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Wrestleknownothing

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Everything posted by Wrestleknownothing

  1. You swam a 1:02 100m as a master? Impressive.
  2. Yeah, I will take the under on that $4 large. The NCAA says they hold 90 championships in 24 sports across 3 divisions. Lets say all 90 awarded fourth without head-to-head (they didn't), that comes to $44,444 per trophy and associated costs. Remove the obvious: swimming, track and field, gymnastics, cross country, and diving (6 sports x 2 genders x 3 divisions = 36) and you have only 54 trophies at $74k per. Maybe the NCAA just needs better accountants.
  3. I have not been able to find any confirmation of this from an NCAA source. Can anyone confirm?
  4. They always sign up late. And Casey Cunningham said in his pre-season email that they kept the first semester schedule light so that anyone who wanted to enter Sr. Nationals could do so.
  5. 2010? Hmm. I thought it was 2019.
  6. Thank God for that. For those of you who were busy, Katie Ledecky did Katie Ledecky things. Started in front and stretched her lead every single 50. She is amazing. She is on an 11 year unbeaten streak at the distance AND SHE IS ONLY 26. While she did not swim her fastest (or close to it) it means she still only has the fastest 30 times ever at the distance. Sadly, Bobby Finke did not do Bobby Finke things and finished third in the opening heat. Finke is the king of the negative split, but he got badly beaten over the second half of the race by Ohio State's Charlie Clarke.
  7. Amen to that, but I can empty a room in a heartbeat when you get me talking about distance swimming. 800m heats tonight. Gonna be a humdinger.
  8. I would think Crookham should be slight favorite even at Rec Hall.
  9. https://swimswam.com/all-the-links-you-need-for-the-2023-u-s-open/ Thank me later.
  10. This is also a concept in securities regulation. Most bright shining line rules have been replaced by principals based rules. They found that if you gave certain brokerage firms a line they will get as close to it as often as possible. But if it is a more general principal the same people will not attempt to get close to the line because they are not sure where the line is.
  11. @Interviewed_at_Weehawken Maybe 2005
  12. In 1995 they increased pinfalls (and related) from 1 to 2 points, major went from 0.5 to 1 point, and tech fall was replaced by match termination (though both required a 15 point lead and were worth 1 point). In 1997 the tech fall was restored. But they also distinguished between a tech fall (leading by 15 with back points) worth 1.5 and a match termination (leading by 15 without back points) worth 1 point. Now all tech falls are worth 1.5 (though I do not know when that change was made).
  13. As to the Mizzou question, I have them with 61 returning points (that includes Colton Hawks who may or may not be the starter?). That total includes bonus points. My projections do not. So 10 bonus points certainly seems possible.
  14. I do not think this is a perfect way to look at it, but it is my first cut. To solve the lack of data about class (FR, SO, JR, SR) I narrowed my focus to the four time AA (excluding 2020). For Myles Amine I only used his first four years. There have been 154 four time AAs. But treating them as a group when looking at paths is problematic because the guys who started by winning their freshman year cannot improve upon that performance. So I segmented the group by starting points (freshman finish). Obviously, the guys who won it all as a freshman perform the worst on average their sophomore year as their delta can only be zero or negative. A couple observations: Freshman AAs, who go on to AA four times, are pretty evenly distributed among the places. That qualifier in the previous sentence is doing a lot of work. Missing from this analysis are guys who AAed as freshman, but did not AA all four years. That puts a potentially significant upward bias on all the deltas above. Surprising to me, on average second through eighth place finishers as freshman improve on that placement as sophomores. Broadly speaking, in this limited data set, yes, AAs do tend to improve in their career. But again, this is just true for four timers. For giggles, here are the four timers who won it as freshmen:
  15. That is true whether public or private. So might as well make it public.
  16. I am not defending him at all. I am defending my right to know.
  17. When my brother was a child, he spoke as a child, understood as a child, and thought as a child. When he became a man, he set aside his childish ways. Something Comer and Jordan should try.
  18. My brother used that argument when he was five. "He did it first".
  19. I am not sure that will have a big impact on margin of victory as all teams have the same potwntial to benefit from the scoring change in a given year, and MOV is a measure within a year that can mostly be compared across years. Where it breaks down is when the difference between first and third, fourth, etc. changes from year to year. The winning team will place higher on average so bigger spreads lead to bigger MOV. Right now the spread is tighter than it has ever been making it harder to beat the Iowa record even with bonus point inflation.
  20. Imagine there's no Minnow It's easy if you try No Tweets to block us Around us clear sky
  21. Good questions. I left everything at the office tonight, but I will look at this tomorrow. Though my data does not have class in it, sp that will be a challenge. And what the hell does class even mean anymore? Another challenge.
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