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Everything posted by Wrestleknownothing
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Trump knows nothing about economics
Wrestleknownothing replied to Saylors_Tiny_Willie's topic in Non Wrestling Topics
If is doing a lot of work there, as that is not what was alleged at the time. The Chinese products tariff was because of theft of intellectual property. None of this has any bearing, though, on the question, which was really quite simple: "What was the result of his tariffs during his term as Presdident?" -
Trump knows nothing about economics
Wrestleknownothing replied to Saylors_Tiny_Willie's topic in Non Wrestling Topics
Of course the devil is in the assumptions, but... Key Finding The Trump administration imposed nearly $80 billion worth of new taxes on Americans by levying tariffs on thousands of products valued at approximately $380 billion in 2018 and 2019, amounting to one of the largest tax increases in decades. The Biden administration has kept most of the Trump administration tariffs in place, and in May 2024, announced tariff hikes on an additional $18 billion of Chinese goods, including semiconductors and electric vehicles, for an additional tax increase of $3.6 billion. We estimate the Trump-Biden tariffs will reduce long-run GDP by 0.2 percent, the capital stock by 0.1 percent, and employment by 142,000 full-time equivalent jobs. Altogether, the trade war policies currently in place add up to $79 billion in tariffs based on trade levels at the time of tariff implementation and excluding behavioral and dynamic effects. Before accounting for behavioral effects, the $79 billion in higher tariffs amounts to an average annual tax increase on US households of $625. Based on actual revenue collections data, trade war tariffs have directly increased tax collections by $200 to $300 annually per US household, on average. Both estimates understate the cost to US households because they do not factor in the lost output, lower incomes, and loss in consumer choice the tariffs have caused. Candidate Trump has proposed significant tariff hikes as part of his presidential campaign; we estimate that if imposed, his proposed tariff increases would hike taxes by another $524 billion annually and shrink GDP by at least 0.8 percent, the capital stock by 0.7 percent, and employment by 684,000 full-time equivalent jobs. Our estimates do not capture the effects of retaliation, nor the additional harms that would stem from starting a global trade war. Academic and governmental studies find the Trump-Biden tariffs have raised prices and reduced output and employment, producing a net negative impact on the US economy. https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tariffs-biden-tariffs/ -
I think it is not unique, but it is an outlier. For example, a booster recently agreed to pay what is believed to be north of $1mm for the top softball pitcher to transfer to Texas Tech (https://www.on3.com/nil/news/texas-tech-red-raiders-softball-nil-collective-to-pay-nijaree-canady-upwards-of-1-million/) from 2x defending champs, Stanford. But that is a huge outlier for softball. And I think $500k is an outlier for wrestling. BTW, I say agreed above because I saw this story today. https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/41438172/matthew-sluka-nil-dispute-unlv-hinges-verbal-offer What is notable is that it is a QB and the verbal offer was only $100k. So far all he has gotten is $3k. So this idea that there are contracts and athletes can sue is not always true.
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Don't look now, but it would seem JimmyBT's return is imminent. From Jagger's 7/19 Mailbag: Why would someone block someone (until the end of September) from your Intermat forum with no warning or notice of why it happened? I was told to take it to the zoo, which I did. Doesn’t make sense when it’s going to cost you a yearly premium subscription. Just wondering. Jim H (Cinnabon?) Is it my forum? I barely even go on there. I’m sorry this happened to you but I don’t believe you need a subscription to use the forum. Just like this mailbag. Which is a good thing since I doubt I’m moving the needle on subscriptions. Either way, I’ll make sure to wake you up when September ends. I assume Jagger added the parenthetical (Cinnabon?)
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Penn State called out by JB
Wrestleknownothing replied to larry_bird_enthusiast's topic in College Wrestling
That is certainly true in every other sport. So, it is fair to assume that is true in wrestling. -
Preseason Conference Rankings
Wrestleknownothing replied to bracketbuster's topic in College Wrestling
Looks like PSU will struggle to make the podium -
PortaJohn Parity Thread
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
The results part is easy. I have that. What years do you have for transfers? -
PortaJohn Parity Thread
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
sounds like a job for the Transfer Portal King himself, @flyingcement -
any accounts of the specifics of the workout?
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PortaJohn Parity Thread
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
You are getting it right. My Tableau filters got it wrong. See above. -
PortaJohn Parity Thread
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
Ahh. That was a Tableau thing. When I excluded Brooks and Nickal from 197 it dropped them from 184 , as well. Oops. It also affected Jake Rosholt at 177/184, Alex Dieringer at 158/165, Ed Ruth at 177/184, Greg Jones at 177/184, and Cael Sanderson at 177/184 -
PortaJohn Parity Thread
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
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PortaJohn Parity Thread
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
The good news is that it makes no difference. Both 142/149 and 150/157 had 22 unique winners in the 26 season span from 1998 to 2024. That put them 2 up on 190/197. Shorten it by a season and it is a one unique champ lead, but still a lead. You proposed unique champs as the definition of parity (and that is what I polled on), but you can also look at it more broadly through the lens of unique AAs. Viewed this way, 140/149 slides to second behind 167/174 while 150/157 plummets to seventh. But no matter how you look at it the weight extremes are also the dominance extremes. The heavies have the least amount of parity and the lights are not far behind regardless of whether you are counting unique champs or unique AAs. This, too, is unaffected by the choice of 1998 over 1999 as the start year. -
PortaJohn Parity Thread
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
@PortaJohn suggested 1998 to present, and I am a doer not a thinker. -
Is there a 4-timer out there?
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
Yes, but you also have to put an asterisk next to Hall on that front. -
Is there a 4-timer out there?
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
Ask and ye shall receive -
Without looking....what weight class do you think has had the most parity from 1998 to present? I am defining parity as the most unique winners. I will post the answer tomorrow.
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Is there a 4-timer out there?
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
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Is there a 4-timer out there?
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
The only one who did not win as a freshman was Brooks. -
Is there a 4-timer out there?
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in College Wrestling
Tsirtsis was a redshirt freshman and Cox was a true freshman in 2014 when they won titles. Tsirtsis wound up going 1, 3, R16, RS, 7 Cox was 1, 5, 1, 1 -
This season there are no returning wrestlers who have a chance to become a four-timer.* The last time a season started without a returning wrestler who had a chance to become a four-timer was 2010. That was the season Kyle Dake started his epic run through four weights in four years. Every year since there was at least one guy on a streak. And how about 2022? We started that season with 7 returning wrestlers who had a shot at becoming four-timers. And three of them did. * I am not including Ferrari until I am certain about the ORS he claims. Freshmen and redshirt freshmen are on a three year run without a title. Do any of the crop of freshmen or redshirt freshmen have a realistic shot at winning this season?
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Trump is so wealthy
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in Non Wrestling Topics
For a guy who started a thread about how to think critically about the media, you sure are not thinking critocally, nor are you expecting critical thinking by Vance or Trump. When I first heard Trump's claim my immediate thought was, "that is batshit crazy, there is no way it is true". Turns out I was right. It is a shame neither Vance, Trump, nor you are capable of doubting what certain of the media tells you. -
Trump is so wealthy
Wrestleknownothing replied to Wrestleknownothing's topic in Non Wrestling Topics
Are you seriously claiming that Trump or his staff is monitoring the open comment periods in city meetings and swallowing the claims without proof whole? This is the guy you think should be president? You normally don't make silly arguments.