I will say this. A lot of good info you’ve got there. Grice may win 133 regardless, and Ech is a bad match up for Evan as far as a wrestle off goes.
With that said, there is a reason that Paniro is trying to go 149 instead of challenging Zerban at 157 (aside from that he is better suited for 149). Zerban is tough as nails and gives him problems on the mat.