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Posted (edited)

I had fun doing this last year and I thought it created discussion. Again, I am just a nobody wrestling fan so feel free to let me know where you think I went wrong or if I have the wrong starter or any general feedback

EDIT: I plan to do the same for all of the conferences but I think Big Ten is the only one with all of its conference schedule completed.

Big 10 Interactive Brackets

Interactive Brackets: use the interactive brackets using the following letters: D, M, T, F (decision, major, tech, fall).

Seed changes: You can change those seeds on the 125R, 133R, 141R, etc. sheets and it will automatically update the team predictions based off of seeds with no bonus factored in.

Incomplete data: I only have a wrestlers record vs. who I am projecting will be the starters at that same weight. The Big 10 schedule is done so I figured I would get started but I will add in wrester's win-loss records, coaches ranking, RPI, and actual wrestlestat ranking (I have them all listed at #99 right now just to make the formulas work).

My Best guesses at the seeds

125 lbs.
#1 Matt Ramos (PUR) (6-1 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Drake Ayala (IOWA) (6-2 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Eric Barnett (WIS) (6-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Patrick McKee (MINN) (4-4 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Braeden Davis (PSU) (5-2 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Caleb Smith (NEB) (6-3 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Michael DeAugustino (MICH) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Brendan McCrone (OSU) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Dean Peterson (RUT) (4-4 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Tristan Lujan (MSU) (2-8 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Justin Cardini (ILL) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Massey Odiotti (NW) (2-6 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Blaine Frazier (IND) (0-3 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Tommy Capul (MD) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)

133 lbs.
#1 Jacob VanDee (NEB) (5-1 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Dylan Ragusin (MICH) (7-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Dylan Shawver (RUT) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Nic Bouzakis (OSU) (6-2 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Braxton Brown (MD) (4-3 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Aaron Nagao (PSU) (3-3 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Cullen Schriever (IOWA) (3-3 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Anthony Madrigal (ILL) (4-2 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Tyler Wells (MINN) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Cayden Rooks (IND) (1-2 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Nicolar Rivera (WIS) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Dustin Norris (PUR) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Andrew Hampton (MSU) (0-8 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Patrick Adams (NW) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)

141 lbs.
#1 Beau Bartlett (PSU) (7-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Jesse Mendez (OSU) (7-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Real Woods (IOWA) (4-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Brock Hardy (NEB) (4-3 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Sergio Lemley (MICH) (4-2 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Danny Pucino (ILL) (4-2 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Jordan Hamdan (MSU) (3-5 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Mitch Moore (RUT) (2-3 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Vance Vombaur (MINN) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Kal Miller (MD) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Danny Fongaro (IND) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Greyson Clark (PUR) (0-1 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Kolby McClain (NW) (0-3 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Felix Lettini (WIS) (0-5 BIG STARTERS)

149 lbs.
#1 Ridge Lovett (NEB) (7-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Austin Gomez (MICH) (3-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Caleb Rathjen (IOWA) (4-1 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Tyler Kasak (PSU) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Dylan D'Emilio (OSU) (4-4 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Ethen Miller (MD) (5-1 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Joseph Zargo (WIS) (5-2 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Graham Rooks (IND) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Drew Roberts (MINN) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Michael Cetta (RUT) (4-4 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Marcos Polanco (PUR) (1-4 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Aiden Vandenbush (NW) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Jake Harrier (ILL) (0-4 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Braden Stauffenberg (MSU) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)

157 lbs.
#1 Levi Haines (PSU) (6-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Michael Blockhus (MINN) (8-0 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Chase Saldate (MSU) (4-1 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Brayton Lee (IND) (4-0 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Jared Franek (IOWA) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Joey Blaze (PUR) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Peyton Robb (NEB) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Will Lewan (MICH) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Isaac Wilcox (OSU) (3-3 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Joe Roberts (ILL) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#11 AJ DeSantis (RUT) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Michael North (MD) (1-6 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Trevor Chumbley (NW) (1-4 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Luke Mechler (WIS) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)

165 lbs.
#1 Dean Hamiti (WIS) (10-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Mitchell Mesenbrink (PSU) (8-0 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Michael Caliendo (IOWA) (6-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Caleb Fish (MSU) (7-3 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Bryce Hepner (OSU) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Antrell Taylor (NEB) (5-4 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Stoney Buell (PUR) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Cameron Amine (MICH) (0-3 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Tyler Lillard (IND) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Blaine Brenner (MINN) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Chris Moore (ILL) (2-9 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Maxx Mayfield (NW) (2-7 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Anthony White (RUT) (1-8 BIG STARTERS)
#14 AJ Rodriegues (MD) (0-5 BIG STARTERS)

174 lbs.
#1 Carter Starocci (PSU) (3-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Shane Griffith (MICH) (4-0 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Patrick Kennedy (IOWA) (4-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Edmond Ruth (ILL) (7-1 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Rocco Welsh (OSU) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Jackson Turley (RUT) (5-1 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Max Maylor (WIS) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Andrew Sparks (MINN) (2-3 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Donnell Washington (IND) (2-2 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Dominic Solis (MD) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#11 DJ Shannon (MSU) (1-6 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Brody Baumann (PUR) (2-7 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Bubba Wilson (NEB) (1-6 BIG STARTERS)
#14 David Ferrante (NW) (0-5 BIG STARTERS)

