There are many ways to look at how a match order should go...
- Aura/Prestige
- Poundage
- Potential Excitement
- Actual Excitement
- Points scored
- Theoretical Drama
- Actual Drama
Generally speaking Aura/Prestige is the criteria that will be looked at the most for match order. There is no other option than Valencia - Dake at 86 KG, in that regards. There just isn't.
- There are exceptions such as the POTUS intending to swoop in after the first match.
After that, Poundage is generally the one most used, because it has typically always been that way. That puts us at Captain America Jr - Hilger at 125 KG as the final match. I am oddly okay with it being this way. I don't think it would be the final match of the day. I still think that 86 KG will be the final match of the day, as the most likely scenario due to it being Best of Three (92 KG has a decent chance as well).
If we are talking Potential Excitement, we're looking at ending on Johnny D - Duke at 70 KG. You have Brute Force Youth against the scrambling ability of Johnny D, who is up at 70 KG for only the second time ever (the first being the Open). Duke, a HS Senior just beat the 149lb and 157lb NCAA Champions at WTT. That's fckn nuts, guys.
If we are talking Actual Excitement, we're looking at Mesenbrink-Carr at 74 KG, despite it being a blow-out (expected by me), their matches are always fire.
If we are talking about Points Scored, I don't see a way we don't end at Vito - Jax at 61 KG. This has 25.5 as a total match points Vegas line per match (I might have made that up).
If you were to look at Theoretical Drama, then Thiccclay-Barr at 92 KG should be the final match. Barr has made a living this season on breaking people. Thiccclay is unbreakable. What if during Match 2, Thiccclay fades and Barr steals it? That makes Match 3 EXTREMELY interesting. Historically speaking there has been hours between Match 1 and Match 2, but they start the Match 3s immediately after the Match 2s complete.
If we are talking about Snyder... I mean Actual Drama, then it's Snyder - ZIllmer at 97 KG.