self fund their campaigns rather than relying on a party apparatus has more to do with it than corruption once they're in office.
  9. https://thedispatch.com/article/how-to-truly-fix-the-federal-debt/
  10. I don't know about term limits, but mandatory retirement age for sure.
  11. 3rd quarter was kinda light on stuff I really liked. 3 books about the Nixon years: Watergate: A New History, The Inevitability of Tragedy, and Nixon and Kissinger. Finished the Duane Moore series by Larry McMurtry. I think the first three are excellent, The Last Picture Show, Texasville and Duane's Depressed. The last two are much less essential. Probably my favorite read was Everybody Knows by Jordan Harper which I'd describe as Michael Clayton written by James Ellroy. So far the fall has has some better picks. I read Say Nothing by Patrick Radden Keefe in advance of the show coming on Hulu. The book was really good, and I'm 3 episodes into the show and it is excellent. I read An Officer and a Spy by Robert Harris finally. It is exactly how I wanted to learn more about The Dreyfus Affair, in dramatic form. I hope it's turned into a show/movie that has US distribution. The adaptation by Roman Polanski isn't distributed here post #Metoo.
  12. I doubt there has been a major update to the human circadian rhythm in that time.
  13. This website is interesting to look at at the differences for different cities. https://savestandardtime.com/chart/?clock=pdst&city=4553433
  14. Just a reminder: https://www.washingtonian.com/2022/03/15/the-us-tried-permanent-daylight-saving-time-in-the-70s-people-hated-it/
  15. Order of prefernce: Permanent Standard Time Status Quo Permanent Savings Time I can't imagine the misery of 2.5 months of sunrise after 8 am.
  16. Didn't fill up but it was $2.45 at Sam's yesterday. Think $2.59 at regular stations.
  17. I assume money. Here in Tulsa there are two early voting locations for the entire county, and we don't have a very long early in person voting window, today through Saturday. It looks like only Cleveland County, where OU is located is the only county in the whole state with more than 2 locations. Looks like on actual election day we'll have 239 voting locations. In 2022 I think it took me about 90 minutes, but they had split people up into two lines by last name. If you were the first half of the alphabet you could be in and out in like 5 minutes. Obviously I'm not still mad about it.
  18. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-allows-virginia-purge-noncitizens-voter-rolls-ahead-elec-rcna177673 "Virginia has same-day voter registration, meaning that any eligible voter who was removed from the rolls should still be able to vote." This is good.
  19. I'm more worried about what recourse a legal voter has if they're purged. If they have enough time to deal with the inevitable bureaucracy than do your voter roll maintenance, if they don't, then it's too late to do this kind of thing.
  20. August and September of an election year seems really close to an election and not allowing much time for someone to fix any issues. Seems like something that should be like a January through March of an election year at the latest kind of thing.
  21. They succeeded in blocking 7 rules that were issued September 20 including one for installing drop box surveillance. It appears the court's reasoning was about timing and authority of the election board. The rules were initially thrown out on 10/16. On 10/22 the Georgia Supreme Court did not fast track the case so it won't be heard before the election.
  22. In 2020 Biden won the precincts surrounding this particular ballot box 60/40, so maybe just maybe, there is another option you could consider.
  23. There were two fires, one in Portland and one across the river in Vancouver, WA. I thought this was the Vancouver one.
  24. What assumptions are we making about who set fire to ballots in the only large city in a toss up district?
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