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Posted
On 3/9/2025 at 9:34 AM, jajensen09 said:

Let's revisit this when brackets come out. Alot left to happen. Carter taking an L in the finals. Alvarez landing on the same side has beau, otoole landing same side as haines, fearrii landing on same side as barr. All of those being possible quarter final matches.....

So when PSU loses all their matches in the quarters how do they do on the backside?  Do any of them even place?

Here's a realistic look that I think you and I can agree on

Luke - DNP

Braeden Davis - 2nd

Barlett - DNP

SVN - DNP

Kasak - 8th

Mesenbrink - 4th

Haines - 7th

Starocci - 5th

Barr - DNP

Kervliet - 1st

I Don't Agree With What I Posted

Posted

Saw this on HVI, worth a read. This person likely paid attention during their 7th Grade Probability Unit:

Here's an email from a buddy of mine concurring with my argument that Penn State losing nationals is not only virtually impossible but would be the biggest upset in the history of college sports (makes Michigan losing to App State look like nothing)

It's not even just how good Penn State is, even though that's definitely the main thing, it's how spread tf out the other contenders are. There are 40 dudes currently ranked in the top 4 at a weight from 20 different schools. 9 are from Penn State, and 12 are from schools who have exactly 1 such dude. Nobody aside from Penn State has more than 4 (Iowa) and only 3 others have 3 (Nebraska, Minnesota, OkSU). 

And among those 4 who have 3+ such guys, there's tons of overlap. OK State and Minnesota are both there at 285 and 184. Nebraska and Iowa are both there at 149. Nebraska and Minnesota at 141. Where there's an opportunity to pile up points for any of them, it's mutually exclusive and likely to be somewhat divided as the tournament progresses.

Basically, outside of Penn State, the only team with a serious shot at 100 points is Iowa, and they'd have to perform substantially above their current rankings and get substantial bonus points to do it. According to their Flo rankings, they're looking at 56 placement points. Even if they performed to expectation and got bonus points at the same pace as Penn State did last year, both of which, I mean, this is Iowa we're talking about so lmao, they're looking at 92 points. That's definitely not a bad tournament, especially for someone without a national champ, but this hasn't been good enough for a national championship since 1989, and in only about half of years since is good enough for second place. 


You've got a Penn State team where anything less than 130 would be an unmitigated dumpster fire and a field where anything above 90 is exceeding expectations.

  • Bob 2
Posted
On 3/9/2025 at 9:34 AM, jajensen09 said:

Let's revisit this when brackets come out. Alot left to happen. Carter taking an L in the finals. Alvarez landing on the same side has beau, otoole landing same side as haines, fearrii landing on same side as barr. All of those being possible quarter final matches.....

I assume you mean Alirez. O'toole and haines will not meet until the finals, they are locked at 1,2.

I am the personal property of VakAttack

Posted
28 minutes ago, MLB9 said:

Saw this on HVI, worth a read. This person likely paid attention during their 7th Grade Probability Unit:

Here's an email from a buddy of mine concurring with my argument that Penn State losing nationals is not only virtually impossible but would be the biggest upset in the history of college sports (makes Michigan losing to App State look like nothing)

It's not even just how good Penn State is, even though that's definitely the main thing, it's how spread tf out the other contenders are. There are 40 dudes currently ranked in the top 4 at a weight from 20 different schools. 9 are from Penn State, and 12 are from schools who have exactly 1 such dude. Nobody aside from Penn State has more than 4 (Iowa) and only 3 others have 3 (Nebraska, Minnesota, OkSU). 

And among those 4 who have 3+ such guys, there's tons of overlap. OK State and Minnesota are both there at 285 and 184. Nebraska and Iowa are both there at 149. Nebraska and Minnesota at 141. Where there's an opportunity to pile up points for any of them, it's mutually exclusive and likely to be somewhat divided as the tournament progresses.

Basically, outside of Penn State, the only team with a serious shot at 100 points is Iowa, and they'd have to perform substantially above their current rankings and get substantial bonus points to do it. According to their Flo rankings, they're looking at 56 placement points. Even if they performed to expectation and got bonus points at the same pace as Penn State did last year, both of which, I mean, this is Iowa we're talking about so lmao, they're looking at 92 points. That's definitely not a bad tournament, especially for someone without a national champ, but this hasn't been good enough for a national championship since 1989, and in only about half of years since is good enough for second place. 


You've got a Penn State team where anything less than 130 would be an unmitigated dumpster fire and a field where anything above 90 is exceeding expectations.

Screw you, your buddy, whoever he got it from, and your commitment to logic.

  • Haha 2
Posted
1 hour ago, Truzzcat said:

I assume you mean Alirez. O'toole and haines will not meet until the finals, they are locked at 1,2.

Haines has to beat hamiti.....

Posted
1 hour ago, dragit said:

Screw you, your buddy, whoever he got it from, and your commitment to logic.

 

58 minutes ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

And don't forget the horse he rode in on.

e727e9e1a0cc839459048260d40c77d4.jpg

  • Jagger 1

I Don't Agree With What I Posted

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