184 lbs.
#1 Isaiah Salazar (MINN) (7-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Lenny Pinto (NEB) (8-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Bernie Truax (PSU) (5-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Ryder Rogotzke (OSU) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Jaden Bullock (MICH) (5-4 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Layne Malczewski (MSU) (5-4 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Shane Liegel (WIS) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Troy Fisher (NW) (5-4 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Brian Soldano (RUT) (4-3 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Roman Rogotzke (IND) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Dylan Connell (ILL) (2-5 BIG STARTERS)
#12 James Rowley (PUR) (2-7 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Aiden Riggins (IOWA) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Chase Mielnik (MD) (0-7 BIG STARTERS)

197 lbs.
#1 Aaron Brooks (PSU) (7-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Zach Glazier (IOWA) (7-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Jaxon Smith (MD) (5-1 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Silas Allred (NEB) (6-2 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Garrett Joles (MINN) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Luke Geog (OSU) (3-1 BIG STARTERS)
#7 John Poznanski (RUT) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Evan Bates (NW) (4-5 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Ben Vanadia (PUR) (2-6 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Gabe Sollars (IND) (2-6 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Kael Wisler (MSU) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Isaiah Pettigrew (ILL) (1-3 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Bobby Striggow (MICH) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Josh Otto (WIS) (0-7 BIG STARTERS)

285 lbs.
#1 Greg Kerkvliet (PSU) (4-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Nick Feldman (OSU) (6-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Lucas Davison (MICH) (5-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Seth Nevills (MD) (2-1 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Yaraslau Slavikouski (RUT) (4-3 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Nick Willham (IND) (4-4 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Bradley Hill (IOWA) (3-1 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Harley Andrews (NEB) (2-1 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Bennett Tabor (MINN) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Josh Terrill (MSU) (3-6 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Jack Jessen (NW) (3-3 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Gannon Rosenfeld (WIS) (2-6 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Peter Marinopoulos (ILL) (0-5 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Tristan Ruhlman (PUR) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)

Team Prediction (no bonus factored in)
1. Penn State - 151
2. Nebraska - 102
3. Iowa - 100
4. Ohio State - 92.5
5. Michigan - 90
6. Minnesota - 59
7. Wisconsin - 49
8. Maryland - 41.5
9. Rutgers - 40
10. Michigan State - 38.5
11. Purdue - 35
12. Illinois - 26
13. Indiana - 24.5
14. Northwestern - 11

Edited by bracketbuster
adding note
  • Fire 13
Posted
8 hours ago, bracketbuster said:

I had fun doing this last year and I thought it created discussion. Again, I am just a nobody wrestling fan so feel free to let me know where you think I went wrong or if I have the wrong starter or any general feedback

EDIT: I plan to do the same for all of the conferences but I think Big Ten is the only one with all of its conference schedule completed.

Big 10 Interactive Brackets

Interactive Brackets: use the interactive brackets using the following letters: D, M, T, F (decision, major, tech, fall).

Seed changes: You can change those seeds on the 125R, 133R, 141R, etc. sheets and it will automatically update the team predictions based off of seeds with no bonus factored in.

Incomplete data: I only have a wrestlers record vs. who I am projecting will be the starters at that same weight. The Big 10 schedule is done so I figured I would get started but I will add in wrester's win-loss records, coaches ranking, RPI, and actual wrestlestat ranking (I have them all listed at #99 right now just to make the formulas work).

My Best guesses at the seeds

125 lbs.
#1 Matt Ramos (PUR) (6-1 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Drake Ayala (IOWA) (6-2 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Eric Barnett (WIS) (6-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Patrick McKee (MINN) (4-4 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Braeden Davis (PSU) (5-2 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Caleb Smith (NEB) (6-3 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Michael DeAugustino (MICH) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Brendan McCrone (OSU) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Dean Peterson (RUT) (4-4 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Tristan Lujan (MSU) (2-8 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Justin Cardini (ILL) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Massey Odiotti (NW) (2-6 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Blaine Frazier (IND) (0-3 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Tommy Capul (MD) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)

133 lbs.
#1 Jacob VanDee (NEB) (5-1 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Dylan Ragusin (MICH) (7-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Dylan Shawver (RUT) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Nic Bouzakis (OSU) (6-2 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Braxton Brown (MD) (4-3 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Aaron Nagao (PSU) (3-3 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Cullen Schriever (IOWA) (3-3 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Anthony Madrigal (ILL) (4-2 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Tyler Wells (MINN) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Cayden Rooks (IND) (1-2 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Nicolar Rivera (WIS) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Dustin Norris (PUR) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Andrew Hampton (MSU) (0-8 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Patrick Adams (NW) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)

141 lbs.
#1 Beau Bartlett (PSU) (7-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Jesse Mendez (OSU) (7-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Real Woods (IOWA) (4-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Brock Hardy (NEB) (4-3 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Sergio Lemley (MICH) (4-2 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Danny Pucino (ILL) (4-2 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Jordan Hamdan (MSU) (3-5 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Mitch Moore (RUT) (2-3 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Vance Vombaur (MINN) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Kal Miller (MD) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Danny Fongaro (IND) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Greyson Clark (PUR) (0-1 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Kolby McClain (NW) (0-3 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Felix Lettini (WIS) (0-5 BIG STARTERS)

