
BAC
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Everything posted by BAC
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Can't think of another weight where seeding is so consequential. I think Fix is a bad stylistic matchup for Crookham, so I'd consider Crookham the favorite if he is top seed (Vito takes Fix out in bottom bracket), but Fix the favorite if he's top seed (Crookham takes out Vito in bottom bracket).
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For comparison, here's an article talking about Jordan Oliver's draw at this tournament to qualify the US at 65kg in 2021. https://www.flowrestling.org/articles/7022343-breaking-down-jordan-olivers-insane-last-chance-draw
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NCAA ringers? At 57kg, I like Darian Cruz a lot and I'm happy he's an Olympian. But in freestyle, he's not a ringer. He really doesn't have any international accomplishments of note. He's never come close to making a US team, and for PR, he's never come close to medaling at Worlds. RBY was a legit obstacle, but he was on the opposite bracket. At 65kg, I like Austin Gomez a lot. But in senior-level freestyle, he's no ringer either. Dangerous, but erratic, and has never been medal threat (tho maybe he is now). I wouldn't call Lachlan McNeil a ringer. The Cuban has medaled, but not recently, and he's pushing 40. The Argentinean is a tough out too, but never close to medaling. Nick Lee was definitely the favorite here, as was Zane at 57kg (or at least co-favorite with RBY). There's a reason these NCAA guys aren't pushing for a spot on the US team: they know its a longshot. (Well, maybe not RBY.) At Last Chance, there is *always* a bunch of medalists from other countries. And it tends to be a much bigger bracket too. Its nasty. We won't know until all the qualifiers are done, but Jon Kozak tweeted the other day that at 65kg, Tulga Tumur-Ochir, Haji Aliyev, Islam Dudaev, Bajrang Punia and Kotaro Kiyooka hadn't qualified. I'm not sure if the US has *ever* pushed someone through at this tournament. It's hard to overstate how heartbreaking the Pan Am result was.
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Folding in international accomplishments, Kurt Angle deserves mention. 2x NCAA champ, world champ, Olympic champ. I might still pick Kolat as the overall guy, both because of his college and (especially) high school dominance, and because he was jobbed so many times internationally that his 1x bronze/1x silver don't accurately reflect how good he really was.
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I thought it was interesting that Brands, in the pre-OSU/Iowa press conference, made reference to the "bad blood" between the two teams stemming from Olympic Coach Gable's unabashed advocacy in legal proceedings of his Iowa guy, Randy Lewis, to get the 1984 Olympic team spot instead of the guy that won trials, OSU's Lee Roy Smith (John's older brother), ultimately leading to Gable's censure by USA Wrestling. But is there really any lingering bad blood? Even in the wrestling community, far more don't know the story than know it. And in Flo's article, they talk about Brands' references to "understanding wrestling history" and "bad blood," but completely whiff in understanding what he was talking about: “(Dan) Gable, Randy Lewis, Lee Roy Smith, 1984,” Brands said on Tuesday, going through some of the names and dates of the series, which Oklahoma State leads 29-25-2. “You can keep going. And those are things that are real, they're real, and enough time has gone by where maybe it’s, ‘Let's let bygones be bygones,’ but I'm not sure it really works that way. I think that those pains run deep. They run deep.” https://www.flowrestling.org/articles/12160118-iowa-wrestling-heading-to-oklahoma-state-with-plenty-of-lineup-options C'mon man. Brands wasn't "going through some of the names and dates of the series." This is one very specific event in wrestling history that exploded the rift between Iowa and everyone else, and especially with OSU. Pretty much no one agreed it was the right outcome, except diehard Iowa fans and the arbitrator, swayed by the head Olympic Coach (and Iowa coach) demanding for a re-wrestle of the last 80-some seconds of the match. But it also was 40 years ago. Its a good bet Gable and the Smith family haven't forgotten, and Brands hasn't, but has everyone else? A longtime Iowa sportswriter authored that article and no one at Flo saw what he missed. If you're interested, run a google search. You'll find a number a contemporaneous articles from 1984, which are your best source. Or check out Wrestlers at the Trials, a neat little book by James Moffatt. Interesting stuff.
