2024 Expected AAs Per Weight: Ohio State Edition

[Wrestleknownothing]

Using the pre-season Intermat rankings we are at 50% chance of 2 and 50% chance of 3 AA's for the Buckeyes.

[nhs67]

I would take the over, if asked, on this one.

Then when looking at it deeper... I could totally buy ~30 points and see each gent placing around where they are pre-season ranked.  Some could over, some could under...

[Ohio Elite]

Why so brutal on Feldman? Ouch!

[Wrestleknownothing]

2 hours ago, Ohio Elite said:

Why so brutal on Feldman? Ouch!

Yeah, I did a poor job of formatting there. The probability column should go to the hundredths like this:

Then you see that as a 20 seed he would have a 3% chance of AAing. And that is not a statement about Feldman. It is a statement about the history of guys who were the 20 seed.

Now if Feldman has a strong season and winds up a 10 seed then his probability goes up to 37%. As an 8 seed it jumps to 49%. Even a 1 seed is not guaranteed to AA (98.5%).

[Ohio Elite]

Thanks man, that really cool how you bring this stuff up.

[Wrestleknownothing]

15 hours ago, Ohio Elite said:

Thanks man, that really cool how you bring this stuff up.

My pleasure. It is how I look at the world, so I thought I would share.