149 lbs.
#1 Ridge Lovett (NEB) (7-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Austin Gomez (MICH) (3-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Caleb Rathjen (IOWA) (4-1 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Tyler Kasak (PSU) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Dylan D'Emilio (OSU) (4-4 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Ethen Miller (MD) (5-1 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Joseph Zargo (WIS) (5-2 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Graham Rooks (IND) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Drew Roberts (MINN) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Michael Cetta (RUT) (4-4 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Marcos Polanco (PUR) (1-4 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Aiden Vandenbush (NW) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Jake Harrier (ILL) (0-4 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Braden Stauffenberg (MSU) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)

157 lbs.
#1 Levi Haines (PSU) (6-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Michael Blockhus (MINN) (8-0 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Chase Saldate (MSU) (4-1 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Brayton Lee (IND) (4-0 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Jared Franek (IOWA) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Joey Blaze (PUR) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Peyton Robb (NEB) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Will Lewan (MICH) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Isaac Wilcox (OSU) (3-3 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Joe Roberts (ILL) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#11 AJ DeSantis (RUT) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Michael North (MD) (1-6 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Trevor Chumbley (NW) (1-4 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Luke Mechler (WIS) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)

165 lbs.
#1 Dean Hamiti (WIS) (10-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Mitchell Mesenbrink (PSU) (8-0 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Michael Caliendo (IOWA) (6-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Caleb Fish (MSU) (7-3 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Bryce Hepner (OSU) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Antrell Taylor (NEB) (5-4 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Stoney Buell (PUR) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Cameron Amine (MICH) (0-3 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Tyler Lillard (IND) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Blaine Brenner (MINN) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Chris Moore (ILL) (2-9 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Maxx Mayfield (NW) (2-7 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Anthony White (RUT) (1-8 BIG STARTERS)
#14 AJ Rodriegues (MD) (0-5 BIG STARTERS)

174 lbs.
#1 Carter Starocci (PSU) (3-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Shane Griffith (MICH) (4-0 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Patrick Kennedy (IOWA) (4-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Edmond Ruth (ILL) (7-1 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Rocco Welsh (OSU) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Jackson Turley (RUT) (5-1 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Max Maylor (WIS) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Andrew Sparks (MINN) (2-3 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Donnell Washington (IND) (2-2 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Dominic Solis (MD) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#11 DJ Shannon (MSU) (1-6 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Brody Baumann (PUR) (2-7 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Bubba Wilson (NEB) (1-6 BIG STARTERS)
#14 David Ferrante (NW) (0-5 BIG STARTERS)

184 lbs.
#1 Isaiah Salazar (MINN) (7-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Lenny Pinto (NEB) (8-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Bernie Truax (PSU) (5-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Ryder Rogotzke (OSU) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Jaden Bullock (MICH) (5-4 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Layne Malczewski (MSU) (5-4 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Shane Liegel (WIS) (3-4 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Troy Fisher (NW) (5-4 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Brian Soldano (RUT) (4-3 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Roman Rogotzke (IND) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Dylan Connell (ILL) (2-5 BIG STARTERS)
#12 James Rowley (PUR) (2-7 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Aiden Riggins (IOWA) (1-5 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Chase Mielnik (MD) (0-7 BIG STARTERS)

197 lbs.
#1 Aaron Brooks (PSU) (7-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Zach Glazier (IOWA) (7-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Jaxon Smith (MD) (5-1 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Silas Allred (NEB) (6-2 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Garrett Joles (MINN) (5-3 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Luke Geog (OSU) (3-1 BIG STARTERS)
#7 John Poznanski (RUT) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Evan Bates (NW) (4-5 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Ben Vanadia (PUR) (2-6 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Gabe Sollars (IND) (2-6 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Kael Wisler (MSU) (2-4 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Isaiah Pettigrew (ILL) (1-3 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Bobby Striggow (MICH) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Josh Otto (WIS) (0-7 BIG STARTERS)

285 lbs.
#1 Greg Kerkvliet (PSU) (4-0 BIG STARTERS)
#2 Nick Feldman (OSU) (6-1 BIG STARTERS)
#3 Lucas Davison (MICH) (5-2 BIG STARTERS)
#4 Seth Nevills (MD) (2-1 BIG STARTERS)
#5 Yaraslau Slavikouski (RUT) (4-3 BIG STARTERS)
#6 Nick Willham (IND) (4-4 BIG STARTERS)
#7 Bradley Hill (IOWA) (3-1 BIG STARTERS)
#8 Harley Andrews (NEB) (2-1 BIG STARTERS)
#9 Bennett Tabor (MINN) (3-2 BIG STARTERS)
#10 Josh Terrill (MSU) (3-6 BIG STARTERS)
#11 Jack Jessen (NW) (3-3 BIG STARTERS)
#12 Gannon Rosenfeld (WIS) (2-6 BIG STARTERS)
#13 Peter Marinopoulos (ILL) (0-5 BIG STARTERS)
#14 Tristan Ruhlman (PUR) (0-6 BIG STARTERS)

Team Prediction (no bonus factored in)
1. Penn State - 151
2. Nebraska - 102
3. Iowa - 100
4. Ohio State - 92.5
5. Michigan - 90
6. Minnesota - 59
7. Wisconsin - 49
8. Maryland - 41.5
9. Rutgers - 40
10. Michigan State - 38.5
11. Purdue - 35
12. Illinois - 26
13. Indiana - 24.5
14. Northwestern - 11

Awesome work! Just wondering your thoughts on 125? Is winning percentage more important than hvh? Smith has hvh over davis and ramos.

