It is with great honor and humility that I accept this invitation to the Illini and Illini RTC Fans page. As an Illinois resident and father of a Illini who never fought, I feel it is my duty to show up to the club bearing presents.
Using the most recent rankings available from Intermat and Wrestlestat lets take a look at The Illini by the numbers.
First, what does Intermat have against our Illini?
Other than the too formal Zach, Wrestlestat favors the Illini in 4 of the 10 weights and by 2.6 expected points overall.
The negative biggest delta is Edmond Ruth, where Intermat does not want to put due respect on that name.
On the flip side, Intermat is not penalizing Lucas Byrd nearly as much as the Wrestlestat algo appears to for taking a redshirt.
Trend
But at least the trend is your friend. With the exception of Attasauov, Intermat has remained the same or upgraded the rankings of the Illini.
Is Illinois Better Than Penn State?
Before you answer that question take a look at the distribution of AA probabilities for the Illini from 0 to 10 based on current Wrestlestat rankings. Now glance all the way over to the furthest right column, the one that says 10. Now squint. If you squint hard enough you will see that the probability of 10 AAs is a positive, non-zero number. I point this out because the PSU graph has a big fat zero in that column.
I'm not sayin', I'm just sayin'.