Brutal draws. We may only see 2-3 medals this year inlcuding the mercenaries. This is about as bad as it could go.
57 Lee gold
61 Jax 0-1 or 1-1, won't get pulled back
65 Seabass has a favorable draw, will need to beat Tevanyan in quarters for a medal because Kiyooka is going to go bonkers. Woods 0-1 or 1-1, 50% he gets pulled back if he can win his first match. Amouzad and Sujeet will be the fire.
70 Duke tough match off the scale 01 or 1-1. Gomez same issue. No medal.
74 Carr has a meat grinder. Hoping for a medal but 74 is always so tough.
79 Haines has a RUS expat from Sadulaev's club off the scale. 2 Asians medalist, won Yasar Dogu last year at 79. Not great! Probably pulled into repechage. Mikey Labs might win his first match, no clue if he will get pulled back.
86 Zahid meets Ghasempour in the quarters. The earlier the better, because Zahid has gas tank issues and Ghas is going to be walking around at 97 the minute weigh-ins are done. Ramos might sneak in a couple wins and be a bracket buster. Where is Amine? Is he really going all-in on the influencer career?
92 Hidlay has the best draw of anyone and has an optimal path to the semis which as long as he doesn't get upset should put him in a medal match or finals... hopefully. Honis on the other hand will likely go 0-1 and not get pulled back in.
97 Snyder has a good path to the finals as long as he doesn't trip on a landmine.
125 Hendrickson opens with the same guy he pinned at U23 worlds with a torn knee. But that match was MUCH closer than the scoreboard said as it was 11-9 with a minute to go. Second match is just as tough, then third match will be savvy old man Sharipov. If he runs that gauntlet, he is graced with Zare's presence. I think he can make it to Zare in the semis to get a bronze, but I would not be surprised by a DNP. Jovan Smith probably 0-1, might go 1-2 if he can pull off a first round upset.