  • Fire 1
Posted
2 minutes ago, jajensen09 said:

Awesome work! Just wondering your thoughts on 125? Is winning percentage more important than hvh? Smith has hvh over davis and ramos.

There is no set criteria for seeding the B1G tournie. Instead it is based on a coaches' vote. So hard to say for sure which matters more. Also hard to say if they just consider conference results. If so, then the Smith win over Ramos would not matter as it was at CKLV.

With Ramos 8-0 in conference I have to believe he is the top seed. But after that it gets messy. You have five guys with 2 conference losses (Ayala 5-2, Barnett 6-2, Davis 6-2, DeAugustino 5-2, McCrone 5-2) and two guys with three conference losses (McKee 4-3, Smith 4-3). But, both three loss guys have each beaten two loss guys and Ayala did not wrestle Barnett.

Smith has beaten 2 two loss guys (Davis, DeAugustino) and lost to 2 two loss guys (Ayala, Barnett) and the other three loss guy (McKee).

McKee losses are to the lone conference undefeated (Ramos), one of the two loss guys (Barnett) and a four loss guy (Peterson). I think that loss to Peterson is what causes him to be seeded below Smith.

But the real question is do they put any of the three conference loss guys ahead of any of the two conference loss guys?

Among the 2 loss guys, McCrone clearly has the weakest resume. I can see them elevating both McKee and Smith above McCrone. With wins over Davis and DeAugustino, maybe Smith even bumps over them. But with conference losses to Ayala and Barnett, I do not see Smith being above those two.

So call it a range of 4 to 8 for Smith's seed.

  • Fire 2

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted
4 minutes ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

There is no set criteria for seeding the B1G tournie. Instead it is based on a coaches' vote. So hard to say for sure which matters more. Also hard to say if they just consider conference results. If so, then the Smith win over Ramos would not matter as it was at CKLV.

With Ramos 8-0 in conference I have to believe he is the top seed. But after that it gets messy. You have five guys with 2 conference losses (Ayala 5-2, Barnett 6-2, Davis 6-2, DeAugustino 5-2, McCrone 5-2) and two guys with three conference losses (McKee 4-3, Smith 4-3). But, both three loss guys have each beaten two loss guys and Ayala did not wrestle Barnett.

Smith has beaten 2 two loss guys (Davis, DeAugustino) and lost to 2 two loss guys (Ayala, Barnett) and the other three loss guy (McKee).

McKee losses are to the lone conference undefeated (Ramos), one of the two loss guys (Barnett) and a four loss guy (Peterson). I think that loss to Peterson is what causes him to be seeded below Smith.

But the real question is do they put any of the three conference loss guys ahead of any of the two conference loss guys?

Among the 2 loss guys, McCrone clearly has the weakest resume. I can see them elevating both McKee and Smith above McCrone. With wins over Davis and DeAugustino, maybe Smith even bumps over them. But with conference losses to Ayala and Barnett, I do not see Smith being above those two.

So call it a range of 4 to 8 for Smith's seed.

Thank you for this! It'll be interesting if they count cklv.  Van dee is better off if they don't count it, as he took an L to teskee there, but Smith needs cklv. Hopefully whatever they decide its consistent for all the weights 

  • Fire 1
Posted (edited)
37 minutes ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

There is no set criteria for seeding the B1G tournie. Instead it is based on a coaches' vote. So hard to say for sure which matters more. Also hard to say if they just consider conference results. If so, then the Smith win over Ramos would not matter as it was at CKLV.

With Ramos 8-0 in conference I have to believe he is the top seed. But after that it gets messy. You have five guys with 2 conference losses (Ayala 5-2, Barnett 6-2, Davis 6-2, DeAugustino 5-2, McCrone 5-2) and two guys with three conference losses (McKee 4-3, Smith 4-3). But, both three loss guys have each beaten two loss guys and Ayala did not wrestle Barnett.

Smith has beaten 2 two loss guys (Davis, DeAugustino) and lost to 2 two loss guys (Ayala, Barnett) and the other three loss guy (McKee).

McKee losses are to the lone conference undefeated (Ramos), one of the two loss guys (Barnett) and a four loss guy (Peterson). I think that loss to Peterson is what causes him to be seeded below Smith.

But the real question is do they put any of the three conference loss guys ahead of any of the two conference loss guys?

Among the 2 loss guys, McCrone clearly has the weakest resume. I can see them elevating both McKee and Smith above McCrone. With wins over Davis and DeAugustino, maybe Smith even bumps over them. But with conference losses to Ayala and Barnett, I do not see Smith being above those two.

So call it a range of 4 to 8 for Smith's seed.

I don’t think they ignore CKLV matches against other B10 guys.  But even if you count the Smith/Ramos match, Ramos still has the best resume and Smith is still in that 4-8 range.

Edited by 1032004
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Posted
Just now, 1032004 said:

I don’t think they ignore CKLV matches against other B10 guys.  But even if you count the Smith/Ramos match, Ramos still has the best resume and Smith is still in that 4-8 range.

