Wrestleknownothing

Will an ABC whistleblower also reveal they told Trump immigrants in Springfield are stealing and eating pets? After all he heard it on TV.

Allegedly is doing all the work in that tweet

Is it always 0 days and we are just always behind?

especially if it does that. any errors take on an air of authority.

I like a post surgical sling too.

Any 0dte traders in these parts?

There were multiple officers. The one who knocked on the window was very diplomatic. The one who got on the muscle and pulled him from the car, was not.

All data collection is junk. But some is more valuable than others.

More importantly, did you know that kids are being sent to school in the morning as one gender and then coming home as a different gender?

Trump saying an hour after the debate he saw 5 polls saying he won the debate with 90%, 60%, 72%, 71%, and 89%. Later he saw 3 more polls saying he won 80% to 20%, 90% , and 92% to 7%. The dude is pathological.

I do not know the answer to any of your questions. But they are not what Trump claimed, and not what he was corrected about. Trump claimed the former Governor of West Virginia said they would decide to execute babies. Never mind that he got the state wrong, but he so mis-characterized what the former Governor of Virginia said.

Pretty much. Other things beyond politics too. Everything is structured as a futures contract with a zero or one payout. So the prices can be thought of as roughly probability predictions, hence prediction market.

Don't think of them as accurate or inaccurate. Instead they reflect the balance of opinions of the subset of people willing to bet on the outcome. Given enough people they will bend toward accurate. There is something like $900 million bet on this outcome, so probably pretty accurate. But you have to adjust that some for the potential for market manipulation. As a matter of fact, they believe someone attempted to manipulate this market to win a prediction market bet on the debate, but due to the size of this market, it was not sustainable. The other market was a bet on who would "win" the debate. They defined win as whoever was leading in the election market during a four hour window a day after the debate. Harris was a big under dog in the debate market, so there was an obvious arbitrage/bet to take Harris to win the debate and then buy enough Harris election futures at the right time to move this market. It just didn't work because the market for the election is too big for one person to move.

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2022-evictions-monarch-investment-rental-properties/

If I had Bob Nicoll's money, I could burn mine.

The market for the pre-debate handshake closed at 30% (buy a contract for $0.30 that pays $1 if handshake, and $0 if no handshake). You heard it hear first. Harris bought a bunch of handshake futures under aliases and then made it happen. Market manipulation in its rawest form. This can not be allowed to happen.

BTW there are all manner of election things you can bet on: https://polymarket.com/elections

From Polymarkets (a prediction market):

Donald Trump spends half his time claiming he knows more about _________ than anyone. He spends the other half claiming he didn't know.

Infinitely fewer attempts to interfere with the peaceful transfer of power.

Can you explain why you ask dumb non-sequitur questions?

Victor Davis Hanson might want to fact check his fact checking of the moderator's fact checking. The one example he gave of the moderator being wrong, was wrong. And what anyone remembers of the second 2012 debate is precisely nothing.

Kevin Malone's favorite amount of battery

There are many cases of many bad things. So what. It is illegal to kill a baby in all 50 states. You can (need to) perform all manner of mental gymnastics to defend Trump statements, but display impressive middle aged rigidity when it comes to Harris statements.

That is not what the Linsey Davis corrected him on. Trump claimed Harris supports killing a baby after it is born. Infanticide is illegal in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The quote was, "There is no state in this country where it is legal to kill a baby after it is born."