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Posted (edited)

B1G Day

What happens January 17, 2025 you reasonably ask?

Well Nebraska hosts Penn State for a Big Ten dual. Which means we should get Caleb Smith vs Luke Lilledahl. With their latest rankings drop Intermat has Smith #5 and Lilledahl #11. If Lilledahl wins that match up it is possible that he jumps into Intermat's top 5. But the real significance is that if no one else on PSU looses before then all ten PSU wrestlers will be ranked in the Intermat top five. And with only the Michigan State dual between now and Nebraska, a PSU lose to Sparty seems highly unlikely. Wild.

This is possible because with their respective 3-0 Sunday afternoons, Braeden Davis and Josh Barr moved into the Intermat top 5.

image.png.ef8805cb1849061e0a92ea8c2af6426b.png

Of course there are other landmines in the Nebraska dual that could derail the Top 5 Train. While wrestlestat has it 32-0 for PSU, among Jacob Van Dee, Brock Hardy, Ridge Lovett would anyone be surprised if there was at least one win for the Huskers? Two? Three?

Minnesota 2.0?

Right now PSU sits on 8 expected AAs. This is just shy of the 8.1 expected AAs they had going into the tournament last year.

They also improved their chances of achieving a tie with Minnesota as the only teams with 10 AAs to an absurd 6.65%.

image.thumb.png.7707fb2541a65bbe4ea0adef6587ece0.png

As a reminder, going into the 2007 tournament Minnesota had an expected AA count of just 6.5 with a 0.78% chance of ten.

Screw them odds, Poindexter.

And Merry Christmas everyone.

Christmas Eve Running GIF by MOODMAN

Edited by Wrestleknownothing
  • Bob 4
  • Brain 1

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted

In response to your title question, the answer is "No, January 17, 2025 is not the day." The day is Sunday, February 16, 2025 when the Fighting ILLINI cap off a perfect 13-0 nonconference and B1G dual season with a win over PSU at State Farm Center in Champaign, ILLINOIS. 

By that time the Orange & Blue will be 12-0 (7-0 B1G) with wins over Arizona State, Missouri, Ohio State and Iowa. Everything will be settled on that fine day, and the Universe will be put back in order. We all know that Professor Carl will duck at least one of his wrestlers because that's what he does unless y'all are wrestling Binghamton or Bellarmine. 

Byrd wins. Webster and Scoles win. The person who wrestled the best against Keegan The Tool for 6½ minutes this year was Danny Braunagel, not Levi Haines, and wait'll you see an uninjured Danny Braunagel. Big Brawny wins as well, bursting the Barr Bubble, Carter Stallrocky ducks (smart move), and it all comes down to Luuuuke Luffman at home in his final dual for the ILLINI, and y'all know what happens there. 

  • Fire 3
Posted
1 hour ago, ILLINIWrestlingBlog said:

In response to your title question, the answer is "No, January 17, 2025 is not the day." The day is Sunday, February 16, 2025 when the Fighting ILLINI cap off a perfect 13-0 nonconference and B1G dual season with a win over PSU at State Farm Center in Champaign, ILLINOIS. 

By that time the Orange & Blue will be 12-0 (7-0 B1G) with wins over Arizona State, Missouri, Ohio State and Iowa. Everything will be settled on that fine day, and the Universe will be put back in order. We all know that Professor Carl will duck at least one of his wrestlers because that's what he does unless y'all are wrestling Binghamton or Bellarmine. 

Byrd wins. Webster and Scoles win. The person who wrestled the best against Keegan The Tool for 6½ minutes this year was Danny Braunagel, not Levi Haines, and wait'll you see an uninjured Danny Braunagel. Big Brawny wins as well, bursting the Barr Bubble, Carter Stallrocky ducks (smart move), and it all comes down to Luuuuke Luffman at home in his final dual for the ILLINI, and y'all know what happens there. 

Do I smell a sig bet?

  • Haha 1

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted

Also, of note:  Nebraska faces Minny the week before.  If Flynn beats Smith, we could see him drop a bit.

"I know actually nothing.  It isn't even conjecture at this point." - me

 

 

Posted
1 hour ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

Do I smell a sig bet?

The last time I bet on a wrestling forum, I ended up owing and then paying $100 to Veritas, the owner of TheOpenMat.com. That's because ILLINOIS football, for some bloody ******* reason, can never beat Minnesota, even when I need it the most. 

The Lord knows I hate Minnesota so, so much. 

Posted
Just now, ILLINIWrestlingBlog said:

The last time I bet on a wrestling forum, I ended up owing and then paying $100 to Veritas, the owner of TheOpenMat.com. That's because ILLINOIS football, for some bloody ******* reason, can never beat Minnesota, even when I need it the most. 

The Lord knows I hate Minnesota so, so much. 

Don't bet with knownothing he knows more that you'd think.  I did sig beat with him once, never again! 

  • Haha 1

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