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Yeah maybe, but you don't know until you try, and clearly the defensive strategy hasn't worked. The guys who have beaten Brooks recently are guys who opened it up: Zahid. Taylor. And Brooks' win over the Russian Nationals champ at U23s was a nailbiter as the Russian was coming after him. The list of people with wins over Brooks in the last 2-3 years is very small and none of them won on defense.
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Hidlay does not get nearly the respect he deserves, and he absolutely is a legit threat to Brooks. Yes, if he pulls it off the Hodge still goes to Starocci, but the Hidlay-Brooks matchup is still a great storyline. For three years in a row, Hidlays has lost to Brooks in the NCAAs finals/semis. All close: 3-2, 6-4 SV, 6-3. If Brooks didn't exist, then Hidlay would be, at minimum, a 3x finalist and 1x champ, and might even being going for his 4th right now (if he won in the finals in '22-23). The main difference is that this year, Hidlay seems to have level-jumped and, more importantly, opened up his offense. He went from a 25% bonus rate when he lost to Brooks as a freshman, to his current 85%. Before this year, he'd never bonused a top-10 opponent. This year he majored #3 Beard and #5 Cardenas. Of course, Brooks isn't exactly standing still, and is still the favorite. But the question I want to know is -- how will Hidlay wrestle him this time? Brooks has made no secret of the fact that he hates wrestling Hidlay since he won't open up, making for a defensive battle. Does Hidlay stick with that game plan, or does he open it up more this time -- more like his other matches? I hope he opens it up. He's a senior, and if he really wanted his title he could have stayed at 184. But he decided to make another run at Brooks. If you're going to lose to the man 4x, at least go out on your shield. My own guess is we see a different Hidlay this time around, and the match ends up being very entertaining.
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James E. Sullivan Award Semi-Finalists: Taylor, Gray and Elor
BAC replied to Idaho's topic in College Wrestling
I like Taylor for this. Won the world title, beat an all-time great Iranian in the finals, via pin. What else can you ask for? Its comparable to Snyder winning the Sullivan after beating Sadulaev, and Rulon winning after beating Karelin. If Taylor didn't exist, Yazdani would be an 8x world/Olympic champ, and considered the best ever. I like Elor and Gray, but I don't think their 2023 compares well to Taylor. Gray's had a great career, but she only took bronze in 2023. Elor won, but didn't beat someone of Yazdani's caliber. Give me a year where Elor knocks off one of Japan's multi-timers, and she'd get my vote if I had one. Not Ledecky either. If the Sullivan were a lifetime achievement award, Ledecky would be deserving, but she's not what she once was. She's nails in the 800 and 1500, winning both in 2023, but isn't as competitive in the 200 or 400 anymore. If she gets it, its a make-up for being (wrongfully) overlooked in the past. Clark is a popular choice -- the media's really been fawning over her lately, and she's drawing crowds -- but she won it last year. Sullivan doesn't seem to like repeat winners. If hotness were among the criteria, the Sullivan would go to Stanford's Brink (dayum!), but since Rulon won it once I'm pretty sure its not a factor. So Taylor it is. -
Honestly, outside of current top D1 coaches and top active competitors, he probably has the highest name recognition there is, at least among current top high school recruits. From his Hodge career, to making the Olympic team, to becoming one of wresting's top MMA fighters, to becoming a lead Flo personality, to running the Asken Wrestling Academy, he's always been in the wrestling limelight, and he has one of the more memorable personalities and styles. My guess is over 95 of the top 100 recruits know who he is. If you're hiring a coach, and the top D1 coaches aren't moving and the top active competitors aren't ready to move into a full time coaching position... do you know a potential candidate who has MORE name recognition among top high school recruits? Heck, he probably has better name recognition among top high schoolers than 90% of existing D1 coaches. You don't have to like the guy, but questioning his name recognition among recruits is a pretty bad take.
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Yeah, you and Vak could be right too. It's certainly true that the guys Brooks handles most easily are the guys who actually try to win. The question is, will Glazier wrestle to win, or to not get majored? I'm hoping that in a dual in Carver he'll want to go for the W.
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I think the only guy to keep Brooks to a decision this year is Hidlay. Glazier's put together a real nice season, but Brooks is an absolute freak.
