Wrestleknownothing

I was thinking of a physical maturity advantage rather than an advantage from more folkstyle training. If that is the case then you also have to bring Zain Retherford back into the conversation. While he took a redshirt it was after his freshman year. And Steveson has taken two redshirts after his freshman year. So do you just rank the three best years instead of all four? Or just the last three? Are non-consecutive years better? Or worse? This also got me thinking about another choice that I implicitly made that no one has called me on yet. Specifically, why should my categories be equal weighted? Why should major decision rate have the same weight as pinfall rate? Ditto for opposition ranks. How do you properly deal with ranks across result types? Lee had fewer pinfalls than Nolf, but they came against tougher competition. How do you adjust for that?

Agreed. On the flipside, if Steveson wins this year, as I have assumed, he will do it in his seventh year out of high school where Nolf and Nickal did it in their fifth year out of high school. At this level it is safe to assume that the athletic peak occurs later. So do you penalize Steveson for winning at an older age?

Nothing wrong with that.

The first period TF is already captured by the average time to tech fall. Bonus losses would hurt Spencer Lee the most. Strength of competition is already captured by the average rank stats. And I am pretty sure the Spencer Lee / Gable Steveson Hodge tie was as a direct result of Bo Nickal winning the Hodge over Jason Nolf.

I created this graphic aboutr a year ago, but figured it was time to up date it for the presumption that Gable Steveson would become a three timer. Since I used wrestlestat data for things like the average time for a techfall or pinfall and the rank of defeated wrestlers, I limited the analysis to 2014 - present. With the exception of Alex Dieringer, whose career began in 2013. For him I dug around to get win and bonus totals, but used the 2014 - 2016 wrestlestat data for time and rank. So, perhaps those are a little better than they should be. For Steveson I assumed he would run the table, but maintain his historic bonus rates and finish with 23.5 NCAA points (he had 24.5 and 22.5 in his two title years). Reducing that number salad to rankings per category we can get a better idea of relative career ranks. Using these metrics Steveson ranks third best, behind Jason Nolf and Bo Nickal, but just ahead of Zain Retherford. Of course this ignores gold medals won while still having college eligibility remaining. Reasonable minds might not want to do that.

Happy Thanksgiving, gentlemen. May you all be happy, healthy, and successful.

I do not know what most of that means, but if any of it means you eat Casey's Pizza, I will keep you in my prayers.

There is no doubt the equity markets reacted positively to the election results, jumping 2.5% the next day, and another 1.3% since. But to be fair, the market has been on a tear for the last two years at +56%. So, the question is why did market participants like Trump's election? I think the promise of deregulation is the answer, but there could be others. It seems to me that mass deportation, mass government layoffs, and punitive tariffs are all inflationary policies on their own, but combined would be devastating to the economy. My guess is that market participants are discounting that they will actually happen. No one who thinks critically believed Trump when he said he would get Mexico to pay for the wall, either.

Happy Thanksgiving to you too.

Nope. I owe you an apology. I mis-read this sentence: The fact you did not say you already knew this leads me to think you did not know... I missed the first "not" and flew off the handle. I am sorry for falsely accusung you. That is something I try not to do, but failed at in this instance.

It has nothing to do with your second paragraph. You said I was lying. That is what I responded to.

I know you like to play prosecuting attorney, so I will play along. Yes, I already knew this. It was reported on the local ABC affiliate. All I had to do was turn on the TV. Actually my wife does that. But there it was. By the way, the fact that I say I know something should not lead you to believe I do not. It should lead you to the opposite conclusion because the words I used had very specific meanings. What upside down world do you live in?

That 100% has been reported. Hell, you even posted reporting of that very thing in your thread claiming it is not being reported.

"Inflation", as you are using it, was temporary. It went down as fast as it went up. You did not answer the panic question, because there was no panic. You just restated that there was inflation. Yep. Agreed. Panic? You are 100% wrong here. As for impact on the economy, you will be hard pressed to back that one up with data. However, if you would like to look at data, check out the Census Bureau Index of Economic Activity that aggregates 15 economic indicators. Though you will not find support there. https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/ Any number of economists have predicted a recession that is just so stubborn that it refuses to come. The result is that too many people live scared lives and miss out on economic growth.

What is your definition of temporary? And what panic are you talking about? And quantify much impact on the economy.

All models are bad, but some are useful.

This is a very important question. I need you to think carefully before you answer. Our entire internet message board friendship is riding on your reply. Creamy or chunky?

I decided I liked this view too. Everyone in the pool.

Follow up question. How do you know that?

Good news. Any idea when he will be back? I would guess not for the Princeton or Army duals. Maybe for the Soldier Salute? Or maybe wait until January?

Davis was the only starter not to go to the Black Knight Invitational. It would lead one to believe he is dealing with illness or injury.

Yes, in the sense that it would hurt his competitors more than him. He said that on an investor call. But, I am not convinced he is really for it, as much as he is trying to calm investors. The bigger threat to Tesla is if they decide to eliminate carbon credits. I just cannot see

Or Is It The Race To Avoid Fifth? First let's take a look at how the Intermat team totals shake out based on today's rankings for teams two through five. Intermat still has Jacori Teemer ranked #1 at 157. That makes sense. No one knows the extent of his injury. But let's just say it is season ending (but let's hope it is not). With everyone at 157 moving up a slot, the team totals would now look like this: If Teemer's injury is serious it eliminates all of Iowa's room for error. Of course, Iowa has a lot of lineup flexibility with a logjam a few weights higher. But asking 165 - 184 to each slide down a weight has problems of it's own. First, if those were their optimal weights, odds are they would already be wrestling there. Second, asking three wrestlers to cut is a lot riskier than asking one. So even if Iowa were to go with the slide down strategy over the plug in strategy it is likely that much of their room for error would be eliminate. Nebraska, Oklahoma State, and Minnesota are all firmly in the mix. Injuries suck. And especially if they put Iowa at risk of finishing fifth again. In other news The wrestlestat rankings look especially screwy this week with Gable Steveson sliding from first to fifth in spite of wrestling twice and putting two two tech falls on the board. Somehow going from 0-0 to 2-0 cost him over 100 Elo points. Go figure. In other other news I know you were all a little worried about Penn State, but with Luke Lilledahl entering the top 33 it appears that they are going to be OK. They now have a 0.2% chance of finishing with 10 All-Americans. For reference, this still trails Minnesota's 2001 all-All-American squad which had a 0.8% chance of 10 AA's based on seeds. But if all else stays the same and Lilledahl is able to grab an 8 seed, PSU's chances of 10 AA's jumps to 2%.

I am very curious if Trump even attempts to bite the hand that feeds him by attempting to eliminate EV tax credits given that Tesla is the greatest source of liquid wealth of Elon Musk.