That will give Van Dee more than 1 B1G L then 

  • Fire 1
Posted
33 minutes ago, jajensen09 said:

Thank you for this! It'll be interesting if they count cklv.  Van dee is better off if they don't count it, as he took an L to teskee there, but Smith needs cklv. Hopefully whatever they decide its consistent for all the weights 

While I think they’ll consider CKLV matches (which @bracketbuster seems to agree with based on the 125 records), they will likely give more importance to duals where Van Dee beat Teske.  However that probably only matters if Teske is Iowa’s entrant

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Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, 1032004 said:

While I think they’ll consider CKLV matches (which @bracketbuster seems to agree with based on the 125 records), they will likely give more importance to duals where Van Dee beat Teske.  However that probably only matters if Teske is Iowa’s entrant

I got that wrong. Vandee faced teske at soldier salute* 

Edited by jajensen09
  • Fire 1
Posted
13 minutes ago, jajensen09 said:

I got that wrong. Vandee faced teske at soldier salute* 

Same thing IMO.  I think they consider all matches against B10 competition.  Could be wrong though.  I would imagine they may even consider matches against non-B10 competition if there’s a tie or something and there are common opponents

  • Fire 1
Posted

I wonder if Hamiti will hold on to the #1 seed.  May not matter much between #1 and #2, but might be easier to face Fish in semis instead of Caliendo.

  • Fire 1

Craig Henning got screwed in the 2007 NCAA Finals.

Posted
11 hours ago, 1032004 said:

Where do you think Teske and Arnold would be seeded if they are Iowa’s entrants at 133 and 184?

Teske would be interesting because his best in the "conference" schedule is Rivera but he also beat Van Dee before losing to him. Typically I weighted the "conference" result more if somebody split matches but I would think about the same.

Arnold i would be shocked if he wrestled in the postseason just because I don't know why he wouldn't have been wrestling all year in that case but he is undefeated but just one win against Liegel in conference at 184. I would guess in the 6ish range but that is a total guess. That gives him a #3 in the quarters, #2 in semis, and #1 in finals if he would keep winning and seeds held.

 

10 hours ago, jajensen09 said:

Awesome work! Just wondering your thoughts on 125? Is winning percentage more important than hvh? Smith has hvh over davis and ramos.

125 I try to value head to head the most but so many of those guys were all over the place as evidenced by everybody having at least one loss. Then there are guys like Davis (PSU) who I have 5th and Smith (NEB) 6th which is obviously not how the regular season result went. Maybe looking closer at that those guys might switch Davis and Smith at least. Ramos would be tougher to me to switch only because he is national #1 and does have a win over Ayala who beat Smith. Smith also has a loss to McKee so he arguably wrestled one of the toughest schedules at 125 lbs. but it is just hard when he has three losses but I can see certainly see the argument for him over Davis and you might have already caught an error on my part.

 

9 hours ago, Pinnacle said:

Amine as an 8 seed at 165 (Lewan at 157 too) sets up as a bracket buster.

Amine I thought was really low to me when I first did this as well but he has lost to #1, #4, #6 in the conference. Taylor who I have at #7 split with Fish who I have at #6. I favored Fish in that scenario because his win came during the conference schedule. Amine is actually 0-3 against who I project will be Big 10 starters which seems crazy but I guess he can't help other coaches from Rutgers, Indiana, and Maryland sent out backups against him. However, all of those starters from those teams i have seeded below him.

What hurt Lewan in my looking at head-to-head is he lost to Robb twice, Robb lost to Blaize of Purdue. Lewan's argument for a higher seed is certainly his win over Franek. 

8 hours ago, jchapman said:

I wonder if Hamiti will hold on to the #1 seed.  May not matter much between #1 and #2, but might be easier to face Fish in semis instead of Caliendo.

I just kind of used the national coaches ranking to break that but obviously it could go either way since they are both undefeated in conference. I also don't know if anybody even considers this but I thought Hamiti might get some respect as the returning Big 10 champ. However, he does have a loss (although to David Carr). Mesenbrink is undefeated but just hasn't faced the same caliber of opponent which probably also hurts him in the national rankings for his current chances to move higher. 

Posted
10 hours ago, Pinnacle said:

Amine as an 8 seed at 165 (Lewan at 157 too) sets up as a bracket buster.

They should bust up the national tourney bracket also if they stay so low. Lewan is criminally low given his affinity for Sudden victory advancements.

Posted
12 hours ago, jmoney said:

They should bust up the national tourney bracket also if they stay so low. Lewan is criminally low given his affinity for Sudden victory advancements.

Could argue the other way too. The way they both wrestle really close matches, could send them home early. Especially Lewan 

Posted
4 hours ago, charmon55 said:

how do you interact with this bracket?

You will have to download it is an excel or save if it as your own Google doc. Then you can use D, M, T, F in the yellow spaces on the brackets to advance wrestlers and it will calcute the next matchups and the team score. You can also change the seeds using the 125R, 133R, 141R, etc. sheets.

  • Fire 1
  • 2 weeks later...
Posted

Updated with pre-seeds

Big 10 Interactive Brackets

Interactive Brackets: use the interactive brackets using the following letters: D, M, T, F (decision, major, tech, fall).

