Wrestleknownothing

It is not hard per se, just labor intensive. When you and I put together the data set I have been using for this we focused on endpoints (the #1 seed finished 2nd, the #2 seed finished 1st, the #3 seed finish round of 12, etc.). For bonus points we would also need to track each of their pathes to know what bonus they scored, and ideally where they scored it. At one point last year, someone reached out to me to say they had a dataset that contained the detailed results of every NCAA match. They were looking to monetize this via Twitter and a website. We talked about providing visualizations and content, but he seems to have faded. I thought I could save some labor this way, but alas it was not to be.

There was no penalty for not wrestling, just a penalty for losing.

And Actual Real Live Expected All Americans by Team: For those of you who hate the decimal think of it as a rudimentary probability. So for PSU 5.6 means they have a 40% chance of 5 and a 60% chance of 6 AA's (I am simplifying a bit).

Oh, Joy. We have actual seeds. No more messing around with ranks that are....I know, I know...NOT predictions (even though they are sometimes). HEADLINE: THE GAP IS CLOSING When last we gathered to perform this exercise immediately prior to the conference tournaments PSU was a solid 31 point favorite. Now with guys like Max Dean (9th) and Aaron Brooks (3rd) seeded below their rank, PSU is coming back to the field and stands as an 18 point favorite. Still a clear favorite, but well within the bounds of volatility such that you have to give Iowa at least a puncher's chance (maybe more). Add to that PSU is not the bonus machine of years past and we could have a real barn burner of a tournament.

Speak for yourself. Judge Judy and I have issued our verdict.

So, here is what I don't get. He is the richest man in the world (at least I think he is back on top), why would you want to get into petty Twitter fights with people you laid off? Wouldn't you have people you paid to handle the crappy stuff? He can just choose not to be a petty jerk on social media. That is one of his options. Instead he makes being a billionaire seem a very sad existence. It seems a simple choice.

That one stunned me at the time. Talk about a lack of attention to detail.

The alternates come from the pool of other at large candidates.

I believe that is how it was handled with Wyatt Sheets in 2021. He was inserted as the 33 seed. I am not sure if it was the prior 33 seed that had dropped though.

But then how would Jason Nolf have demonstrated his monastic attention to detai?

Thank you for the kind offer, but no, thank you. Via DM another poster has made the same offer. As I explained to him, I have made certain choices with intent knowing there will be minor inconveniences associated with them on rare occasion. This is one of the rare occasions, and I am ok with that.

I don't have Venmo, Zelle, or any other electronic payment apps, and I am not really interested in getting one. I agree with @GreatWhiteNorth that it looks like a good time will be had by all, but I will have to live vicariously.

It has to be Haines after he knocked off the consensus #1

It would help if I wasn't a dummy. I just thought to look at this. The jumps in the discrete number of teams in 1963 and 1979 coincide with the increase in the number of places (i.e. AA's). In 1962 there were four placers per weight. In 1963 it increased to six per weight, and in 1979 it increased to the current eight per weight. The decrease from 1979 to present does correlate with the general decline in programs, which by my estimate peaked in 1975. This is probably causation, too. Those team counts are not official. They are just my best estimate based data assembled from multiple sources.

I am out. Enjoy, gents. @VakAttack, enjoy London with the family. Safe travels.

I think the genetic battle instincts must be a little rusty.

The 32 vs 33 pigtail always gets the 1 in the "first" round. (Unless they changed it this year)

Big is beautiful

#22 based on Better %

You are playing a dangerous game, my friend. Let us not speak of Alex Marinelli, lest we have to mention Christopher Weller.

@jchapman is right on both accounts. Fresno State. And RIP. Though if you are a glass half full kinda guy, take solace in the fact that they will never get worse.

Typo noticed after the 15 minute shot clock expired. So when Minnesota outperforms their seed they do it by an average of 3.9 4.4 spots

There is always next year.

The number of schools with at least one AA took a big jump when seeding went from 8 to 12 spots, and has been on a decline ever since. Sadly, the decline also coincides with the decline in the number of programs.