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Posted
  On 3/16/2025 at 10:25 PM, Dogbone said:

DK put out a line for each weight and has a line for each wrestlers chances. 

Top 4 at each weight:

125

LL +165,

Figs +330

Ramos +400

Strickenburg +600

133

Drake +180

Byrd +300

Bailey +475

Bouzakis +950

141

BB +165

Mendez +225

Hardy +360

AA +475

149

Van Ness +160

Henson +200

Lovett +300

Parco +750

157

Kasak +100

Shapiro +250

Taylor +950

Cannon +1000

165

MM -500

Caliendo +550

Hall +750

Barraclough +1000

174

KOT +110

Levi +150

Hamiti +450

Pinto +1000

184

CStar -200

PK +140

Plott +800

McEnelly +1000

197

AJ +150

Buchanon +300

Cardenes +300

Barr +750

HWT

Gable -600

Kerk +425

Wyatt +450

Trephan +1200

 

 

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I like those odds for Ramos, Alirez and maybe McEnelly

  • Bob 1
Posted

At 157lbs they have Ethen Miller (#1 seed at BigTen tournament) at 500/1 with the next closest wrestler at 125/1. Not saying Miller will win, but 500/1 for the 1 seed at BigTen's? Seems off.

PNWfan

Posted
  On 3/18/2025 at 7:15 PM, PNWfan said:

At 157lbs they have Ethen Miller (#1 seed at BigTen tournament) at 500/1 with the next closest wrestler at 125/1. Not saying Miller will win, but 500/1 for the 1 seed at BigTen's? Seems off.

Expand  

70% first round, 50% second round, 10% vs Shapiro, 45% semis, 10% vs Kasak

All seems sort of doable until you run the numbers. It's approximately 650:1 that he'll win all 5 in a row.

They hedge a bit to protect their butts and land on published odds of 500:1. (I'm guessing they think his real chance is even slightly worse than that 650:1 number to publish at 500:1)

Posted
  6 hours ago, BaldAt23 said:

Put $500 on Iowa to finish top 5 for a $125 payout. Easy money

Expand  

Let me tell you a little story about the 2024 NC State team. They were expected to finish second with a healthy gap to third. With all ten guys qualifying and five of them seeded between #2 and #7, that was some easy money. They finished tied for eleventh.

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted
  6 hours ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

Let me tell you a little story about the 2024 NC State team. They were expected to finish second with a healthy gap to third. With all ten guys qualifying and five of them seeded between #2 and #7, that was some easy money. They finished tied for eleventh.

Expand  

I like story telling time.  🙂

.

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