125 lbs. (9 qualifiers)
#1 Matt Ramos (PUR) (22-3, 7-1 BIG): 1 CR, 3 RPI, 1 WS
#2 Drake Ayala (IOWA) (19-3, 6-2 BIG): 2 CR, 1 RPI, 4 WS
#3 Eric Barnett (WIS) (23-4, 6-2 BIG): 4 CR, 7 RPI, 3 WS
#4 Patrick McKee (MINN) (12-5, 4-4 BIG): 11 CR, 14 RPI, 2 WS
#5 Caleb Smith (NEB) (18-6, 6-3 BIG): 7 CR, 8 RPI, 8 WS
#6 Braeden Davis (PSU) (16-2, 6-2 BIG): 5 CR, 10 RPI, 13 WS
#7 Michael DeAugustino (MICH) (9-3, 5-3 BIG): 12 CR, 12 WS
#8 Brendan McCrone (OSU) (18-8, 4-3 BIG): 21 CR, 22 RPI, 18 WS
#9 Dean Peterson (RUT) (11-5, 3-4 BIG): 23 CR, 23 RPI, 26 WS
#10 Michael Spangler (IND) (10-7, 2-2 BIG): 46 WS
#11 Tristan Lujan (MSU) (14-13, 2-9 BIG): 33 RPI, 45 WS
#12 Justin Cardini (ILL) (4-9, 1-5 BIG): 51 WS
#13 Massey Odiotti (NW) (9-15, 1-6 BIG): 62 WS
#14 Tommy Capul (MD) (3-11, 0-7 BIG): 74 WS

133 lbs. (7 qualifiers)
#1 Dylan Ragusin (MICH) (22-1, 6-1 BIG): 4 CR, 1 RPI, 4 WS
#2 Dylan Shawver (RUT) (19-5, 5-3 BIG): 7 CR, 6 RPI, 9 WS
#3 Nic Bouzakis (OSU) (22-7, 6-2 BIG): 9 CR, 9 RPI, 7 WS
#4 Jacob VanDee (NEB) (18-6, 5-2 BIG): 15 CR, 13 RPI, 12 WS
#5 Aaron Nagao (PSU) (10-4, 2-3 BIG): 9 CR, 8 WS
#6 Anthony Madrigal (ILL) (7-3, 4-1 BIG): 26 CR, 24 WS
#7 Braxton Brown (MD) (17-7, 4-3 BIG): 17 CR, 22 RPI, 18 WS
#8 Tyler Wells (MINN) (12-4, 3-2 BIG): 19 CR, 4 RPI, 26 WS
#9 Nicolar Rivera (WIS) (12-10, 3-5 BIG): 28 RPI, 43 WS
#10 Cayden Rooks (IND) (9-9, 1-2 BIG): 57 WS
#11 Dustin Norris (PUR) (8-14, 1-4 BIG): 62 WS
#12 Andrew Hampton (MSU) (4-19, 0-8 BIG): 71 WS
#13 Patrick Adams (NW) (1-13, 0-5 BIG): 75 WS
#14 Brody Teske (IOWA) (11-3, 2-1 BIG): 18 WS

141 lbs. (11 qualifiers)
#1 Beau Bartlett (PSU) (18-0, 7-0 BIG): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 1 WS
#2 Jesse Mendez (OSU) (21-2, 7-1 BIG): 2 CR, 2 RPI, 2 WS
#3 Real Woods (IOWA) (14-2, 4-2 BIG): 3 CR, 3 RPI, 3 WS
#4 Brock Hardy (NEB) (15-6, 4-3 BIG): 6 CR, 9 RPI, 7 WS
#5 Sergio Lemley (MICH) (15-5, 4-2 BIG): 10 CR, 6 RPI, 6 WS
#6 Danny Pucino (ILL) (12-7, 4-2 BIG): 26 CR, 16 RPI, 18 WS
#7 Mitch Moore (RUT) (12-3, 2-3 BIG): 18 CR, 17 RPI, 17 WS
#8 Jordan Hamdan (MSU) (18-9, 3-5 BIG): 28 CR, 22 RPI, 27 WS
#9 Vance Vombaur (MINN) (14-6, 2-4 BIG): 27 CR, 32 RPI, 22 WS
#10 Danny Fongaro (IND) (19-5, 2-4 BIG): 25 CR, 15 RPI, 28 WS
#11 Kal Miller (MD) (11-6, 1-5 BIG): 24 CR, 19 RPI, 31 WS
#12 Greyson Clark (PUR) (13-5, 0-1 BIG): 20 RPI, 37 WS
#13 Kolby McClain (NW) (6-14, 0-3 BIG): 72 WS
#14 Felix Lettini (WIS) (3-16, 0-5 BIG): 63 WS

149 lbs. (9 qualifiers)
#1 Ridge Lovett (NEB) (21-1, 7-0 BIG): 1 CR, 3 RPI, 3 WS
#2 Austin Gomez (MICH) (7-1, 3-1 BIG): 5 CR, 4 WS
#3 Caleb Rathjen (IOWA) (15-3, 4-1 BIG): 8 CR, 15 WS
#4 Tyler Kasak (PSU) (13-3, 3-2 BIG): 9 CR, 10 WS
#5 Dylan D'Emilio (OSU) (21-8, 4-4 BIG): 12 CR, 5 RPI, 12 WS
#6 Ethen Miller (MD) (14-5, 5-1 BIG): 14 CR, 16 RPI, 17 WS
#7 Joseph Zargo (WIS) (18-6, 5-2 BIG): 14 CR, 14 RPI, 21 WS
#8 Graham Rooks (IND) (16-8, 3-4 BIG): 16 CR, 12 RPI, 30 WS
#9 Drew Roberts (MINN) (17-6, 2-4 BIG): 20 CR, 28 RPI, 34 WS
#10 Michael Cetta (RUT) (13-8, 4-4 BIG): 28 CR, 29 RPI, 25 WS
#11 Marcos Polanco (PUR) (8-16, 1-4 BIG): 64 WS
#12 Braden Stauffenberg (MSU) (6-17, 0-6 BIG): 72 WS
#13 Aiden Vandenbush (NW) (4-16, 1-5 BIG): 65 WS
#14 Jake Harrier (ILL) (3-10, 0-4 BIG): 60 WS

