I think you're missing the difference between a young man who was training to win the peak event for a wrestler, vs a guy who left the sport to chase WWE and the NFL. When it comes down to talent, there is no question where Gable falls, but I think it's fair to question how much of his heart and soul is going into training and how bad he will want it if he has to go to deep waters. I think it's fairly clear that no one is predicting an upset, but if he loses, it is more likely that he isn't as invested as he was previously and that the gas tank could be a reason.