Over/Under on Senior World Medals

[Hammerlock3]

If you had to name a number in reference to howmany senior medals we get, knowing you counterpart was going to say over or under, constituting their bet, what number are you saying?

I'm saying 4. My thought process being no one would take the over, 4 is a tie, and I'd beat anyone who took the under. 

I could have just said "howmany medals" but i find this scenario is a little more immersive and gets more thought into it. 

[flyingcement]

When you assert that people would not go over four and you would win if they didn't: are you judging it from a bottom up or a top down perspective.  I.e. are you saying that based on the brackets they have and what each wrestlers path to medaling would be? Or more or an overall evaluation of the quality of the team and an expectation based on that?

[nhs67]

Typically you would say 3.5 or 4.5, not 4.

[reversaloffortune]

For freestyle mens right? Set the number at 4.5 and I will take the under.

[Hammerlock3]

1 hour ago, nhs67 said:

Typically you would say 3.5 or 4.5, not 4.

no. some people allow ties.

[Hammerlock3]

8 minutes ago, reversaloffortune said:

For freestyle mens right? Set the number at 4.5 and I will take the under.

well the idea is to set a difficult number. 

[Hammerlock3]

1 hour ago, flyingcement said:

When you assert that people would not go over four and you would win if they didn't: are you judging it from a bottom up or a top down perspective.  I.e. are you saying that based on the brackets they have and what each wrestlers path to medaling would be? Or more or an overall evaluation of the quality of the team and an expectation based on that?

I'm talking about us making predictions now, thats what you're asking right?

[flyingcement]

2 minutes ago, Hammerlock3 said:

I'm talking about us making predictions now, thats what you're asking right?

I’m asking what’s underlying your guess of 4 — is it more bottom-up, meaning you’re looking at the brackets and the specific matchups each wrestler faces? Or is it more top-down, meaning you’re evaluating overall team quality and setting expectations from that?

I ask because I don’t know much about a lot of the international wrestlers, so I can’t make an accurate prediction myself. If your approach is bottom-up, I’d know I should dig into the brackets and specific matchups. If it’s top-down, I’d focus more on the overall roster quality.

[Hammerlock3]

17 minutes ago, flyingcement said:

I’m asking what’s underlying your guess of 4 — is it more bottom-up, meaning you’re looking at the brackets and the specific matchups each wrestler faces? Or is it more top-down, meaning you’re evaluating overall team quality and setting expectations from that?

I ask because I don’t know much about a lot of the international wrestlers, so I can’t make an accurate prediction myself. If your approach is bottom-up, I’d know I should dig into the brackets and specific matchups. If it’s top-down, I’d focus more on the overall roster quality.

top down!

[Wrestleknownothing]

1 hour ago, reversaloffortune said:

For freestyle mens right? Set the number at 4.5 and I will take the under.

So you should also take the under on 4 since 4 is a push. 

[MPhillips]

3 hours ago, Hammerlock3 said:

I'd beat anyone who took the under. 

I'll take the under...

[Hammerlock3]

3 minutes ago, MPhillips said:

I'll take the under...

yousonofabitch!!!!

[MPhillips]

Just now, Hammerlock3 said:

yousonofabitch!!!!

We can now...move on.