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125: Ayala Dec over Davis 3-0 Iowa 133: Nagao Dec over Schriever 3-3 141: Woods Dec over Bartlett 6-3 Iowa 149: Rathjen Dec over Kasak 9-3 Iowa 157: Franek Dec over Haines 12-3 Iowa 165: Mesenbrink Dec over Caliendo 12-6 Iowa 174: Starocci M.Dec over Kennedy 12-10 Iowa 184: Arnold Dec over Truax 15-10 Iowa 197: Brooks M.Dec over Glazier 15-14 Iowa 285: Kerkvliet T.F. Hill 19-15 PSU Not an Iowa fan but everyone's underselling them at home. The Arnold/Truax pick is admittedly a stretch and wildly unlikely to happen. Curious to see how Caliendo fares against Mesenbrink.
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IKR? That’s grating. If I had his password I’d have logged in and made the edit myself.
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Is going to Russia even an option? It's been on the State Department's "Do Not Travel" list since the Ukraine invasion, and I'm not aware of any USA Wrestling-sanctioned visits to Russia since the invasion, nor since Russia was barred from international competition. I'm not aware of any specific rule barring a US athlete from flying to Russia and competing, but I suspect they'd be doing it without the support of USA Wrestling.
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I know this is a Starocci thread, but I'm puzzled why everyone is so sure KOT gets another title this year. I'm sorry, but I have O'Toole's chance of repeating this year at sub-50%. His record is 1-2 against Carr, a guy who's never had more than one loss in a season (and he already has his loss this year). Its amazing to me how little respect Carr gets on this forum, with everyone putting him on a different "level" than KOT. And throw in Mesenbrink, who is a dark horse to upset either/both of them. And didn't KOT just barely nip Peyton Hall 8-7? I have KOT and Carr as a toss-up, and MM, although probably a step behind both, is just enough in the mix to put the odds of KOT a little under 50%.
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Penn State has 9/10 starters ranked in the top 10 Intermat
BAC replied to Jimmy Cinnabon's topic in College Wrestling
9 of 10 in the top 5.... now THAT would be remarkable. -
It’s good to see. He’s in USA singlet now, so it reflects on more than just Iowa now if he goes off the rails. But the difference in maturity and self control is like night and day. Proud of him.
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Even if they had gotten the name right, the bigger error is calling a 2-1 score in a Will Lewan match “slower than expected.”
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Cody seems very candid and well-spoken. Props.
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At first I thought Brands was going to step up to the plate when he seemingly called out the first reporter for nibbling around the AJ issue: Reporter: "Will you be having any additions to the roster second semester?" Brands: "Just ask the specific question." Reporter 1: ".... Will you be having any additions to the roster second semester?" Pathetic journalism, and I was ready to give props to Brands for inviting direct discussion of the issue, only for the reporter to drop the ball a second time. But then another reporter DID man up and ask it: Reporter 2: "Can you comment on AJ's conduct at the end of the Soldier Salute and what is recruiting status is for the second semester? Brand: "You know the answer to that Mike. You've been doing this a long time..." Oh come on Tom. Just answer the freaking question. AJ just did a podcast making it sound like everything's hunky-dory with Iowa and saying he'd just been admitted, and Pyles has gone on record saying it is "very likely" AJ's recruiting status is unchanged at Iowa, but over at HR reporter they're saying they nixed AJ. So no, we don't know. Saying no one's joining second semester "at this time" is an empty truism. Of course he can't go into detail, but a simple "No we are not recruiting him now" or even a "The situation is fluid, we will have to wait and see how it plays out" would be better than just berating journalists for doing their job. No one's listening to the interviews to hear you spew out empty "one day at a time" cliches and scowl at the journalists. Either answer the questions or don't do interviews at all. And the journalists are even worse. If you're not going to ask real questions, or push back even a little bit when there's resistance to telling the truth, get a new job.
