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Wrestleknownothing

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Everything posted by Wrestleknownothing

  1. To the winner go the spoils.
  2. I don't know about him, but I have a zero tolerance policy for zero tolerance policies.
  3. I feel so derivative. FRL talked about this this morning.
  4. Yep, Lilledahl jumped 49 slots to #26 today in the wrestlestat rankings. That was a lot of stored energy waiting to be released.
  5. The Cy Hawk dual was eventful this weekend. At 157 Jaocri Teemer sustained what looked like an injury serious enough to keep him out of action for months, if not the season, Patrick Kennedy replaced Nelson Brands at 174 and ran roughshod over an old teammate, and Angelo Ferrari used a competition date at 184. With Teemer out, and Nelson Brands and Gabe Arnold sitting (for at least one match), what does the Iowa lineup look like going forward? 157 - Wrestlestat has only one back up listed at 157 (Isaiah Fenton), but they have multiple at 149 (Caleb Rathjen and Victor Voinovich being the highest ranked). Do they bump a backup up a weight? Do they try to survive with Fenton and hope Teemer makes it back? Do they solve logjams at higher weights by having guys cut (if they even can)? 174 - Speaking of higher weights. While Brands was coming off a techfall of his own, Kennedy looked very good teching Aidan Riggins. In the past Gabe Arnold was a 174 who his father said had to bust his ass to get bigger for this year. Does Caliendo attempt a drop to 157, Kennedy to 165, and Arnold to 174? Seems unlikely, but maybe? 184 - Does the Teemer injury actually make it more likely that they pull Ferrari's redshirt and go with the everyone cut weight strategy? I assume the decision to wrestle Ferrari at 184 instead of Arnold was made prior to the Teemer injury, so probably one had nothing to do with the other over the weekend, but maybe it will going forward. That is a lot of lineup flexibility for Iowa. How do you think they use it?
  6. Yours is a very simple mind. You know nothing of my feelings toward Elon Musk, even though I have stated them repeatedly. You like to jump to your conclusions as long as they support the narrative you have constructed. Me challenging dumb things you say is not outrage. It is just challenging dumb things you say.
  7. You do not know the definition of outrage.
  8. I am pretty sure that is wrong. It would be his third junior year and give him five tournaments. The only guys who could get five tournaments were freshmen in 2021 (Starocci, et al) or guys who took a redshirt in 2020 (Amine, Eierman, et al). Steveson wrestled in 2020 so he only gets four tournaments.
  9. Steveson? I believe this is it for him.
  10. You definitely got Matt Gaetz's attention with that headline.
  11. Oh, it is a whole thing. Each column in my table is using the rankings from the different ranking services (Flo, Intermat, Wrestlestat), but instead of assuming first will place first, second will place second, etc. like they each do when coming up with their team scores, I base it on historical outcomes. The average points scored (placement, advancement, and bonus) by a #1 seed in my look back period is 19.7, less than what wrestlestat assumes (20+bonus). They also do bonus at the individual wrestler level, while I do it at the seed level. As an aside, they somehow have Penn State with zero bonus points. Meanwhile, they assume 18.8 bonus points for Iowa. The net result is they over value high seeds and undervalue low seeds. This really penalizes the Ivy-ex-Cornell and EIWA-ex-Lehigh groups The extreme example is they assume the 32 and 33 seeds will score zero points. But, by definition one of them will have at least one point. And empirically the 33 seed will score 2.1 points while the 32 will score 1.5 on average.
  12. Nope. Wrestlstat has that at Cornell 53 - Lehigh, the reset of EIWA and the rest of Ivy 60.8. Personally, I think the wrestlestat tournament algo is too binary. I see it this way using the different rankings. So Cornell could beat any one of those groups, but no two of them, never mind three.
  13. Exactly. The probability can be both small and largest at the same time.
  14. I just saw this in WIN Magazine (just $15 for a 1 year online sub? Yes, please, and thank you). https://athletics.uchicago.edu/news/2024/11/6/wrestling-adds-jason-tsirtsis-to-their-staff.aspx My alma mater is investing in wrestling. Nice.
  15. Welcome to the board.
  16. The good news is we will probably get a lot more of these: https://news.artnet.com/market/maurizio-cattelans-viral-banana-sells-for-6-24-million-at-sothebys-2571327 I just read that the buyer is a crypto dude. Of course he is.
  17. You can generally get third or fourth (on the podium) with 4 AAs if there are at least 1 champ or 2 in the second and third range. Absent that you probably need 5.
  18. As high as #12, as low as #16 pre-injury per Intermat. Wrestlestat started him in the teens, then had him in the 20's late in the year (around the time he was injured). 9/27/2023 16 Paddy Gallagher Ohio State 11/28/2023 16 Paddy Gallagher Ohio State 12/4/2023 13 Paddy Gallagher Ohio State 12/27/2023 12 Paddy Gallagher Ohio State 1/3/2024 12 Paddy Gallagher Ohio State 1/9/2024 16 Paddy Gallagher Ohio State
  19. It can go one of two ways. Gensler took the position that the existing regulations were sufficient. But when real projects tried to comply they were refused or charged with violations. Some of them have taken to the courts to settle this (and have had some wins, hence spot bitcoin ETFs). In the process, some incumbents in the crypto industry have asked for crypto-specific regulation. Maybe they will finally get it with the new SEC chair. But writing those regulations will be a lot of work and that is very hard to do. So maybe they won't get new regs, just less enforcement of the old regs.
  20. Gary Gensler has been very anti-crypto as the head of the SEC. That is about to change. Not Gensler's view of crypto, but the SEC's approach to regulating it. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/21/sec-chair-gensler-will-step-down-jan-20-making-way-for-trump-replacement.html
  21. 2019 Freshman 2020 Let's not talk about it 2021 Free year 2022 Junior 2023 Finding himself redshirt (it is there, but you have to read between the lines) 2024 Oh yeah, I am "trying" out for the Olympics redshirt. I can still do that after the fact, right? Then, yeah. 2025 My first love has always, been will always be, WWE, NFL, MMA, interpretive dance, NCAA wrestling.
  22. I wouldn't say hold my beer, necessarily, but I would put them second. From a points perspective Their high low range is about 16, whereas OSU's is about 23. But given how Cornell outperformed their seeds last year, you cannot discount them for the podium even though the rankings have them in the five (Wrestlestat) to nine slot (Flo).
  23. When I brought up record turnover in Trump's last administration I was told this time he had a plan. Perhaps he needs to check in with Pyles on plans development.
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