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Posted

Now that we have established that the Big Board matters, lets take a look at who is optimizing (haha, we know who it is) the Big Board talent.

  • From 2015 to 2022 (2023 class has not competed yet) the race for the most Big Board Top 20 wrestlers is pretty tight.
  • PSU has the edge over Ohio State 18 to 15.
  • But PSU has gotten 27 AA finishes from those 18 wrestlers (1.5 per) while Ohio State has gotten "only" 18 from 15 (1.2).
  • But where things get really crazy is that 23 of PSU's 27 AA finishes were first, second, or third (85%), while Ohio State had 7 top threes among their 18 AA finishes (39%).
  • Iowa gets trashed a lot for under-performing, but the real issue is they under-recruit. They got commitments from only 9 Big Board Top 20 wrestlers. So, even though those wrestlers averaged 2 AA finishes per, there just were not enough of them.
  • One caveat. The school where the wrestler committed gets credit for all the wrestlers AA finishes regardless of where they were achieved. This hurts Iowa with a lot of recent transfer AAs (DeSanto, Eierman, Woods) and PSU (Dean, Kerkvliet).  My logic is this is a measure of high school recruiting rather than retention. For a fuller picture, you would want to look at retention too (independent study opportunity?).

 

image.thumb.png.d7c42619f17032e788993fad64d13461.png

 

It could be that PSU is just getting the best of the best leading to those best in class results.

  • But, that is not completely the case. Ohio State has brought in slightly higher ranked wrestlers on average.
  • ASU has also brought in higher ranked wrestlers on average, though significantly fewer of them.

 

 

 

image.thumb.png.17509dc905ac8d64cf11e683918def13.png

  • Fire 3

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

Posted

Penn State from 2015-2023:

  • 18 top 20 recruits
  • 15 national titles from them

#2 from #9 in total top20 recruits

  • 74 top 20 recruits
  • 10 national titles

PSU had a quarter of the total top 20 kids from 2-9, but 50% more titles.  Unbelievable...

Posted
11 minutes ago, Gantry said:

Penn State from 2015-2023:

  • 18 top 20 recruits
  • 15 national titles from them

#2 from #9 in total top20 recruits

  • 74 top 20 recruits
  • 10 national titles

PSU had a quarter of the total top 20 kids from 2-9, but 50% more titles.  Unbelievable...

And I mislabeled the table. Should say 2015-2022 as those are HS grad years.

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

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