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Bucky, Here is the only backstory you need to know. In the "Creeps in the wrestling community" thread (elsewhere on this page), there is discussion about youth wrestling videographers, one or two in particular, who are perceived by many as shooting and thumbnailing their videos in an overly suggestive manner, attracting the attention of (if not outright catering to and/or profiting from) the prurient desires of a certain unsavory subset of the population, leading to otherwise unremarkable youth wrestling videos having millions of views. Some in the wrestling community have sounded the alarm -- hence the thread -- and pushed back. Various members of the wrestling media, including JB, have chimed in with more context. Several pages in, "commonsense2400" formed an account and started posting in defense of one or more of those whose works are at issue, and -- apparently believing "the best defense is a good offense" -- started taking aim at posters, accusing them of everything from defamation to aiding and abetting criminal acts. These included pot shots at JB which have now morphed into this new thread. That's your context. Judge for yourself. My opinion, FWIW, is EVERY post of "commonsense2400" should be regarded as bad faith intimidation tactics existing for the SOLE purpose of bullying into silence those who take issue with makers of the videos that have caused widespread serious concern in the wrestling community.
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Creeps in the wrestling community - What can we do about it?
BAC replied to flyingcement's topic in College Wrestling
Why do you keep saying this? Surely you know it isn't true: https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/72431 If you are going to try to intimidate people with accusations of defamation, you might want to make sure your own posts are truthful. You also may want to educate your client on Youtube's Community Guidelines policy against sexualization of minors: https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/2801999 Note that, per the first link, thumbnail selections must conform to these Community Guidelines as well. To all: I would encourage you to likewise review the above Community Guidelines on Youtube regarding the prohibition of sexualization of minors and, if you believe in good faith that a given Youtube video crosses the line as articulated in these standards, irrespective of who posted it, report it here: https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/2802027 I would encourage you to use discretion in reporting. Obviously it needs to be more than a kid in a singlet in wrestling match. IMO, casting too broad a net or penalizing high-end videography is not good for the sport. Step back, be objective, be fair, and don't report it unless it is "sexually suggestive" within the meaning of the published policy. But if it is: do your part and report it. Per Youtube guidelines, if they agree, the video will be removed and the Youtuber will get a "strike." The policy also says: "If you get 3 strikes within 90 days, your channel will be terminated." It also says that violations will be reported to the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children. -
Creeps in the wrestling community - What can we do about it?
BAC replied to flyingcement's topic in College Wrestling
Gotcha. I could go down a rabbit hole on this one, but respectfully, the answer isn't opening Youtube up to liability. The cost of self-policing is absolutely massive, and content hosts will err on the side of caution, so what will happen is a massive overcorrection where either (a) a huge portion of content goes behind a paywall (passing costs to the consumer), or (b) a huge part of the internet dries up (as content hosts lack the resources to review/police it), or, most likely, (c) both. The other legislative problem is that politicians are too caught up in what minors can do online, and not focused enough on what adults can do to harm and exploit minors. State and federal legislators LOVE to pass new laws restricting what kids can see/do on the internet -- Youtube is currently under an FTC consent decree from 2019 for failing to police this -- but what do legislators do to protect the kids from adults? Precious little. You want a legislative fix? Here's mine. Amend the Copyright Act to provide that parents/guardians of minor children automatically own a limited copyright in the image/likeness of their minor child, and can enforce that copyright by requiring videos/photos be taken down, unless they have given express permission (e.g. via signed waiver for an event). In other words, expand the right to make a DMCA takedown request to parents. Right now, all we have is a messy patchwork of state privacy laws, most of them inadequate. The Copyright Act provides a quick and easy nationwide solution. -
Creeps in the wrestling community - What can we do about it?
BAC replied to flyingcement's topic in College Wrestling
You gotta be careful what you ask for here. If common wrestling positions can constitute "simulated sexual conduct," and if the appearance of the typical wrestling singlet can constitute "transparently clothed genitals," then not only would every single youth wrestling video risk prosecution for child pornography, it also would mean those who who watch or store those videos are guilty of viewing/possessing child porn, and those who sponsor wrestling events are engaged in criminal acts. Lets not throw out the baby with the bathwater. Prosecuting someone on these grounds would create a chilling effect on wrestling media that could be a death knell for the entire sport. If you're going to go after someone criminally, it needs to be based on their very specific conduct in relation to child pornographers and consumers, and not merely the high-res nature of the videos.