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Posted
  On 3/16/2025 at 10:25 PM, Dogbone said:

DK put out a line for each weight and has a line for each wrestlers chances. 

Top 4 at each weight:

125

LL +165,

Figs +330

Ramos +400

Strickenburg +600

133

Drake +180

Byrd +300

Bailey +475

Bouzakis +950

141

BB +165

Mendez +225

Hardy +360

AA +475

149

Van Ness +160

Henson +200

Lovett +300

Parco +750

157

Kasak +100

Shapiro +250

Taylor +950

Cannon +1000

165

MM -500

Caliendo +550

Hall +750

Barraclough +1000

174

KOT +110

Levi +150

Hamiti +450

Pinto +1000

184

CStar -200

PK +140

Plott +800

McEnelly +1000

197

AJ +150

Buchanon +300

Cardenes +300

Barr +750

HWT

Gable -600

Kerk +425

Wyatt +450

Trephan +1200

 

 

Expand  

I like those odds for Ramos, Alirez and maybe McEnelly

  • Bob 1
Posted

At 157lbs they have Ethen Miller (#1 seed at BigTen tournament) at 500/1 with the next closest wrestler at 125/1. Not saying Miller will win, but 500/1 for the 1 seed at BigTen's? Seems off.

PNWfan

Posted
  On 3/18/2025 at 7:15 PM, PNWfan said:

At 157lbs they have Ethen Miller (#1 seed at BigTen tournament) at 500/1 with the next closest wrestler at 125/1. Not saying Miller will win, but 500/1 for the 1 seed at BigTen's? Seems off.

Expand  

70% first round, 50% second round, 10% vs Shapiro, 45% semis, 10% vs Kasak

All seems sort of doable until you run the numbers. It's approximately 650:1 that he'll win all 5 in a row.

They hedge a bit to protect their butts and land on published odds of 500:1. (I'm guessing they think his real chance is even slightly worse than that 650:1 number to publish at 500:1)

Posted
  On 3/20/2025 at 3:01 PM, BaldAt23 said:

Put $500 on Iowa to finish top 5 for a $125 payout. Easy money

Expand  

Let me tell you a little story about the 2024 NC State team. They were expected to finish second with a healthy gap to third. With all ten guys qualifying and five of them seeded between #2 and #7, that was some easy money. They finished tied for eleventh.

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted
  On 3/20/2025 at 3:35 PM, Wrestleknownothing said:

Let me tell you a little story about the 2024 NC State team. They were expected to finish second with a healthy gap to third. With all ten guys qualifying and five of them seeded between #2 and #7, that was some easy money. They finished tied for eleventh.

Expand  

I like story telling time.  🙂

.

Posted
  On 3/20/2025 at 3:35 PM, Wrestleknownothing said:

Let me tell you a little story about the 2024 NC State team. They were expected to finish second with a healthy gap to third. With all ten guys qualifying and five of them seeded between #2 and #7, that was some easy money. They finished tied for eleventh.

Expand  

You can never trust ACC teams in these. Big 10 teams have been battle tested and have less variance at the tournament. 

Posted
  On 3/16/2025 at 10:25 PM, Dogbone said:

DK put out a line for each weight and has a line for each wrestlers chances. 

Top 4 at each weight:

125

LL +165,

Figs +330

Ramos +400

Strickenburg +600

133

Drake +180

Byrd +300

Bailey +475

Bouzakis +950

141

BB +165

Mendez +225

Hardy +360

AA +475

149

Van Ness +160

Henson +200

Lovett +300

Parco +750

157

Kasak +100

Shapiro +250

Taylor +950

Cannon +1000

165

MM -500

Caliendo +550

Hall +750

Barraclough +1000

174

KOT +110

Levi +150

Hamiti +450

Pinto +1000

184

CStar -200

PK +140

Plott +800

McEnelly +1000

197

AJ +150

Buchanon +300

Cardenes +300

Barr +750

HWT

Gable -600

Kerk +425

Wyatt +450

Trephan +1200

 

 

Expand  

Interesting to look at these odds now 

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