From Flo. I feel vindicated and validated:
PINFALL ALERT: Kai Orine of NC State and the viral video of him celebrating an ACC title pins Gable Strickland of Lock Haven, sending precious bonus points to the Wolfpack. NC State now in first place with a whopping four team points.
Yes, he lost his bronze. Soner Demirtas of Turkey now gets the bronze.
https://www.flowrestling.org/articles/10748630-frank-chamizo-stripped-of-2022-world-bronze-medal-due-to-failed-drug-test
By the way, I do think/hope it will be Spencer Lee (by a lot). He has a chance to get to 101 NCAA tournament points with his average performance and 106 with a pinfest.
101 would place him fourth all-time behind Cael Sanderson (107.5), Logan Stieber (103.5), and Ed Banach (102.5). And 106 puts him number two all-time. Heady stuff.
I have horrifically mis-managed today. I hired a consultant to set up meetings for a new product push into a new market. I have 8, 10, 1, 2, 2:30, and 3 meetings. All my fault.
Based on 2010 - 2022 here are the win probabilities by seed:
Applying those to this year's seeds we get the following expected number of champs.
Who wants to take the under for PSU?
It is only 9.8 because I lopped off all the non-zero win probabilities that round to 0.0 (12 schools)