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Posted
  On 2/27/2025 at 4:21 PM, 1032004 said:

They’re getting at least 3 for sure.  Mesenbrink, Starocci, and at least one of the rest.  Even if somehow one of Mesenbrink or Starocci don’t win, they could easily get 2+ from the rest.  4 is most likely IMO, would not be surprised at all by 5 or probably even 6.  

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Starocci is not a guarantee. 

Posted
  On 2/27/2025 at 2:58 PM, Jimmy Cinnabon said:

Despite your data, I think Penn State only has 2 champs this year.

165 Mesenbrink

184 Starocci

 

Penn State will have 4 runners up though:

149 SVN

157 Kasak

174 Haines

HWT Kerk

 

3rd place:

141 Bartlett

197 Barr

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Haines is going to lose? I don't think so. That's three champs. And don't count out Bartlett. So could be four. And what about SVN?

Posted
  On 2/28/2025 at 8:50 PM, KennyEBHS said:

Haines is going to lose? I don't think so. That's three champs. And don't count out Bartlett. So could be four. And what about SVN?

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And Kasak? Could be six. Only lock is Mesenbrink. The other five have really stiff comp. 

Posted
  On 2/28/2025 at 8:50 PM, KennyEBHS said:

Haines is going to lose? I don't think so. That's three champs. And don't count out Bartlett. So could be four. And what about SVN?

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Haines has already lost this year, and could've/should've lost to Kharchla. They could have as many as 6 champs or as low as 1. Unfortunately(fortunately for me) Psu has been starting to lose more in the finals in recent years.

Posted
  On 2/28/2025 at 8:57 PM, Spencerlee said:
Haines has already lost this year, and could've/should've lost to Kharchla. They could have as many as 6 champs or as low as 1. Unfortunately(fortunately for me) Psu has been starting to lose more in the finals in recent years.

Should’ve?

Nothing about that match was remotely controversial. He scored more points than Kharchla, and won.


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Posted
  On 2/28/2025 at 8:58 PM, Le duke said:


Should’ve?

Nothing about that match was remotely controversial. He scored more points than Kharchla, and won.


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He took a dumb shot and got countered. If he doesn’t do that he likely wins. Hence “should’ve”.

Posted
  On 2/28/2025 at 8:57 PM, Spencerlee said:

Haines has already lost this year, and could've/should've lost to Kharchla. They could have as many as 6 champs or as low as 1. Unfortunately(fortunately for me) Psu has been starting to lose more in the finals in recent years.

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You are too focused on 2023.

That is the only year in the last four that they have been below their average for the Cael years. Last year, winning 4 of 6 (66.7%), is spot on their Cael Era average, 38 of 57 (66.7%).

Across the four years they are 15 for 20 in the finals (75%).

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted
  On 2/28/2025 at 10:13 PM, Richferg said:

Why is everybody forgetting that PSU peaks in March better than any other team, and has for 10 years. 5 finalists, 4 champs, 9 AA. 

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Looks like we have a few pastry wannabes trying to downplay PSU so they can act surprised when they get 5 champs 

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