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Posted

O/U is currently at 4.5 according to Vegas (Lee, Woods, Starocci, Brooks are favorites)

I am taking the under this year and will gladly partake in a signature bet for anyone who feels otherwise.

i am an idiot on the internet

Posted
5 hours ago, bnwtwg said:

Fix is for some reason. Blew my mind too!

Vegas favorites aren't always the true favorite. They post lines to create action. Make no mistake, RBY is the favorite on the mat. 

Posted

100% take the over. 
Lee, RBY, Star, and Brooks are heavy favorites. 
 

I have a hard time believing some combination of Woods, Haines, Dean, and Kerk don’t win it too. 

  • Fire 2
Posted
image.png.5b97989658308db19b52d3fbd91477da.png
 
Math tells me one thing.
My heart tells me something else. I want to take the over on 4.5.
This is why Vegas has been known to make a few dollars.

I guess it depends what numbers you look at. In the last 5 championships, the schools combined avg. was 5 champs. They did have four one of those years but also had six one year. I’m not sure what formula you used to get PSUs expected champs at only 1.5, but I’d definitely take the over on that :)
Posted
26 minutes ago, Eagle26 said:


I guess it depends what numbers you look at. In the last 5 championships, the schools combined avg. was 5 champs. They did have four one of those years but also had six one year. I’m not sure what formula you used to get PSUs expected champs at only 1.5, but I’d definitely take the over on that 🙂

 

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted
14 hours ago, Packard said:

100% take the over. 
Lee, RBY, Star, and Brooks are heavy favorites. 
 

I have a hard time believing some combination of Woods, Haines, Dean, and Kerk don’t win it too. 

This 

Posted
 

Gotcha. Btw I thoroughly appreciate all the data you provide. Not trying to discredit all your hard work at all. I just think that this particular data set is skewed a bit by Brooks somehow getting the 3 seed and Dean getting the 9 seed. I think Brooks is a clear #1 at his weight and IMO he’s the third mostly likely to win out of all the weights (behind Lee and Yianni). Dean deserved the 9 seed but he’s much more likely to win it all than your typical #9
Posted
24 minutes ago, Eagle26 said:


Gotcha. Btw I thoroughly appreciate all the data you provide. Not trying to discredit all your hard work at all. I just think that this particular data set is skewed a bit by Brooks somehow getting the 3 seed and Dean getting the 9 seed. I think Brooks is a clear #1 at his weight and IMO he’s the third mostly likely to win out of all the weights (behind Lee and Yianni). Dean deserved the 9 seed but he’s much more likely to win it all than your typical #9

agreed on all counts

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted
2 hours ago, Eagle26 said:


Gotcha. Btw I thoroughly appreciate all the data you provide. Not trying to discredit all your hard work at all. I just think that this particular data set is skewed a bit by Brooks somehow getting the 3 seed and Dean getting the 9 seed. I think Brooks is a clear #1 at his weight and IMO he’s the third mostly likely to win out of all the weights (behind Lee and Yianni). Dean deserved the 9 seed but he’s much more likely to win it all than your typical #9

I think Brooks is more likely than Yianni. Brooks is a machine and I am still shocked that he was upset this season. I expect to see him in the top 3, at worst, for most tourney points this weekend. He's a baaaaaad man

i am an idiot on the internet

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