157 lbs. (9 qualifiers)
#1 Levi Haines (PSU) (15-0, 6-0 BIG): 1 CR, 6 RPI, 2 WS
#2 Michael Blockhus (MINN) (15-1, 7-0 BIG): 3 CR, 13 RPI, 3 WS
#3 Brayton Lee (IND) (8-0, 4-0 BIG): 14 CR, 18 WS
#4 Jared Franek (IOWA) (20-3, 4-3 BIG): 5 CR, 2 RPI, 6 WS
#5 Peyton Robb (NEB) (16-5, 2-4 BIG): 9 CR, 8 RPI, 11 WS
#6 Chase Saldate (MSU) (22-4, 4-1 BIG): 19 CR, 18 RPI, 19 WS
#7 Will Lewan (MICH) (9-6, 3-4 BIG): 15 CR, 7 RPI, 15 WS
#8 Joey Blaze (PUR) (15-7, 3-4 BIG): 18 CR, 25 RPI, 14 WS
#9 Trevor Chumbley (NW) (15-8, 2-4 BIG): 22 CR, 20 RPI, 22 WS
#10 Isaac Wilcox (OSU) (18-8, 2-3 BIG): 30 CR, 27 WS
#11 AJ DeSantis (RUT) (6-10, 1-5 BIG): 43 WS
#12 Michael North (MD) (15-12, 1-6 BIG): 29 RPI, 38 WS
#13 Luke Mechler (WIS) (7-16, 0-4 BIG): 67 WS
#14 Logan Shaw (ILL) (12-8, 0-1 BIG): 66 WS

165 lbs. (10 qualifiers)
#1 Dean Hamiti (WIS) (24-1, 10-0 BIG): 4 CR, 2 RPI, 3 WS
#2 Mitchell Mesenbrink (PSU) (19-0, 8-0 BIG): 5 CR, 1 RPI, 5 WS
#3 Michael Caliendo (IOWA) (20-3, 6-2 BIG): 6 CR, 5 RPI, 6 WS
#4 Caleb Fish (MSU) (22-6, 7-3 BIG): 9 CR, 16 RPI, 10 WS
#5 Antrell Taylor (NEB) (17-5, 5-4 BIG): 10 CR, 10 RPI, 11 WS
#6 Cameron Amine (MICH) (10-5, 0-3 BIG): 11 CR, 17 RPI, 9 WS
#7 Stoney Buell (PUR) (14-9, 5-3 BIG): 27 CR, 22 RPI, 26 WS
#8 Bryce Hepner (OSU) (13-3, 3-2 BIG): 14 CR, 24 RPI, 12 WS
#9 Tyler Lillard (IND) (17-6, 3-2 BIG): 23 CR, 9 RPI, 21 WS
#10 Blaine Brenner (MINN) (17-9, 1-5 BIG): 30 CR, 27 RPI, 31 WS
#11 Chris Moore (ILL) (8-11, 2-9 BIG): 36 WS
#12 Maxx Mayfield (NW) (12-12, 2-7 BIG): 26 CR, 26 RPI, 32 WS
#13 Anthony White (RUT) (10-11, 1-8 BIG): 33 RPI, 52 WS
#14 AJ Rodriegues (MD) (11-14, 0-5 BIG): 69 WS

174 lbs. (8 qualifiers)
#1 Carter Starocci (PSU) (12-0, 3-0 BIG): 1 CR, 1 WS
#2 Shane Griffith (MICH) (12-2, 4-0 BIG): 3 CR, 3 WS
#3 Patrick Kennedy (IOWA) (12-4, 4-2 BIG): 6 CR, 5 WS
#4 Edmond Ruth (ILL) (18-2, 7-1 BIG): 8 CR, 2 RPI, 7 WS
#5 Rocco Welsh (OSU) (15-3, 5-3 BIG): 11 CR, 12 RPI, 16 WS
#6 Jackson Turley (RUT) (11-4, 5-1 BIG): 16 CR, 14 RPI, 14 WS
#7 Max Maylor (WIS) (14-5, 5-3 BIG): 13 CR, 6 RPI, 26 WS
#8 Donnell Washington (IND) (14-5, 2-2 BIG): 24 CR, 17 RPI, 34 WS
#9 Andrew Sparks (MINN) (10-5, 2-3 BIG): 33 CR, 24 WS
#10 Brody Baumann (PUR) (11-11, 2-7 BIG): 28 RPI, 45 WS
#11 Dominic Solis (MD) (6-8, 2-4 BIG): 56 WS
#12 Bubba Wilson (NEB) (13-10, 1-6 BIG): 31 CR, 19 RPI, 37 WS
#13 DJ Shannon (MSU) (11-16, 1-6 BIG): 47 WS
#14 David Ferrante (NW) (11-12, 0-5 BIG): 69 WS

