MD152 Posted February 24 Posted February 24 My (2 cents worth) "percentages chances" of winning it all, seeding will be huge! of course i add a sense of humor on what it would take for those in their "percentage bracket" to win it all..... 85% or greater: (tip of the spear) Bryd, Blaze, Davino, Forrest 80 - 85%: (blink and ill catch you to win it all) Seidel 30-40%: (talk to my girlfriend behind my back and im winning it all) Frost, Larkin, Ayala 10%: (write my sisters name on the wall in the mens bathroom and ill win it all) Van Dee, Fugitt Dark Horse: 10% or less (say sumting about my momma and im winning it all) Knox, Serrano
BarSeries Posted February 24 Posted February 24 Seidel 25% Forrest 20% Blaze 20% Byrd 15% Davino 10% Larkin 5% Frost 3% Ayala 2%
ionel Posted February 24 Posted February 24 6 minutes ago, MD152 said: 30-40%: (talk to my girlfriend behind my back and im winning it all) Frost, Larkin, Ayala Am assuming you didn't put Byrd in this category cause none of us on these here boards are tall enough to talk to his gf? .
MD152 Posted February 24 Author Posted February 24 9 minutes ago, ionel said: Am assuming you didn't put Byrd in this category cause none of us on these here boards are tall enough to talk to his gf? LOL...nice come back
MD152 Posted February 24 Author Posted February 24 9 minutes ago, Coastal said: I'd drop Larkin's chances. Has there ever been a wrestler in a major conferences be less tested this late in the season? MFF against Frost at Cliff Keen then gets Figs against OkSt the first time, Frost misses ISU/ASU, Larkin skips Fugitt, Ferrara and Serrano. holy toledo i didnt realize, Id say you did your homework, Hooah
bnwtwg Posted February 24 Posted February 24 24 minutes ago, MD152 said: 85% or greater: (tip of the spear) Bryd Thoughts @ionel? i am an idiot on the internet
Dark Energy Posted February 24 Posted February 24 26 minutes ago, MD152 said: My (2 cents worth) "percentages chances" of winning it all, seeding will be huge! of course i add a sense of humor on what it would take for those in their "percentage bracket" to win it all..... 85% or greater: (tip of the spear) Bryd, Blaze, Davino, Forrest 80 - 85%: (blink and ill catch you to win it all) Seidel 30-40%: (talk to my girlfriend behind my back and im winning it all) Frost, Larkin, Ayala 10%: (write my sisters name on the wall in the mens bathroom and ill win it all) Van Dee, Fugitt Dark Horse: 10% or less (say sumting about my momma and im winning it all) Knox, Serrano I don’t think you understand how ‘percentage’ chance works. Combined set of possible outcomes cannot exceed 100%.
MD152 Posted February 24 Author Posted February 24 10 minutes ago, Dark Energy said: I don’t think you understand how ‘percentage’ chance works. Combined set of possible outcomes cannot exceed 100%. your probably right im no math guy, just having a little fun with a pinch of flavor...
ionel Posted February 24 Posted February 24 36 minutes ago, MD152 said: 85% or greater: (tip of the spear) Bryd 10 minutes ago, bnwtwg said: Thoughts @ionel? Zero chance sir! It simply can not happen. .
PNWfan Posted February 24 Posted February 24 1 minute ago, BFosr1 said: How can 4 guys all have an 85% chance to win it all? The only way I can make sense of the post is if they mean that between those 4 guys, there is an 85% one of them wins 133 lbs. Otherwise, it makes no sense. PNWfan
MD152 Posted February 24 Author Posted February 24 8 minutes ago, BFosr1 said: How can 4 guys all have an 85% chance to win it all? 85% of those guys have the best "odds' of winning it all, maybe i should have said odds, the odds are in their favor.... those guys have an 85% chance of things going their way for them to win....... so many things have got to go your way to win it all those guys in their percentage group have the best chances of things going your way!
MD152 Posted February 24 Author Posted February 24 14 minutes ago, PNWfan said: The only way I can make sense of the post is if they mean that between those 4 guys, there is an 85% one of them wins 133 lbs. Otherwise, it makes no sense. exactly........! i definitely could have worded it better for sure, my apologise
BarSeries Posted February 24 Posted February 24 10 minutes ago, PNWfan said: The only way I can make sense of the post is if they mean that between those 4 guys, there is an 85% one of them wins 133 lbs. Otherwise, it makes no sense. And Seidel has 80% to win???
flanders Posted February 24 Posted February 24 17 minutes ago, BFosr1 said: How can 4 guys all have an 85% chance to win it all? 85% of the time, they win everytime...
Pablo Posted February 24 Posted February 24 44 minutes ago, BarSeries said: Seidel 25% Forrest 20% Blaze 20% Byrd 15% Davino 10% Larkin 5% Frost 3% Ayala 2% From a broad strokes perspective, Pablo says, swap Seidel and Forrest (and tighten them up, like 23% and 22%) and probably Byrd and Ayala. I can't access anything right now so get more details (the higher weights are still running), but that's about it (maybe Davino ahead of Ayala but they are close enough.
PNWfan Posted February 24 Posted February 24 6 minutes ago, BarSeries said: And Seidel has 80% to win??? The post would have been far less confusing had he just given the actual win% for each wrestler. Fortunately, @BarSeries helped to clear that up. PNWfan
MD152 Posted February 24 Author Posted February 24 9 minutes ago, PNWfan said: The post would have been far less confusing had he just given the actual win% for each wrestler. Fortunately, @BarSeries helped to clear that up. we all get by with a little help from our friends (thanks Bar Series), I did screw that up, good intentions bad wording, sorry for the low IQ post, about to change it up
BarSeries Posted February 24 Posted February 24 Updated. Larkin, Frost, and Ayala have 0%. Seidel 30% Forrest 30% Blaze 25% Byrd 10% Davino 5% Larkin 0% Frost 0% Ayala 0%
MD152 Posted February 24 Author Posted February 24 Blaze~ 25% Forrest~20% Davino~20% Byrd~ 10% Seidel~10% Frost~ 5% Ayala~ 3% Larkin~ 3% Van Dee, Fugitt, Serrano, Knox ~ 1% My bad guys...good intention, horrible approach, give me a pass on my earlier post!
NotThatDave Posted February 24 Posted February 24 36 minutes ago, ionel said: Zero chance sir! It simply can not happen. I'm kind of jealous @ionelgot this gimmick. Seems like one I would enjoy.
bnwtwg Posted February 24 Posted February 24 1 hour ago, BFosr1 said: How can 4 guys all have an 85% chance to win it all? i am an idiot on the internet
William Lang Posted February 24 Posted February 24 Blaze: 40% Forrest: 40% Bryd: 7% Davino: 7% Seidel: 7% Field: -1%
Simpleman424 Posted February 24 Posted February 24 I think seeing the conference championships and seeding will make this a very good conversation…someone is going to get a more beneficial path at NCAAs and that will drive a lot of this
Jackson Lininger Northern York, Pennsylvania Class of 2027 Committed to Slippery Rock Projected Weight: 149
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