184 lbs. (8 qualifiers)
#1 Isaiah Salazar (MINN) (18-1, 7-0 BIG): 5 CR, 8 RPI, 6 WS
#2 Lenny Pinto (NEB) (19-3, 8-1 BIG): 3 CR, 3 RPI, 5 WS
#3 Bernie Truax (PSU) (11-3, 5-2 BIG): 6 CR, 7 WS
#4 Ryder Rogotzke (OSU) (15-6, 3-2 BIG): 24 CR, 11 RPI, 10 WS
#5 Jaden Bullock (MICH) (15-8, 5-4 BIG): 15 CR, 12 RPI, 24 WS
#6 Layne Malczewski (MSU) (11-6, 5-4 BIG): 18 CR, 19 RPI, 15 WS
#7 Shane Liegel (WIS) (18-9, 3-4 BIG): 16 CR, 17 RPI, 20 WS
#8 Brian Soldano (RUT) (13-7, 4-3 BIG): 22 CR, 28 RPI, 12 WS
#9 Troy Fisher (NW) (11-9, 5-4 BIG): 26 CR, 30 RPI, 23 WS
#10 Roman Rogotzke (IND) (19-12, 2-4 BIG): 27 RPI, 36 WS
#11 Dylan Connell (ILL) (5-9, 2-5 BIG): 42 WS
#12 James Rowley (PUR) (9-16, 2-7 BIG): 52 WS
#13 Aiden Riggins (IOWA) (10-11, 1-5 BIG): 39 WS
#14 Chase Mielnik (MD) (7-16, 0-7 BIG): 37 WS

197 lbs. (7 qualifiers)
#1 Aaron Brooks (PSU) (14-0, 7-0 BIG): 1 CR, 1 WS
#2 Jaxon Smith (MD) (15-3, 5-1 BIG): 5 CR, 7 RPI, 8 WS
#3 Zach Glazier (IOWA) (21-1, 7-1 BIG): 11 CR, 6 RPI, 11 WS
#4 Silas Allred (NEB) (20-5, 6-2 BIG): 13 CR, 9 RPI, 10 WS
#5 Garrett Joles (MINN) (18-6, 5-3 BIG): 22 CR, 19 RPI, 16 WS
#6 Luke Geog (OSU) (12-6, 3-1 BIG): 23 CR, 14 RPI, 22 WS
#7 John Poznanski (RUT) (12-2, 3-2 BIG): 17 CR, 18 WS
#8 Evan Bates (NW) (10-10, 4-5 BIG): 32 CR, 26 RPI, 34 WS
#9 Ben Vanadia (PUR) (10-15, 2-6 BIG): 42 WS
#10 Gabe Sollars (IND) (20-12, 2-6 BIG): 33 CR, 31 RPI, 40 WS
#11 Kael Wisler (MSU) (25-12, 2-4 BIG): 33 RPI, 37 WS
#12 Isaiah Pettigrew (ILL) (6-9, 1-3 BIG): 45 WS
#13 Bobby Striggow (MICH) (6-9, 0-6 BIG): 52 WS
#14 Josh Otto (WIS) (1-12, 0-7 BIG): 60 WS

285 lbs. (7 qualifiers)
#1 Greg Kerkvliet (PSU) (12-0, 4-0 BIG): 1 CR, 1 WS
#2 Nick Feldman (OSU) (22-4, 6-1 BIG): 7 CR, 6 RPI, 8 WS
#3 Lucas Davison (MICH) (14-3, 5-2 BIG): 6 CR, 3 RPI, 6 WS
#4 Yaraslau Slavikouski (RUT) (14-4, 3-3 BIG): 13 CR, 8 RPI, 15 WS
#5 Seth Nevills (MD) (13-6, 2-1 BIG): 26 CR, 22 RPI, 23 WS
#6 Nick Willham (IND) (9-8, 3-4 BIG): 26 RPI, 36 WS
#7 Bradley Hill (IOWA) (16-5, 3-1 BIG): 33 CR, 25 RPI, 27 WS
#8 Bennett Tabor (MINN) (19-5, 3-1 BIG): 30 CR, 28 RPI, 31 WS
#9 Josh Terrill (MSU) (25-13, 3-6 BIG): 24 RPI, 49 WS
#10 Nash Hutmacher (NEB) (5-3, 2-3 BIG): 60 WS
#11 Jack Jessen (NW) (7-8, 2-2 BIG): 44 WS
#12 Gannon Rosenfeld (WIS) (3-14, 1-7 BIG): 64 WS
#13 Peter Marinopoulos (ILL) (5-7, 0-6 BIG): 47 WS
#14 Hayden Copass (PUR) (0-0, 0-0 BIG): 37 WS

Team Standings Prediction
1. Penn State - 151
2. Michigan - 98.5
3. Nebraska - 96
4. Iowa - 94.5
5. Ohio State - 89
6. Minnesota - 63.5
7. Rutgers - 50.5
8. Wisconsin - 48.5
9. Maryland - 39
10. Michigan State - 34
11. Purdue - 31
t-12. Illinois - 29.5
t-12. Indiana - 29.5
14. Northwestern - 5.5

  • Fire 2

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